The New York Times 2024-10-09 00:10:14


Live Updates: Israel Sends More Soldiers Into Lebanon

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Here are the latest developments.

Israel sent more troops into Lebanon on Tuesday and pounded the densely populated neighborhoods south of Beirut where Hezbollah holds sway. The midday airstrikes could be heard from miles away.

The bombardment followed the first anniversary of the Oct. 7 Hamas-led attack on Israel that set off the war in Gaza. Israel said in a statement on Tuesday that a fourth division of soldiers had begun operating in Lebanon.

The Israeli military said Hezbollah had fired “approximately 135 projectiles” as of 3 p.m. local time, most of which were intercepted. A home was hit north of Haifa, the second time since Sunday that areas near Israel’s third-largest city were struck by Hezbollah rockets. No injuries were reported.

Hezbollah has been firing into Israel over the last year in support of Hamas, which, like Hezbollah, is backed by Iran. Last week, Israel sent ground troops into southern Lebanon to try to stop the attacks and eliminate the threat near its border.

Here is what else to know:

  • Houthi arms talks: The Russian arms dealer Viktor A. Bout is trying to broker a deal with Houthi militants in Yemen, who are backed by Iran and have been attacking Israel in solidarity with Hamas, according to Western officials. The negotiations are continuing, but no deal has been completed and no arms have been transferred, the officials said.

  • Lebanon deaths: More than 2,000 people have been killed in Lebanon and nearly 10,000 injured since the war in Gaza began last October, according to Lebanon’s ministry of health. Most of the deaths and injuries have occurred over the past three weeks. The World Health Organization said that Israeli attacks in Lebanon had killed at least 65 health workers and injured 40 others since Sept. 17, adding to the strain on a struggling health care system.

  • Retaliation on Iran: Israel’s ambassador to the United Nations, Danny Danon, said on Monday that Israeli officials were debating when and where to attack Iran in retaliation for the missile barrage it fired at Israel last week. “It will happen,” he said.

  • Gaza deaths: The Palestinian health authorities said that the death toll over the course of the year had surpassed 41,900, with more than 97,590 people injured. Adding to the toll, Palestinian civil defense said on Tuesday that 12 people had been killed and several others injured in Israeli airstrikes on a family home and tents housing displaced people in the Bureij area of central Gaza. The Israeli military said its troops were “eliminating terrorists” in the area.

Aryn Baker and Hiba Yazbek contributed reporting.

Hospitals in Gaza City and other parts in the north of the enclave will soon stop providing services because of a lack of fuel, Gaza’s health ministry said on Tuesday. It called on humanitarian organizations to help with fuel deliveries. Fuel shortages have been common at Gaza’s healthcare facilities, many of which have been badly damaged during the war.

The C.I.A. director says the risk of further escalation between Israel and Iran remains.

William J. Burns, the C.I.A. director, said the Middle East faced “a very real danger” of a further escalation of fighting, even though American intelligence agencies do not believe that the leaders of Iran or Israel want an all-out conflict.

Mr. Burns said the risk of further escalation between Israel and Iran remained. He said the challenge would be for Israel to translate its recent tactical success against Hezbollah into a longer-term peace.

Speaking on Monday evening at the Cipher Brief conference in Sea Island, Ga., he said Israel should build “an effective strategy that marries the use of force” against Hamas and Hezbollah with “good intelligence and ultimately smart diplomacy to try to produce a cease-fire to Israel’s north, as well as what has been a very elusive cease-fire in Gaza.”

Mr. Burns, a longtime diplomat before taking the helm of the C.I.A., has led the U.S. negotiations seeking to secure a cease-fire in Gaza in exchange for the release of hostages taken during the Hamas-led attacks last October. The United States, Qatar and Egypt have negotiated various proposals with Israel and Hamas as part of attempts to secure a deal.

“It has been pushing a very big rock up a very steep hill,” Mr. Burns said on Monday. “We’ve come close at least a couple of times, but it’s been very elusive.”

