Live Updates: Hezbollah Confirms Death of Senior Leader in Israeli Airstrike in Beirut
Here are the latest developments.
The Israeli military on Friday carried out an airstrike in Beirut, the Lebanese capital, that killed several senior Hezbollah officials, including a top commander wanted by the United States for his role in bombings in the 1980s that killed hundreds.
Hezbollah, the Lebanese armed group backed by Iran, confirmed that the commander, Ibrahim Aqeel, was killed in the strike. Residents described a chaotic scene as ambulances raced through the streets. Lebanon’s health ministry said at least 14 people were killed and dozens more were injured, including children.
The attack represented a major escalation in a week full of them, stoking fears that an all-out war could erupt between Hezbollah and Israel. Pagers and walkie-talkies belonging to Hezbollah members exploded en masse on Tuesday and Wednesday, killing at least 37 people and wounding thousands in an attack intelligence officials have attributed to Israel. On Thursday, Israel pummeled southern Lebanon in one of the most intense bombardments in nearly a year of fighting.
The Israeli strike on Friday flattened at least one residential high-rise building in the heart of Dahiya, a densely populated area of Beirut where Hezbollah holds sway, according to witnesses and Lebanon’s civil defense agency.
Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, the Israeli military spokesman, told reporters that Mr. Aqeel was killed while meeting with other senior commanders, and that they were all underneath the building in an attempt to “use civilians as human shields.” The New York Times could not independently verify that information.
Admiral Hagari described Mr. Aqeel as the chief of Hezbollah’s military operations directorate and the de facto commander of the Radwan force, an elite commando unit. Mr. Aqeel — as well as several Radwan commanders killed in the same strike — helped plan a never-implemented Hezbollah invasion of northern Israel similar to that of the Hamas-led assault of southern Israel on Oct. 7, Admiral Hagari said.
In a statement, Hezbollah called Mr. Aqeel a great leader and said he had lived a life “full of struggle, action, wounds, and sacrifices” as well as “achievements and victories.”
Mr. Aqeel’s assassination, if confirmed, would be the latest in a series of humiliating intelligence failures and blows dealt to Hezbollah, which began firing missiles and drones at Israel on Oct. 8 in solidarity with Hamas in Gaza. Israel has struck across Lebanon in response, prompting months of conflict that have displaced over 150,000 people in both countries.
Here is what else to know:
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Heavy bombardment: The building struck on Friday in Beirut’s southern suburbs was one of more than 100 sites, mostly in southern Lebanon, that Israel has targeted since Thursday evening. Lebanese officials said the strikes overnight were some of the heaviest bombardment there in months of back-and-forth attacks. Earlier Friday, Israel said Hezbollah fired at least 140 rockets into northern Israel. Israel said its air defenses had intercepted some of the rockets and others fell in unpopulated areas.
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Hezbollah scrambles: Hassan Nasrallah, the Hezbollah leader, sounded defiant in a speech on Thursday, saying that the group would not cease the cross-border strikes against Israel. But the group was also struggling to formulate an appropriate response to the pager and walkie-talkie attacks, analysts said. Mr. Nasrallah said it had formed committees to investigate the lapses that led the pagers and radios to be compromised.
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Gazans’ fears: As world attention focuses on heightening Israel-Hezbollah tensions, some Palestinians in Gaza worry that efforts to end the nearly yearlong war and humanitarian crisis there will be sidelined.
‘A dangerous Pandora’s box’: U.N. Security Council members express alarm over device attacks.
Members of the United Nations Security Council called on Friday for an investigation into operations in Lebanon — widely attributed to Israel — that detonated the pagers and walkie-talkies of Hezbollah operatives en masse, killing dozens and injuring thousands, including several children.
The nature of the attacks, which transformed ordinary objects into weapons, raised alarms and drew widespread condemnation at the meeting.
“These attacks represent a new development in warfare, where communication tools become weapons, simultaneously exploding across marketplaces, on street corners and in homes as daily life unfolds,” Volker Türk, the U.N. human rights chief, told council members. He added that the operations had unleashed “widespread fear, panic and horror” among people in Lebanon, who now fear that any device may be vulnerable.
“This cannot be the new normal,” Mr. Türk said, calling for an “independent, transparent and thorough” investigation into the attacks and accountability for the perpetrators, who he said had violated the rules of war and human rights law.
His sentiments were echoed by several council members.
Pascale Baeriswyl, Switzerland’s representative, expressed “grave concern” about the exploding devices and called the developments “extremely worrying.” She added that “light must be shed on the circumstances and responsibilities” and noted that “war has rules.”
Similarly, Algeria’s representative, Amar Bendjama, who had called for the meeting, said the “unprecedented” attacks had opened “a dangerous Pandora’s box.”
Some on the council instead focused on Hezbollah’s role in escalating tensions, as well as the roles of the group’s backers in Iran.
“The Security Council cannot ignore the origins of this conflict between Israel and Hezbollah,” said Robert A. Wood, a U.S. ambassador to the U.N. He noted that all parties to the conflict were expected to follow international humanitarian law but argued that Hezbollah had shattered stability in the region when it began striking Israel’s northern border in solidarity with Hamas following the Oct. 7 attack that set off the war in Gaza.
Britain’s representative, James Kariuki, took a similar approach. “Hezbollah launched an unprovoked attack on Israel on Oct. 8, 2023,” he said, adding that Britain was “resolute” in its “support for Israel’s right to defend its citizens.”
Both the British and American representatives also blamed Iran for fueling tensions in the region by supplying Hezbollah with weapons, and they accused Iran of undermining the Lebanese people’s hopes of living in peace.
All the council members appeared unified on one matter, however, calling for restraint from everyone involved in the conflict to prevent an escalation that could lead to a regional war. “Now is the time for calm heads,” Mr. Kariuki said.
Hwaida Saad
Hamas, the armed group at war with Israel in the Gaza Strip, put out a statement condemning Israel’s assassination of Ibrahim Aqeel, a senior Hezbollah commander, in Beirut. Hamas called the airstrike that killed Mr. Aqeel and several other Hezbollah members “a foolishness” for which Israel “will pay the price.”
Israel’s airstrike in Beirut had significance for relatives of Americans killed in Beirut in 1983.
When an Israeli airstrike on Lebanon killed Ibrahim Aqeel, a senior Hezbollah commander, his death reverberated in the United States, where he has long been wanted for his role in bombings in Lebanon in 1983 that killed more than 350 people, many of them American citizens.
Those attacks still loom large for the U.S. government and the families who lost their loved ones and who have been litigating cases against Hezbollah and its Iranian backers ever since.
Just last year, American officials commemorated the 40th anniversary of an Oct. 23, 1983, bombing in Beirut, Lebanon, orchestrated by the militant group that killed more than 240 U.S. service members. The anniversary came just weeks after Hamas led an attack on Israel, igniting a war in the Gaza Strip, and Hezbollah began launching rockets at Israel in solidarity with Hamas.
“Families were left forever grieving an unimaginable loss, and an entire nation was left in shock,” Dorothy C. Shea, the U.S. ambassador to Lebanon, said at a commemoration ceremony held at the U.S. Embassy in Beirut in October.
The Marines came to Lebanon in 1983 as part of an international peacekeeping force formed at the request of the Lebanese government, which was mired in a devastating civil war. On Oct. 23 a suicide bomber drove a truck filled with explosives into the Marine barracks and detonated it. Shortly after, a second suicide bomber struck the French barracks and killed dozens of French troops.
Those attacks had followed a bombing at the U.S. embassy in Beirut that year that had killed more than 60 people. The attacks were all attributed to Hezbollah and its Iranian backers, as was a subsequent 1984 car bombing that killed dozens of people at the U.S. Embassy annex in Beirut.
At the commemoration ceremony last year, reflecting on the strikes, Ms. Shea said: “We continue to renounce any attempts to shape the region’s future through intimidation, violence and terrorism — and here I am talking about not just Iran and Hezbollah, but also Hamas and others.”
She accused Iran and its proxy groups of trying “to rob Lebanon and its people of their bright future,” and rejected “the threats of some to drag Lebanon into a new war.”
Iraqi armed group, backed by Iran, says a senior member was killed in a strike in Syria.
The Iranian-backed Iraqi armed group Kata’ib Hezbollah announced that one of its senior members, Abu Haider al-Khafaji, was killed in an Israeli drone strike in Damascus early on Friday.
The announcement, which circulated on Telegram, said that Mr. al-Khafaji had been working as a security adviser there. This was the first time that an Iraqi armed group linked to Iran has acknowledged that one of its senior fighters was killed in Syria in an apparent Israeli strike.
Israel has not commented on the drone strike, and it was not clear why Mr. al-Khafaji was targeted.
Increasingly, the Iranian-backed armed groups throughout the Middle East are sending trainers and experts to work with each other and share their expertise in the manufacture of drones and missiles. In July, for example, the Houthis, an Iran-backed group based in Yemen, acknowledged that a Houthi drone expert was killed in a U.S. strike on a Kata’ib Hezbollah compound in Iraq.
Kata’ib Hezbollah has long sent fighters to Syria to help Iran in its support of the government of President Bashar Assad, notably during the period when the Islamic State took over a large swath of the country. More recently, it is one of the groups that has joined Hezbollah, an Iran-backed group based in Lebanon, and the Houthis in attacking Israel.
Ephrat Livni
Israel’s defense minister, Yoav Gallant, and his American counterpart, Lloyd J. Austin III, spoke on Friday, the Pentagon said, after a series of Israeli attacks this week against Hezbollah. According to a summary of their call, Austin “strongly re-emphasized” the importance of reaching a diplomatic resolution, and also urged continued efforts to reach a cease-fire deal in Gaza.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
Hezbollah continued to announce strikes into northern Israel on Friday, an apparent attempt by the group to indicate that its command-and-control capabilities were still intact and that it was still capable of operating amid the Israeli offensive.
Israel’s latest military actions align with a long-signaled strategy change on its northern border.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel issued a short, slightly cryptic statement on Friday after the Israeli military said that it had killed a senior Hezbollah commander in Lebanon.
“Our goals are clear, and our actions speak for themselves,” the statement said.
Judging by the comments of senior Israeli officials, those goals seem to have shifted in recent days, from eradicating Hamas in the Gaza Strip to halting Hezbollah’s attacks across the northern border and allowing about 60,000 displaced Israelis to return.
On Friday evening, Yoav Gallant, Israel’s defense minister, vowed that the recent military actions — part of a “new phase” of the war that he announced on Wednesday — would continue until those displaced Israelis could go back home.
President Biden seemed to agree with Israel’s new stated priority when asked on Friday about the rising tensions, saying that the United States was trying to ensure that both the displaced northern Israelis and an even larger number of residents of southern Lebanon who have fled the cross-border strikes by Israel and Hezbollah could return.
“The secretary of state, the secretary of defense, our whole team is working with the intelligence community, trying to get that done,” Mr. Biden told reporters Friday in Washington. “We’re going to keep at it until we get it done. We’ve got a way to go.”
Israeli leaders have been signaling this shift in philosophy for months. In late June, Mr. Netanyahu and Israeli’s president, Isaac Herzog, toured northern Israel’s border and met with military commanders as Mr. Gallant concluded a trip to Washington, where he told Biden administration officials that Israel was “determined to establish security” in the north and change “the reality on the ground.”
While Mr. Gallant said then that Israel would keep working on diplomatic solutions, he also made it clear that war with Hezbollah in Lebanon remained conceivable. “We must also discuss readiness for every possible scenario,” he said in a meeting with Lloyd J. Austin III, the U.S. secretary of defense.
In the months since, the daily exchanges of fire between Israel and Hezbollah have intensified, and Israeli leaders have been increasingly vocal about the likelihood of an escalation. The United States has continually stressed that a wider war that could draw in Iran threatens to further destabilize the region, and has worked on diplomatic resolutions.
But when President Biden’s senior adviser, Amos Hochstein, met with Mr. Gallant in Israel on Monday, the Israeli defense minister gave him little reason to believe a peaceful resolution was possible. Military action, Mr. Gallant said, was “the only way” to ensure security along Israel’s northern border. His comment appeared to dampen hopes for a diplomatic solution.
Mr. Austin and Mr. Gallant spoke on Friday, according to a summary of the call released by the Pentagon. Mr. Austin reiterated his concern over the escalation between Israel and Hezbollah and “strongly re-emphasized” the importance of reaching a diplomatic resolution. Mr. Austin also urged continued efforts to reach a cease-fire deal in Gaza, the summary said.
At a U.N. Security Council meeting on Friday on the situation in Lebanon, Rosemary DiCarlo, the U.N.’s top political chief, said that the U.N.’s special coordinator for Lebanon, Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert, had been speaking with Lebanese officials all week about the importance of avoiding an escalation. Ms. DiCarlo said that Ms. Hennis-Plasschaert would be traveling to Israel next week to send the same message.
Ms. DiCarlo argued that war would not return the citizens of Israel or Lebanon displaced by the fighting to their homes. “We risk seeing a conflagration that could dwarf even the devastation and suffering we have seen so far,” she said. “It’s not too late to avoid such folly. There is still room for diplomacy.”
Aaron Boxerman
In a statement, Hezbollah confirmed that a senior leader, Ibrahim Aqeel, had been killed in Israel’s airstrike on Friday. The group called him a great leader and said he had lived a life “full of struggle, action, wounds, and sacrifices” as well as “achievements and victories.”
In Beirut, rescue workers search for survivors while others wait for news.
There had been no warning. The two high-rise apartment buildings in Beirut’s southern suburbs had collapsed in a matter of seconds, and many people were still presumed buried in the debris. The smell of burning, acrid smoke filled the air as teams of rescue workers combed through the rubble.
The Israeli strike on Friday — which the military said had killed several senior Hezbollah commanders along with a top Hezbollah leader — came at the end of what had already been a chaotic week in Lebanon. Wireless devices exploded across the country on Tuesday and Wednesday, killing dozens of people and maiming thousands of others. Intense waves of Israeli bombardment had rocked the country’s south.
Hours after Friday’s strike, people gathered at the site of the flattened buildings as they anxiously waited to hear about missing loved ones. Some were too stunned to speak. Others could only weep at the sight of the destruction.