Mr. Burns said that he hoped he could close a Gaza cease-fire deal before the end of the Biden administration, and that he was focused on an agreement to end the fighting on Israel’s northern border with Lebanon as well as the conflict in Gaza.

“I very much hope that we’ll be able to pivot from what is currently an extremely risky environment dominated by military actions to one in which people in the region in particular see the possibility of doing a diplomatic arrangement to help produce a cease-fire in south Lebanon and Israel’s northern border, and on Gaza, a cease-fire and hostage deal across Israel’s southern border as well,” Mr. Burns said.

Asked if Israel was considering a strike on Iran’s nuclear or oil facilities, Mr. Burns said he would not make any predictions. He said Israel’s leadership was “weighing very carefully” how it would respond to Iran’s recent missile barrage, but was listening to President Biden’s concerns about an escalatory response.

Mr. Burns said he did not believe that Iran had decided to restart its nuclear weaponization program. While he predicted it would take Iran a week or a little more to produce one bomb’s worth of weapons-grade enriched material, he said no decision had been made by Iran to make a weapon.

“We watch it very carefully. I think we’re reasonably confident that working with our friends and allies, we would be able to see it relatively early on,” Mr. Burns said. “But the great risks now — the great danger in a way — is that time frame has been compressed in ways which create huge challenges for us.”


Yoav Gallant, the Israeli defense minister, said in a statement that “Nasrallah’s successor seems to have been eliminated” — an apparent reference to Hashem Safieddine, who is considered a successor to Hassan Nasrallah, the Hezbollah leader who was assassinated by Israel. But Gallant stopped short of confirming his death.

The Israeli military said it hit several rocket launchers that Hezbollah used earlier on Tuesday to fire a barrage at Haifa, the third-largest city in Israel. Most of those rockets were intercepted.

The Israeli military said that Hezbollah had fired “approximately 135 projectiles” from Lebanon today as of 3 p.m. local time. A home was hit in Kiryat Yam, north of the coastal city of Haifa, the second time since Sunday that areas near the city were struck by rockets from Lebanon.

The U.N. World Food Program expressed “extraordinary concern for Lebanon’s ability to continue to feed itself,” because of the impact of the fighting on food production. More than seven square miles of cropland has been burned over the past year, most of it in the last few weeks, in fires started by explosions, Matthew Hollingworth, the agency’s representative in Lebanon, told reporters. More than 45 square miles of some of the most productive farmland has been abandoned because of the conflict, he said, threatening harvests of such crops as olives, citrus fruits and bananas.

The World Health Organization expressed concern over rising Israeli attacks on health care workers and facilities in Lebanon. Since Israel launched its cross-border assault on Sept. 17, such attacks have killed 65 health workers and injured 40 others, Ian Clarke, a W.H.O. official in Lebanon, told reporters on a video call. Five hospitals are no longer functioning due to damage, and four others are partly evacuating as a result of Israel’s operations, he said, warning that the attacks are further weakening a health system that had been struggling amid Lebanon’s political and economic turmoil.

Israel strikes an area south of Beirut, as Hezbollah launches another rocket barrage.

A new series of Israeli airstrikes on Tuesday pounded the densely populated neighborhoods south of Beirut, a stronghold of the militant group Hezbollah.

The explosions, which could be heard from miles away, came shortly after the conclusion of a speech by Sheikh Naim Qassem, Hezbollah’s deputy leader and a possible successor to Hassan Nasrallah, the group’s longtime chief, who was killed in an Israeli strike in the same area on Sept. 27.

Sirens sounded in northern Israel and the city of Haifa at around the same time, as Israeli air defenses intercepted most of a barrage of more than 100 rockets coming from Lebanon over the course of 30 minutes, according to the Israeli military. One woman was slightly injured by shrapnel, and six others were hurt while seeking shelter, Israel’s emergency service said. Hezbollah took credit for the attack, saying it was in support of Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, in defense of Lebanon and in response to the Israeli invasion.

Earlier on Tuesday, Israel hit several other areas in south Lebanon with airstrikes, as the military announced that it was sending another division of ground troops across the border to aid in its campaign to eradicate Hezbollah infrastructure and head off further rocket launches into Israel.

Avichay Adraee, the Arabic-speaking spokesman for the Israeli military, warned residents of southern Lebanon to stay away from their homes. The military, he said on X, “continues to attack Hezbollah sites in and near your village, so for your own safety, you are prohibited from returning to your homes until further notice.” Israel has issued similar warnings for the past several days.

In his speech, a defiant Sheikh Qassem declared that Hezbollah had “overcome all the blows that have been dealt to us,” and that leaders who had been killed by Israel would be replaced so they could continue the fight. A successor to Mr. Nasrallah, he said, would be announced “when it has been finalized.”

Myra Noveck and Rawan Sheikh Ahmad contributed reporting.

The Palestinian civil defense in Gaza said 12 people were killed and several others were wounded in Israeli airstrikes this morning on a family home and tents housing displaced people in the Bureij area of central Gaza. The Israeli military said its troops were operating in Bureij, where they were “dismantling terrorist infrastructure sites and eliminating terrorists.”

The Israeli military said about 85 rockets were launched over the border from Lebanon. Sirens were activated in Haifa and surrounding areas in northern Israel, and large explosions could be heard.

There have just been two large airstrikes in the Dahiya, the cluster of neighborhoods south of Beirut. They could be heard for miles.

There has just been yet another strike in the area, this time a few blocks south. Three daytime attacks in such a short time period is uncommon. I can see a thick plume of smoke rising in the distance.

Sheikh Naim Qassem, the deputy leader of Hezbollah, said in a televised speech that the Lebanese militia’s ability to fight Israel remained intact, despite a series of attacks and assassinations by Israel. “Our capabilities are fine, and what the enemy said about exhausting our capabilities is an illusion,” he said, adding that the group, still reeling from the assassination of its longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah, was working on electing his replacement. “The current circumstances are difficult and complicated because of this war,” he said.

As soon as Sheikh Qassem finished his speech, sirens warning of incoming rocket fire blared across parts of northern Israel.

The Israeli military said that a fourth division had begun operating in Lebanon’s southwest on Monday, expanding its forces there. Israeli troops first crossed into Lebanon a week ago in what the military called a “limited” operation.

Israel challenges U.N. court’s jurisdiction to issue a warrant for Netanyahu’s arrest.

Israel has rejected the International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor’s request for arrest warrants for its prime minister and defense minister over their conduct of the war in Gaza, in filings to the court made late last month that were reclassified as public on Friday.

The Israeli filings rejecting the warrants are based on technical grounds, not on the substance of the claims. They do not address the questions raised by the court’s chief prosecutor, Karim Khan, about whether the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, and his defense minister, Yoav Gallant, may be guilty of war crimes and crimes against humanity for their prosecution of the war in Gaza.

Instead, the documents challenge the court’s jurisdiction, arguing that Mr. Khan failed to provide sufficient notice of the scope of his inquiry or to give Israel time to show that it is capable of independently investigating the same matters. Under the treaty setting up the International Criminal Court, which Israel is not a party to, a case could be inadmissible in the court if it is already being or will be investigated by a state with jurisdiction over it.

That means if Israel has the ability to conduct its own investigation into the actions underlying the accusations against Mr. Netanyahu and Mr. Gallant, the International Criminal Court in theory could give precedence to the country’s judicial system, allowing it the opportunity to address the claims.

In this case, Israel has argued that Mr. Khan did not provide enough information about what he was investigating, nor did he give Israel the chance to show it would inquire into the allegations itself.

“Despite having been forced into a bloody conflict that it did not want, Israel remains a democracy endowed with an independent judiciary and deeply committed to the rule of law,” the Israeli filing argued, adding that Israel “has the appropriate mechanisms” to ensure accountability for any alleged crimes.