“I have been waiting hours to hear something about my missing aunt, her children, her husband and other relatives,” said Samar Deeb, visibly fatigued.
“I hope they make it out alive,” said Batoul Ayoub, another relative.
Anxiety mixed with anger, and several of those gathered criticized Israel for thinking the strike would cause supporters to abandon Hezbollah. The group — which exercises de facto control over Beirut’s southern suburbs — had cordoned the area off and was tightly managing access.
One rescue worker, his face black with dust, said he had recovered a man from the rubble, but was unsure if he was alive. Lebanon’s health ministry expected the death toll to rise.
What is the Radwan force, the elite Hezbollah unit linked to Ibrahim Aqeel?
Israel has long seen Hezbollah, with thousands of trained fighters and a deep arsenal of rockets and other weapons, as the most formidable foe on its borders. And Israeli officials say Hezbollah’s elite Radwan force, in particular, poses a major threat.
Israel claimed that it killed the force’s de facto commander, Ibrahim Aqeel, in a strike on a building in the Dahiya area of southern Beirut on Friday.
Hezbollah began firing missiles and drones at Israel on Oct. 8 in solidarity with Hamas in Gaza, and Israel has struck across Lebanon in response, prompting months of conflict that have displaced over 150,000 people in both countries. The strike on Friday deepened fears that the cross-border conflict could broaden into a larger regional conflict alongside the war in Gaza.
Why does Israel call the Radwan unit a threat?
Radwan has taken the lead in Hezbollah’s long-running conflict with Israel, and in the cross-border attacks that have escalated since the Hamas-led Oct. 7 attack on Israel set off the war in Gaza. Israeli military analysts say that Radwan has adopted the mission of conquering the northern Israeli region of Galilee.
Hezbollah and Hamas share a patron in Iran. If Iran and its proxies were to make a serious effort to broaden the war, the Israel-Lebanon border would be the likeliest place to do it.
“The Radwan force is dedicated to duplicating what happened on Oct. 7 in the south of Israel in the north,” Tamir Hayman, a retired general who led Israeli military intelligence until 2021, said in an interview in January, after a strike in southern Lebanon killed a commander that Lebanese officials tied to the Radwan force. “For that exact reason, it’s unacceptable for Israel to allow its fighters to remain in the border area.”
In the spring of 2023, the Radwan force took part in a rare example of public military exercises by Hezbollah, displaying an expansive military arsenal and simulating an infiltration into Israeli territory. Slick propaganda videos produced by Hezbollah have showcased the group’s small unit tactics and live-fire drills, interspersed with threats to Israel.
Why are we hearing more about the Radwan unit now?
The Oct. 7 attacks by Hamas also led to intensified strikes and retaliations between Hezbollah and Israel, forcing tens of thousands of people on each side of the border to evacuate.
In northern Israel, officials and residents have piled pressure on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to protect them from Hezbollah and make it safe to return home.
What Israel has treated as a manageable threat, it now describes as something more serious. Israeli leaders have repeatedly cited the Radwan unit by name, and, as far back as last December, Tzachi Hanegbi, Israel’s national security adviser, told Israeli media that the country can no longer accept Radwan “sitting on the border.”
Where did the Radwan force come from?
The origins and makeup of the unit are murky.
The group took its name from the nom de guerre of its former leader, Imad Mughniyeh, who was assassinated in Syria in 2008. Under his command, the unit played a pivotal role in the abduction of Israeli soldiers in 2006 that led to the outbreak of the Second Lebanon War.
The unit, along with other elements of Hezbollah and other Iran-backed groups, later took part in the battle against the Islamic State in Syria. But the fighting in the last three months has marked the Radwan force’s most active period against Israel since 2006.
Johnatan Reiss contributed reporting.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
The death toll has risen to 14 as search efforts continue amid the rubble, according to Lebanon’s health ministry. Rescue teams expect to find more dead, the ministry said.
Israeli soldiers throw three seemingly lifeless Palestinians from a roof in the West Bank.
Israeli soldiers threw, pushed and kicked three Palestinians off the roof of a building on Thursday during a military raid in the occupied West Bank town of Qabatiya, according to multiple verified videos of the gruesome incident.
It was not clear from the videos, which were verified by The New York Times, if the Palestinians were alive or dead at the time. The three appeared to be lifeless and at least one of them blindfolded.
One video shows a soldier shooting at one of the Palestinians, who is lying on the ground, and a small burst as the bullet hits the body.
In response to questions about the video, the Israeli military, said it was reviewing the matter.
“This is a serious incident that does not coincide with I.D.F. values and the expectations from I.D.F. soldiers,” the military said, using the abbreviation of its formal name, Israel Defense Forces.
The White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby on Friday described the video as “deeply disturbing.”
“If it’s proven to be authentic, it clearly would depict abhorrent and egregious behavior by professional soldiers,” he said.
According to Wafa, seven Palestinians were killed by the Israeli military during a 10-hour raid into Qabatiya, south of the city of Jenin, on Thursday. Among them, Wafa said, were the three people — believed to be men — captured in the video.
Wafa reported that, after being thrown from the building, the bodies were mutilated on the ground by the claw of an Israeli excavator before being taken away by the military.
The Israeli military said in a social media posting that it had killed “four armed terrorists during an exchange of fire” in the course of the 10-hour raid. The military did not indicate whether those included the three people thrown from the roof.
The Times could not independently verify the information from Wafa or the Israeli military.
The military did not respond to questions from The Times about the condition of the three people on the roof or whether it had taken action against soldiers in the video.
The Qabatiya municipality condemned the killings as a “massacre” and decried the lack of response from the international community.
Husam Zomlot, the Palestinian ambassador to the United Kingdom, asserted that the three had still been alive. “Israeli occupation soldiers throw injured men from a rooftop in Qabatiya outside Jenin in the occupied West Bank earlier today,” he wrote on social media on Thursday. “This is Israel’s ‘self defense.’”
Since late August, Israel has conducted its most wide-scale and destructive military raids into Palestinian cities in the West Bank in two decades, including dozens of airstrikes.
The Israeli military has characterized the raids as “counterterrorism” operations, aimed at armed fighters who it says have increased their attacks against Israel. It says it has found weapons stores and killed militants.
Palestinians and human rights groups have described them as indiscriminate raids that kill civilians, destroy massive amounts of infrastructure and trap residents in their homes for days.
More than 60 people, including civilians, have been killed in the raids since Aug. 28, according to the Palestinian Health Ministry. Among those killed have been at least seven children, according to the United Nations.
Bill Van Esveld, acting Israel and Palestine director for Human Rights Watch, said that the case of the three men thrown from the roof was serious, whether they were alive or dead. “If confirmed, as a matter of international human rights law, killing people by deliberately throwing them off a building would be an extrajudicial execution,” he said, adding, “And throwing dead bodies off would be considered cruel and inhuman treatment.” He said that Human Rights Watch had not yet verified the videos themselves.
In the longest verified video, three soldiers are seen throwing and pushing the men over the edge of the roof one by one.
The soldiers grab the legs of the first man and toss him over the edge, but his left foot appears to catch on the roof’s ledge and for a second he hangs upside down. One soldier bends down and free the man’s foot and his body falls to the ground below.
All three soldiers then grab the second man, with one soldier grabbing his feet and another his arms and they throw him over the edge.
The third man they kick, drag and push over the edge.
Rawan Sheikh Ahmad contributed reporting.
Ephrat Livni
Speaking to reporters on Friday, President Biden said the United States was continuing to push for a cease-fire deal in Gaza, despite the escalating tensions in Lebanon. When asked if a deal was realistic, he replied, “If I ever say it’s not realistic, then I might as well leave. A lot of things don’t look realistic until we get them done. We have to keep at it.”
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
Hours after the attack, the familiar buzz of Israeli surveillance drones could be heard in the skies above Beirut. Some residents went out onto their balconies to catch a glimpse. Others appeared unfazed. The whir of Israeli drones is nothing new to many Lebanese, who playfully call the drones “Um Kamel,” or the Mother of Kamel — a play on the drone’s code, MK.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
After this week’s coordinated attacks using exploding wireless devices, doctors and health workers were already working overtime on Friday when news broke about the Israeli strike. “I haven’t had time to process anything,” said Dania el-Hallak, an emergency room doctor in Beirut.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
Seconds later, Israeli fighter jets zipped through the skies above Lebanon’s capital. “There are strikes in Dahiya?!” she said in disbelief, using the name for Beirut’s southern suburbs.
Aaron Boxerman
Yoav Gallant, Israel’s defense minister, said in a statement that Israel would continue its “series of actions in the new stage” of Israel’s conflict with Hezbollah until the tens of thousands of Israelis displaced by the fighting were able to return home safely.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
The death toll has now risen to at least 12, with more than 60 injured, according to Lebanon’s health ministry. People are frantically searching for their loved ones, sharing images of the missing, including women and children, over local WhatsApp and Telegram groups.
Aaron Boxerman
The Israeli military said that “around 10” senior commanders in Hezbollah’s elite Radwan force were killed in the strike that targeted Ibrahim Aqeel, the senior Hezbollah leader. Hezbollah did not immediately comment on the claim.
News Analysis
Israel’s attacks bring the conflict closer to all-out war but stop short of a decisive shift.
Exploding pagers on Tuesday. Detonating walkie-talkies on Wednesday. An unusually intense barrage of bombs on Thursday. And a huge strike on southern Beirut on Friday.
Israeli attacks on Hezbollah, the Lebanese militia, this week constitute a significant escalation in the 11-month war between the two sides. For nearly a year, Israel and Hezbollah have fought a low-level conflict, mostly along the Israeli-Lebanese border, that has gradually gathered force without ever exploding into an all-out war.
Now, Israel is attempting a riskier playbook. It has markedly increased the intensity of its attacks in an attempt to force Hezbollah to back down, while raising the chances of the opposite outcome: a more aggressive response from Hezbollah that devolves into an unbridled land war.
Israel has sabotaged Hezbollah’s communications devices, blowing up hundreds, if not thousands, of them in a widespread cyberattack. Its fighter jets have pounded southern Lebanon with rare intensity. And on Friday afternoon, they struck Beirut, the Lebanese capital, for the first time since July — killing a senior Hezbollah military commander, according to Israeli officials, and collapsing two buildings, according to Lebanese officials.
Yet, despite the escalation, the fundamental balance between the two sides appeared to remain unchanged on Friday afternoon, at least for the time being.
Israel’s moves fell short of a decisive blow, humiliating Hezbollah and spreading horror through Lebanese society, but so far failing to coerce the militia into changing course.
The militia launched more short-range strikes on northern Israel on Friday, hours after its leader, Hassan Nasrallah, pledged to continue its campaign until Israel ends its parallel conflict in Gaza, which began with deadly Hamas-led attacks on Israel in October. But the strikes this week appeared to be tit-for-tat attacks of the kind have been conducted for 11 months.
Hezbollah has pledged a specific response to Israel’s attacks on its pagers and walkie-talkies, which killed at least 37 people and injured thousands more. But it has not set a time frame for retaliation, a possible sign that, with so many of its operatives in the hospital, the group is still taking stock of its losses.
Israel’s leaders have said the conflict has entered a new phase, with Yoav Gallant, the defense minister, promising on Thursday that Hezbollah would pay an increasing price “as time goes by.” But he stopped well short of pledging a ground invasion of southern Lebanon.
The Israeli military has said it moved a paratrooper division to northern Israel but does not appear to be on the cusp of a major ground maneuver, even as its air force and intelligence agencies scale up their attacks.
For now, both the conflict in Lebanon and the war in Gaza are stuck in limbo: The Israel-Hezbollah conflict seems unlikely to ease without a truce in Gaza, and negotiations to reach that truce have ground nearly to a halt amid persistent differences between Israel and Hamas.
Both conflicts appear far from a military resolution, too. For all its new moves, Israel still seems several steps away from a decisive military blow in Lebanon, and has failed to achieve one in Gaza, despite decimating Hamas’s forces there. The group still holds dozens of hostages in the pockets of Gaza that it controls, preventing Israel from declaring victory.
Rawan Sheikh Ahmad and Johnatan Reiss contributed reporting.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
Amid the unfolding chaos came flickers of unity. Following the wave of attacks on Hezbollah’s wireless devices earlier this week, blood banks recieved so many donations that no more were needed, according to Lebanon’s health ministry.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
Children were among those who were injured in the Israeli strike, but there was no confirmation yet that they were among the dead, said Lebanon’s health minister, Dr. Firass Abiad.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
Reached by phone, Abiad told The New York Times that Beirut hospitals were so far coping amid the sudden influx of wounded. Many are still full of casualties from the previous rounds of nationwide attacks this week that involved exploding wireless devices, and surgical rooms have been working around the clock.
Aaron Boxerman
Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, the Israeli military spokesman, told reporters that Aqeel was meeting other militants underneath the residential building in an attempt to “use civilians as human shields.” The New York Times could not independently verify that assertion.
Aaron Boxerman
In its statement, the Israeli military described Aqeel as the chief of Hezbollah’s military operations directorate and the de facto commander of its elite Radwan fighters. It said Aqeel was behind a long series of attacks against Israeli soldiers and civilians, as well as a never-implemented Hezbollah plan to invade northern Israel in a similar manner to Hamas’s surprise assault on Oct. 7.
Aaron Boxerman
The Israeli military just announced in a statement that Israeli fighter jets successfully targeted and killed Ibrahim Aqeel, the senior Hezbollah commander, in Beirut. There was no immediate confirmation by Hezbollah.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
At least nine people were killed, according to Lebanon’s health ministry. Eight of those wounded are in a critical condition and others could still be trapped under the rubble, so the death toll is likely to rise further.
Who is Ibrahim Aqeel, the Hezbollah commander targeted by Israel?
Ibrahim Aqeel, the Hezbollah commander targeted by Israel on Friday in Beirut, is one of the Iran-backed Lebanese armed group’s most senior leaders.
Lebanon’s health ministry said at least eight people were killed and dozens injured in the strike, though it was not immediately clear if he was among them. Hezbollah did not comment on the attack.
Believed to be in his 60s, he had already survived multiple assassination attempts, and the United States had offered a multimillion-dollar bounty for his capture.