In May, Mr. Khan sought arrest warrants for Mr. Netanyahu and Mr. Gallant, and Israel is hoping to thwart or delay the issuance of the warrants. Mr. Khan also sought warrants for three Hamas leaders who were responsible for the Oct. 7 Hamas-led attacks that set off the war in Gaza — Yahya Sinwar, Ismail Haniyeh and Muhammad Deif. Of these three, only Mr. Sinwar is believed to still be alive.

Among other technical arguments rejecting the international court’s jurisdiction, Israel is now asking the I.C.C. to delay the request for arrest warrants for two of its top leaders until Mr. Khan provides more details about the scope of his investigation. And it wants the chance to show the court that it will address the accusations internally.

“Israel has primary jurisdiction and is best placed to investigate allegations of the sort raised by the Prosecutor, given the access required to relevant evidence, information and persons,” the Israeli submission argued.

The I.C.C. does have jurisdiction to proceed when a state is unable or unwilling to investigate accusations, or if the state inquiry is conducted in bad faith to protect the accused. And each situation is assessed on a case-by-case basis, so an Israeli inquiry wouldn’t necessarily preclude an I.C.C. prosecution going forward even if the court decides to grant Israel’s initial requests.

U.S. imposes new sanctions to cut off Hamas funds.

The Biden administration imposed new sanctions on Monday intended to curtail the Hamas fund-raising network, taking new steps to cut off the group’s money supply a year after its attack on Israel.

The Treasury Department added a “sham” charity, a Hamas-controlled financial institution in Gaza and three Hamas members who are based in Europe to its sanctions list, which cuts them off from much of the global financial system. The sanctions are intended to stop Hamas from using charitable donations to fund its military wing.

“As we mark one year since Hamas’s brutal terrorist attack, Treasury will continue relentlessly degrading the ability of Hamas and other destabilizing Iranian proxies to finance their operations and carry out additional violent acts,” Janet L. Yellen, the Treasury secretary, said in a statement.

The United States estimates that Hamas has been raising as much as $10 million per month in donations from front charities. Europe is a major source of its fund-raising efforts.

The charity facing sanctions is called the Charity Association of Solidarity with the Palestinian People, which was founded by the Italy-based Hamas member Mohammad Hannoun.

The Treasury Department is also imposing sanctions on Al-Intaj Bank, a Hamas-run financial institution that the United States says is used to circumvent international sanctions.

Additionally, the United States is blacklisting Hamid Abdullah Hussein al Ahmar, a Yemeni national who lives in Turkey and who has helped to oversee Hamas’s $500 million investment portfolio. He chairs a “sham” Lebanese charity, Al-Quds International Foundation, according to the Treasury, which is also imposing sanctions on nine of his businesses.

“The Treasury Department will use all available tools at our disposal to hold Hamas and its enablers accountable, including those who seek to exploit the situation to secure additional sources of revenue,” Ms. Yellen said.

Nobel Physics Prize Awarded for Pioneering A.I. Research by 2 Scientists

John J. Hopfield and Geoffrey E. Hinton were awarded the Nobel Prize in Physics on Tuesday for discoveries that helped computers learn more in the way the human brain does, providing the building blocks for developments in artificial intelligence.

The award is an acknowledgment of A.I.’s growing significance in the way people live and work. With its ability to make sense of vast amounts of data, machine learning that uses artificial neural networks already has a major role in scientific research, the Nobel committee said, including in physics, where it is used for the creation of “new materials with specific properties.”

The breakthroughs of Dr. Hopfield and Dr. Hinton “stand on the foundations of physical science,” the committee said on X. “They have showed a completely new way for us to use computers to aid and to guide us to tackle many of the challenges our society face.”

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So, Are You Pregnant Yet? China’s In-Your-Face Push for More Babies.

The first time a government worker encouraged Yumi Yang to have a baby, she thought little of it. She and her husband were registering their marriage at a local office in northeastern China, and the worker gave them free prenatal vitamins, which she chalked up to the government trying to be helpful.