A member of Hezbollah more or less since its establishment in the 1980s, Mr. Aqeel served on the group’s highest military body, the Jihad Council. Over the past two decades, Israel has slowly killed many of the Jihad Council’s members, who are some of the closest advisers to Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah.
U.S. officials wanted Mr. Aqeel for his role in two bombing attacks in 1983 that killed more than 350 people at the U.S. Embassy in Beirut and the U.S. Marine Corps barracks, many of them American citizens, according to the State Department.
Last year, the State Department posted a reward of up to $7 million for information leading to his identification, location, arrest or conviction. It said Mr. Aqeel also directed the abduction of American and German hostages in Lebanon in the 1980s.
Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, the Israeli military spokesman, described Mr. Aqeel as the chief of Hezbollah’s military operations directorate and the de facto commander of the Radwan force, an elite commando unit. He was responsible for overseeing Hezbollah’s anti-tank missile units and air-defense operations, among other roles, Admiral Hagari said.
“Aqeel had large amounts of blood on his hands,” he told reporters at a news conference. “He was responsible for the deaths of many civilians and innocents.”
Mr. Aqeel helped plan a never-carried-out Hezbollah invasion of northern Israel similar to that of the Hamas-led assault of southern Israel on Oct. 7, Admiral Hagari said.
Israeli officials have long warned that Hezbollah hoped to one day send its highly trained fighters across the border, conquering Israeli towns and seizing hostages in a bloody blow to their foes.
In 2019, Mr. Nasrallah confirmed that the group had operational plans for entering northern Israel in the event of a war but declined to give details. The Israeli military says it has uncovered multiple cross-border tunnels intended to facilitate such an attack.
Israel assassinated another member of Hezbollah’s Jihad Council, Fuad Shukr, in late July, in another airstrike on a building in Dahiya, a southern suburb of Beirut. Former U.S. officials called Mr. Shukr, like Mr. Aqeel, one of Hezbollah’s most senior military leaders and a confidant of Mr. Nasrallah.
Assaf Orion, a retired Israeli brigadier general, said on Friday that Mr. Aqeel was effectively the top operations officer in Hezbollah’s military apparatus, one who was involved in “numerous” attacks against Israelis.
“He’s an extremely seasoned operations veteran,” said General Orion, a former Israeli military liaison to the international peacekeeping mission along the Lebanese-Israeli border.
Israel had tried to assassinate Mr. Aqeel numerous times in the past, but each time he managed to escape with his life, General Orion said.
In 2000, Israeli helicopters fired on Mr. Aqeel’s car in an attempt to avenge the killing of a Lebanese militia leader aligned with Israel, but he survived with only slight injuries. Five civilians were also lightly wounded, including an infant.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
The southern suburbs of Beirut — known as Dahiya — are unlike suburban areas you might find in American or European cities. The area is one of the most densely populated communities in Lebanon. The Israeli strike hit in the heart of the neighborhood and flattened a residential apartment building that was at least seven stories tall, according to local residents.
Videos from the aftermath of the strike verified by The New York Times show a high-rise building in Beirut’s southern suburbs completely flattened. Civilians and first responders dig through the remaining rubble.
Aaron Boxerman
Lebanon’s Civil Defense said in a statement that two residential buildings had collapsed in the Jamous area of the Dahiya district of southern Beirut as a result of the Israeli bombardment. First responders were combing through the area for survivors and those missing under the rubble, the agency said.
Euan Ward
Reporting from Beirut, Lebanon
At least eight people were killed, with nearly 60 others wounded, according to Lebanon’s health ministry. This marks the deadliest single Israeli strike in Beirut since the conflict began last October.
John F. Kirby, the White House National Security Council spokesman, said the United States had “no involvement” in the Beirut strikes and is working to avoid an escalation. “We still believe that there is time and space for a diplomatic solution,” Kirby told reporters. “We think that that is the best way forward.”
At Funerals and in Hospitals, Talk of Revenge for Pager Attacks
At Funerals and in Hospitals, Talk of Revenge for Pager Attacks
After two days of exploding pagers and walkie-talkies, Beirut was a city on edge, with people worried there were bombs in their bags or pockets. Victims’ relatives vowed retribution.
Hwaida Saad and Ben Hubbard
Hwaida Saad attended three funerals, in Beirut and the Bekaa Valley of Lebanon, for people killed in the attacks and interviewed relatives of the dead and wounded there and in one hospital in Beirut. Ben Hubbard reported from Istanbul.
In the waiting rooms of a Beirut hospital, exhausted families slumped on couches, waited anxiously for doctors’ updates and wept. Nearby rooms held their loved ones, injured when pagers and walkie-talkies used by Hezbollah suddenly exploded across Lebanon this week, blinding and maiming many of their owners.
“I have no hope,” said a woman whose son-in-law had lost an eye and fingers on both hands. He had been lying down when his pager beeped and he picked it up — only for it to blow up in his face.
She gave only her first name, Joumana, and would not say what her son-in-law did that required a pager. But she made a vow: “The only revenge that will get us justice is to get rid of Israel.”
Across Lebanon on Thursday, hospitals were packed and people were on edge after hand-held communications devices imported by Hezbollah, the militant group and political party, blew up in waves across the country on two successive days. Dozens of people were killed and thousands of others injured in attacks that spread a terror that simple objects carried in people’s bags and pockets could readily become bombs.
Lebanese, American and other government officials have said that Israel launched the attacks by remotely detonating devices that had been outfitted with explosives before they were sent to Hezbollah. Israeli officials have not confirmed or denied their country’s involvement.
For 11 months, Hezbollah has been attacking sites in northern Israel in support of its ally Hamas in Gaza. Israel has responded by bombing and assassinating Hezbollah leaders in Lebanon, and civilians have fled areas on both sides of the border.
Lebanon’s health ministry on Thursday raised the death toll from the attacks on Tuesday and Wednesday to 37, adding that nearly 3,000 people had been wounded.
Hezbollah did not release figures on how many of its members were killed or injured, but the devices were distributed solely to its people, and multiple interviews with officials and relatives suggested that most of the victims were connected to the group, although some were civilians or had noncombat roles in the organization.
Hezbollah publicly mourned many of the dead as its fighters, including one teenager, born in 2008, who was 15 or 16. At least two other children, a 9-year-old girl and an 11-year-old boy, were among the dead, as was at least one woman.
The precise identities and affiliations of the wounded were less clear. Journalists were barred from entering some hospitals to interview victims, and the covert nature of Hezbollah’s military activities means that its members don’t readily share information with outsiders.
Hezbollah is a vast organization, which Israel, the United States, and other countries consider a terrorist group. It has a military force estimated to have tens of thousands of fighters, as well as offices that provide social services, administer schools and serve the group’s ministers and lawmakers in the Lebanese government.
The attacks appeared to cut through a broad swath of that apparatus, raising questions about whether such an assault violated the laws of war.
“It was an indiscriminate attack,” Firass Abiad, Lebanon’s health minister, told reporters on Thursday, after describing the burden the attacks had put on Lebanon’s health system. “It was a war crime.”
The laws of war prohibit booby traps in everyday items, said Lama Fakih, director for the Middle East and North Africa at Human Rights Watch, including “something like a pager that a kid could easily pick up when it starts beeping.”
Combatants must also differentiate between fighters and civilians, something an attacking power cannot do with so many explosives moving freely around such a large area, Ms. Fakih said.
And detonating such explosives in urban communities risked harming nearby civilians and possibly exposing those with no ties to Hezbollah to future attacks. Ms. Fakih mentioned the case of a man who had lost an eye because he had been passing someone on the street whose pager exploded.
Appearing to be affiliated with Hezbollah meant “you could be targeted at any time,” she said.
After two days of explosions, many in Lebanon were anxious on Thursday about what might blow up next. Public institutions banned pagers, the Lebanese army collected and detonated suspicious devices, and the civil aviation authority forbade airline passengers from traveling with pagers and walkie-talkies.
At the American University of Beirut hospital, two floors held people who had been injured in the attacks.
One man wiped away tears, saying that his 30-year-old nephew had “almost lost his whole face.”
Dr. Mohammed Ghobris, a surgeon from southern Lebanon, said he had received dozens of patients wounded by the exploding pagers after the first blasts on Tuesday. Now, he was in Beirut, where his brother-in-law, Sajid Ghobris, awoke to find that he was missing an eye and that one of his hands had been amputated at the wrist.
“This is international terrorism,” Dr. Ghobris said. Three other relatives of his had also been injured.
In a televised speech on Thursday, Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, acknowledged that the attacks had been “a severe and cruel blow” to the organization. He vowed that Hezbollah would continue to prevent Israelis who have been displaced from the border region from returning home.
“No military escalation, no killings, no assassinations and no all-out war can return residents to the border,” he said.
As he spoke, Israeli jet screamed though the sky over Beirut, setting off sonic booms, further terrifying residents.
Earlier in the day, crowds had gathered in Beirut’s southern suburbs, where Hezbollah holds sway, for a second day of funerals for those killed in the attacks.
A woman named Hanan said that it was the second funeral she had attended in two days and that four of her relatives were in the hospital as a result of the attacks. They included her sister-in-law, who she said had been injured when her husband’s pager blew up.
“There are fighters and nonfighters,” she said. “There are people who were civilian staff in hospitals.”
Nearby, Ali Bazzi watched pallbearers carry the coffin of his nephew, Abbas Bazzi.
“This enemy has no mercy, no pity,” he said.
When asked how his nephew had died, he said, “From the pager.”
What Lies Beneath Canada’s Former Indigenous School Sites Fuels a Debate
Ian Austen
Reporting from Tk’emlups te Secwepemc, British Columbia.
The revelation convulsed all of Canada.
Ground-penetrating radar had found possible signs of 215 unmarked graves at a former residential school in British Columbia run by the Catholic Church that the government had once used to assimilate Indigenous children forcibly taken from their families.
It was the first of some 80 former schools where indications of possible unmarked graves were discovered, and it produced a wave of sorrow and shock in a country that has long struggled with the legacy of its treatment of Indigenous people. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau ordered flags to fly at half-staff, as many Canadians wore orange T-shirts with the slogan “Every Child Matters.”
Three years later, though, no remains have been exhumed and identified.
Many communities are struggling with a difficult choice: Should the sites be left undisturbed and transformed into memorial grounds, or should exhumations be done to identify any victims and return their remains to their communities?
While there is a broad consensus in Canada that children were taken from their families and died in these schools, as the discussions and searches have dragged on, a small universe of conservative Catholic and right-wing activists have become increasingly vocal in questioning the existence of unmarked graves. They are also skeptical of the entire national reconsideration of how Canada treated Indigenous people.
Three years after the announcement about the former Kamloops residential school site, they ask, why has no proof of any remains been uncovered anywhere in the country?
“There’s, so far, no evidence of any remains of children buried around residential schools,” Tom Flanagan, professor emeritus of political science at the University of Calgary and an author of “Grave Error: How the Media Misled Us (and the Truth About Residential Schools),” said in an interview.
“Nobody disputes,” he added, “that children died and that the conditions were sometimes chaotic. But that’s quite different from clandestine burials.”
The arguments by Mr. Flanagan and other skeptics have been roundly denounced by elected officials across the political spectrum who say evidence clearly suggests that there are many sites of unmarked burials.
Chief Rosanne Casimir of the Tk’emlups te Secwepemc Nation, who made the announcement about the Kamloops site, said, “The denialists, they’re hurtful. They are basically saying that didn’t happen.”
Security guards protecting the potential gravesites in her community have turned away people who have turned up late at night with shovels, she said.
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Chief Casimir recalled holding the piece of paper in her hands about the potential gravesites that she read from to deliver the news and knew it would reverberate.
“I was thinking to myself, ‘This is horrible,’” she said.
Now her community is moving slowly and deliberately before deciding what to do next.
“We’ve had many conversations about whether to exhume or not to exhume,” Chief Casimir said. “It is very difficult and it is definitely very complex. We know that it’ll take time. And we also know that we have many steps yet to go.”
“We have to know for sure,” she added, “that we did everything that we can to determine: yes or no, anomaly or grave?”
The Canadian government and Pope Francis have apologized for the gruesome treatment of Indigenous people and the residential schools where children suffered so much abuse.
But the work to try to establish a precise number of potential graves will likely be difficult.
Murray Sinclair, a former judge who headed the National Truth and Reconciliation Commission to investigate the residential schools system, estimates that at least 10,000 students never made it home from the schools, which were established by the government and operated from the 1880s to the 1990s.
During that period the Canadian government forcibly removed at least 150,000 Indigenous children from their communities and sent them to residential schools, most of which were run by the Roman Catholic Church. Indigenous languages and cultural practices were forbidden, sometimes using force.
And when the children died the government refused to pay to return their bodies to the communities where they came from.
In Ontario, a search of records by investigators working for the province’s chief coroner has so far identified 456 students who died while attending 12 residential schools. Some records show where remains may be buried, the coroner said, but there’s uncertainty about those findings.
At the Kamloops school site, where one of the largest number of potential gravesites was reported, Chief Casimir said her tribe was still analyzing the results of its ground and document searches before deciding whether to conduct exhumations.
Doing so, she added, would be “very intrusive.”
Kimberly Murray, a lawyer and a member of a Mohawk First Nation, was appointed by the federal government in 2021 to examine the issues surrounding potential Indigenous graves and make recommendations about protecting and commemorating the sites.
She says she reminds communities that the work they are doing is because “the government purposely disappeared” Indigenous children, “by not proper record keeping, by not telling the families, by refusing to send them home.”
Many communities, Ms. Murray said, have expanded their physical searches and have employed additional methods to find remains.
One involves placing probes into the ground to detect specific soil acidity that is created by buried human remains.
Another process involves using short pulses of laser light to scan the surfaces of areas where government and church records, as well as the memories of former students, suggest there were burials. The process, using a technology known as lidar, can reveal patterns consistent with burial sites.
Some Indigenous communities have also brought in dogs trained to find remains.
In some cases, Ms. Murray said there was evidence that schools resorted to burying students in mass graves because of disease sweeping through the institutions or to store bodies until the spring thaw made digging graves possible.
Still, Indigenous communities have faced obstacles finding graves, Ms. Murray said, as they struggle getting access to records about the children who died at the schools from the Canadian government and the Catholic Church, despite pledges of cooperation.
Even if exhumations uncover remains, identifying individual bodies or determining a cause of death will likely be impossible, said Dr. Rebekah Jacques, a forensic pathologist who has been working with Indigenous communities that have potential gravesites.
Dr. Jacques has met members of Indigenous communities while serving as a member of a national committee on potential graves at school sites, and she said the question of exhumations hangs heavy over many groups.
“I don’t always have consensus myself about what to do,” she said. “So for me to expect for our communities to have consensus — well, I can really relate to that.”
She also believes that nothing Indigenous communities do, including exhumations, will satisfy skeptics.
For Mr. Flanagan and others who share his viewpoint, their disbelief that there are many gravesites is part of a broader argument against the key conclusion of a Truth and Reconciliation Commission: that the residential schools were a system of brutality that led to “cultural genocide.’’
“The narrative that’s been constructed pulls out all the bad stories and retails those and minimizes the benefit of residential schools,” Mr. Flanagan said, adding that converting Indigenous people in nations colonized by Europeans to Christianity and eradicating their cultures was once common worldwide.
“The churches believed that it was their religious duty, and the politicians thought that it helped to civilize the Indians,” He said. “Would we do that today? No. But our understanding wasn’t available to these people of 150 years ago.”
Government officials and experts say such views are driven by bias and a lack of understanding and sensitivity over what Indigenous children endured for over a century, until 1996.
“There is simply no question about the horrific impact that the residential schools policy had on Indigenous peoples,” said David Lametti, who was Canada’s justice minister and attorney general when Chief Casimir announced the findings at the Kamloops school site.
Government officials, he added, have little doubt that many of the radar anomalies found on school grounds will prove to be gravesites.
“Will every one of those anomalies turn out to be an unmarked grave? Obviously not,” Mr. Lametti, a former law professor now practicing law in Montreal, said. “But there’s enough preponderant evidence already that is compelling.”
Many Indigenous people who favor exhumations want their communities to move more quickly to find remains.
On his ranch in the Tk’emlups te Secwepemc Nation, Garry Gottfriedson, a poet, retired academic and rodeo rider, said that as a former residential school student he wants more openness and progress from leaders.
“It can drag on and on and on and in the meantime, it dies out,” Mr. Gottfriedson said of the discussion about what to do about the gravesites.
“I’m saying: something needs to happen, let it happen,” he added. “But right now, it seems like nothing’s happening.”
Vjosa Isai contributed research.
Europe’s New Defense Chief: ‘A King Without a Kingdom’?
Facing an aggressive Russia, a long war in Ukraine and an uncertain American commitment to Europe, Ursula von der Leyen, as president of the European Commission, has created a new post of defense commissioner.
The task before any new commissioner is formidable. The war in Ukraine has pointed up huge shortcomings in Europe’s capacity to defend itself. Its armies are small and sometimes poorly equipped. It has been slow to increase military spending and prioritize the production of artillery shells, ammunition and air defense. It remains deeply dependent on the United States for key military equipment and funds.
But even before the commissioner, a former prime minister of Lithuania, Andrius Kubilius, can begin, analysts and others have raised alarms that the portfolio is ill-defined and vastly underfunded. The appointment, they say, appears more of a semaphore than a substantive position, calling into question whether Europe is fundamentally serious about taking responsibility for its own defense.
Europe has no army. Defense is legally in the competence of the 27 member states, 23 of which are also members of the NATO alliance. In reality, Mr. Kubilius will be a commissioner for the European arms industry, not defense itself.
His difficult job will be trying to push the arms industries of various European nations toward more standardized production and cooperative purchasing power and coordination.
Before he resigned suddenly on Monday, Thierry Breton, who was responsible for industry as commissioner for internal markets and security, estimated that 100 billion euros a year — about $111 billion — would be needed for European defense.
But even €20 billion or €30 billion, the size of the military budgets of larger European countries, “could make the European Union a sizable investor on the continent and start shaping business decisions,” said Camille Grand, a former NATO assistant secretary general for defense investment now at the European Council on Foreign Relations.
For now, the European Union is not even close. It can spend just €1.5 billion for 2025 to 2027 under its budgeted strategy, far less than required, said Christian Mölling, a defense expert and director for Europe for the Bertelsmann Foundation.
“So to change the E.U. structure you’re really looking more for a wizard than a commissioner,” Mr. Mölling said. “It’s a king without a kingdom.”
A senior European diplomat also expressed skepticism, saying that the commission had no extra money for the job, so Mr. Kubilius wouldn’t be able to get much done. In any case, the diplomat said, individual countries would do better at coordinating military capabilities than Brussels could.
A defense commissioner “could prove the catalyst for further reform and better coordination, but good intentions in this area have all too often failed to deliver the desired outcomes,” argued Ester Sabatino of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a centrist research institute that focuses on defense and security.
Then there is the question of overlapping responsibilities within the commission, the European Union’s 27-member executive arm. Ms. von der Leyen will have to “carve out something from already existing portfolios, so how is that going to work?” asked Mr. Grand.
The European Union already has a vice president in charge of European foreign affairs and security policy, soon to be Kaja Kallas of Estonia.
Ms. von der Leyen, who is starting her second term, has named a former French foreign minister, Stéphane Séjourné, to succeed Mr. Breton and he will keep much the same responsibilities for industrial strategy, but with a higher rank, as a vice president. There is also another vice president, Henna Virkkunen of Finland, responsible for tech sovereignty, security and democracy.
So what is the job of defense commissioner and is it really needed? asked Mr. Mölling.
In a recent comprehensive report on how to revive European growth and competitiveness, Mario Draghi, the former Italian prime minister and governor of the European Central Bank, supported the new commissioner’s job.
Europe buys more than 60 percent of its equipment from the United States, plus another 15 percent from other non-E.U. countries. So making European weapons more competitive would be good for European companies and taxpayers, Mr. Draghi argued, echoing many others.
“Europe is wasting its common resources,” he wrote. “We have large collective spending power, but we dilute it across multiple different national and E.U. instruments.” He added: “We are still not joining forces in the defense industry to help our countries to integrate and reach scale.”
He proposed creating E.U. bonds for military-related projects and other key investments. But that idea was quickly shot down by key member states, like Germany and the Netherlands, that have rejected collective European debt except for dealing with the “one-time” crisis of the coronavirus.
But without added money behind the E.U. ambition, the new commissioner is unlikely to be able to achieve what is needed. That includes helping the bloc make its support for Ukraine more timely, efficient and coordinated, while also replenishing the stocks of military equipment and ammunition depleted in European countries that have sent them to Ukraine.
Europe also needs to provide seed money, Mr. Grand emphasized. That is the only way to advance research and development of next-generation weapons and so-called strategic enablers, like integrated air and missile defense, sophisticated drones and intelligence satellites, among other things, that are now almost exclusively provided and sold by the United States.
Making the European Union itself a player in procurement could slim down extensive overlap. To satisfy competing domestic industries, Europe produces 12 battle tanks and 17 infantry fighting vehicles, and it provided Ukraine 10 kinds of howitzers, not all of which use the same shells.
To improve consolidation and make spending efficient, European rules on competition would have to be softened for defense, Mr. Grand said.
Still, he said, “I’m not sure having a single product line is a good idea,” and Brussels should not get into the business of trying to define military requirements for each country. “NATO knows much better, and the commission should not try to do that.”
But given the war in Ukraine and a U.S. concentration on the threat of a rising China, the question of European military dependency on Washington is no longer just a theoretical question, said Ian Lesser, director of the Brussels office of the German Marshall Fund.
It’s a natural inclination for Europeans to buy off-the-shelf from larger American arms producers, he said. “But Europe is in the process of shifting from seeing its own defense companies as national champions to thinking of them also as essential building blocks for stronger European defense,” Mr. Lesser said.
He, too, emphasized the issue of money, with major European economies like Germany, France and Italy already scouring their budgets for cuts.
As some E.U. countries are becoming skeptical of further large support for Ukraine, the motivation to come up with the money may only wane, said Ed Arnold, a senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, a British think tank centered on security.
He said he was skeptical that the defense commissioner would have the scope to make an impact on Europe’s military strategy. As ever, he said, a lot will depend on political will, and not just the funding.
“There’s a disconnect between the stated ambition you get initially and the hard reality of when you actually have to get member states’ approval,” he said.
The U.K.’s Anti-Immigration Party Has Big Plans. Can It See Them Through?
A week ago, he was the keynote speaker at a glitzy Chicago dinner for the Heartland Institute, a conservative think tank with a history of denying climate science, where the top tables went for $50,000.
On Friday, it was back to the day job for Nigel Farage, the veteran political disrupter, ally of Donald J. Trump and hard right, anti-immigrant lawmaker whose ascent has alarmed both of Britain’s main political parties.
In a cavernous exhibition center in Birmingham, in England’s West Midlands, Mr. Farage addressed supporters of his upstart party, Reform U.K., at its first annual conference since its success in Britain’s July general election.
Declaring that this was the moment the party “comes of age,” he called on his enthusiastic audience to campaign and build networks of support across the country, telling them that the “sky is the limit.”
There had, he added, never been a time of “greater disenchantment” with Labour, which won the election, or with the Conservatives, who lost it and whose brand was “broken.” Later, Mr. Farage told reporters that Labour-controlled regions were now his main target.
His ambitions for the party were clear. But the jet-setting lifestyle of Mr. Farage, 60, whose visit to Chicago was his third recent trip to the United States, underscores the question hanging over Reform U.K.: Does its leader have the ability and appetite to build the fledgling party into a credible political force?
Mr. Farage, a polarizing, pugnacious figure, is one of Britain’s most effective communicators and had an outsized impact on its politics for two decades before finally being elected to Britain’s Parliament in July. A ferocious critic of the European Union, he championed Brexit and helped pressure Prime Minister David Cameron to hold the 2016 referendum.
“A fairly strong case can be made that Nigel Farage has been the most important political figure in all the elections of the last decade,” said Robert Ford, a professor of political science at the University of Manchester.
Having divided the Conservatives in the 2010s with his campaigning on Brexit, Mr. Farage dealt a huge blow to the party in July by splitting the vote on the right, allowing Labour to win. “Nigel Farage is the reason that the Conservatives had their worst-ever election result in July. Not even a reason. The reason,” Professor Ford said.
But taking the party a step further could be a challenge, he added, because it “presumes a level of strategic thinking that generally isn’t Farage’s strong point: He likes big, bold plans, lots of excitement, lots of razzmatazz.”
In an interview with The New York Times in June, Mr. Farage said his party could challenge both mainstream parties in the next general election, which must take place by mid-2029. “Five years will give us a lot of time to build us a mass movement,” he said, adding, “Very quickly into a Labour government, the desire for real change will get bigger.”
When it was put to him that Reform had few of the organizational structures of a modern political party, he replied: “Absolutely.”
Reform was founded in 2018 as a private company — initially called The Brexit Party — with Mr. Farage owning a majority stake. In a video released on Thursday, he pledged to give up his shares, saying: “I am giving up control, I am giving it to the members.” One of the tasks on the conference agenda in Birmingham is to adopt a formal constitution.
Having largely relied on volunteers until now, rewarding loyalty over expertise, Reform has begun recruiting for a number of jobs, including a regional director for England, a management accountant, a membership manager, a graphic designer and a video editor.
The party has five lawmakers in Parliament, including Mr. Farage and the blunt-spoken Lee Anderson, a former coal miner whose inflammatory, Islamophobic language saw him suspended by the Conservative Party early this year. He then defected to Reform.
Much of the work in professionalizing Reform will likely fall to its chairman, Zia Yusuf, 37. Born in Scotland to parents who emigrated from Sri Lanka, he studied at the London School of Economics and worked for Goldman Sachs before making a fortune by founding and selling a luxury concierge service.
On Friday Mr. Farage called on his party to copy the strategy of the centrist Liberal Democrats, who won a smaller share of the vote than Mr. Farage’s party in July but secured 72 seats in Parliament. That was achieved by ruthlessly targeting areas where they had a realistic chance of winning.
Reform came second in 98 constituencies in July. Of those, 89 were won by Labour, often in the deindustrialized north and middle of England. The party will try to campaign aggressively in those areas, hoping to win over disenchanted voters amid rising disillusionment with the mainstream political parties.
Mr. Farage also sees an opportunity in elections to the Welsh Parliament, the Senedd, and the Scottish Parliament, both scheduled for 2026. Those contests take place under different voting systems, which award seats in proportion to the number of votes cast.
But the party’s many challenges include vetting candidates to exclude extremists and cranks. Mr. Cameron, the former prime minister, once described members of one of Mr. Farage’s earlier parties, the U.K. Independence Party, as “fruitcakes and loonies and closet racists, mostly.”
During this year’s election campaign, embarrassing revelations emerged about one Reform candidate who said that Britain should have “taken Hitler up on his offer of neutrality” in the Second World War, and another who used antisemitic tropes.
On Friday Mr. Farage said that amateurism had let down Reform in the past, adding: “We don’t want extremists, we don’t want bigots.” It was left to other speakers to rail against an array of targets, including illegal immigrants, climate protesters, trans activists, the BBC, the World Economic Forum and the United Nations.
But perhaps the biggest question surrounds Mr. Farage himself. He wavered before deciding to run for Parliament this year, confessing doubts as to whether he wanted to spend time in Clacton, the seaside area he now represents. He appears regularly as a presenter on GB News, a right-leaning TV channel, and recently declared earnings of almost £98,000 a month (about $131,000) from those appearances.
Gawain Towler, a spokesman for Reform U.K., said Mr. Farage’s recent trips to the United States were arranged months ago, when the general election was expected to be held later in the year. He said Mr. Farage was now committed to building up his party and campaigning against immigration and against government plans to cut greenhouse gas emissions to zero by 2050.
Yet while he is the party’s undisputed star, Mr. Farage is a divisive politician. In one pre-election interview, he said the expansion of the European Union and NATO had provoked the war in Ukraine, prompting widespread criticism. During riots in August that were fueled by far-right conspiracies about the murder of three young girls, he was accused of stoking the violence by questioning whether “the truth” had been withheld by the authorities.
“Having him as your frontman ensures that you get media attention whenever you want it,” Professor Ford said. But, he added: “There are an awful lot of people — including quite a lot of Tory voters — who just don’t like the guy at all.”