When an official later called to ask if she had taken them, and then called again after she did get pregnant to track her progress, Ms. Yang shrugged those questions off as well intentioned, too. But then officials showed up at her door after she had given birth, asking to take a photograph of her with her baby for their files. That was too much.

“When they came to my home, that was really ridiculous,” said Ms. Yang, 28. “I felt a little disgusted.”

Faced with a declining population that threatens economic growth, the Chinese government is responding with a time-tested tactic: inserting itself into this most intimate of choices for women, whether or not to have a child.

Officials are not just going door to door to ask women about their plans. They have partnered with universities to develop courses on having a “positive view of marriage and childbearing.” At high-profile political gatherings, officials are spreading the message wherever they can.

“I always feel, as a woman, if you’ve done your time on this earth and haven’t given birth to another life, that’s a real pity,” Gao Jie, a delegate from the All-China Women’s Federation, told reporters during a national meeting of lawmakers in Beijing this year.

At the very least, the in-your-face approach makes it harder for women to tune out calls by China’s leader, Xi Jinping, to get married and have babies. To some, it is outright invasive; on social media, women have complained about being approached by neighborhood officials, including some who they said called to ask the date of their last menstrual cycle.

Mr. Xi, who has overseen a crackdown on feminist activism, has said that promoting childbirth as a national priority is one step toward ensuring that women “always walk with the party.” (The country’s total fertility rate, a measure of the number of children a woman is expected to have over her lifetime, is among the world’s lowest. The rate is estimated at around 1.0, compared to 1.62 in the United States last year.)

The fertility campaign is also a reminder that the Chinese Communist Party has a long history of imposing its will on people’s reproductive decisions. For decades starting in the 1970s, it enforced a one-child policy, sometimes brutally. Officials fined couples who had unauthorized pregnancies and even forced some women to undergo abortions.

As China’s economy developed, the party stepped back somewhat, though it never relinquished authority altogether, ruling in 2021 that couples could have three children.

Now, it is rushing back into view.

To understand what these efforts look like, The New York Times visited multiple maternity hospitals, along with several neighborhoods where officials have highlighted their attempts to promote fertility. Of 10 women we spoke to, seven said they had been asked by officials if they planned to have children.

For many women, the government’s nagging seemed out of step with their concerns, as well as outdated. It failed to address the high cost of raising children and how they would juggle motherhood alongside their careers and other ambitions.

“We’re not like people born in the 1970s or ’80s. Everyone knows that people born after the ’90s generally don’t want kids,” Ms. Yang said. “Whether you want to have children is a very private issue.”

To the party, such comments are precisely why the new efforts — which have been labeled a campaign for a “new marriage and childbearing culture” — are so important.

“Some people believe that marriage and childbirth are only private matters, and up to each individual. This view is wrong and one-sided,” a government-run family planning association in Mudanjiang, a city of about two million in northern China, said in a news release this year.

The heart of the work falls to government family planning associations, a network with hundreds of thousands of offshoots embedded in villages, workplaces and city neighborhoods. For decades, overseen by a national association, they were the main bodies that enforced the one-child policy.

But now, they are working instead to promote the so-called new fertility culture.

In Miyun, a district of Beijing with about 500,000 residents, local family planning officials have set up a 500-person propaganda team to promote the cause, according to an article published last year by the national association.

The team had contacted more than half of Miyun’s “suitably aged” couples at least six times, the article said. It also installed new artwork in a park: a life-size cutout of a man and woman walking with three children, under a slogan urging couples not to wait too long to have children.

The article also said that officials’ bonuses would be pegged to how successfully they promoted the new culture, though it did not specify how performance would be measured. Miyun officials declined an interview request.

Zhang Rongxing, 38, who was walking with her preschool-age son near the artwork on a recent morning, said that local officials had asked both over the phone and in person if she was planning on having another child.

She was not. The two she already had were enough. “It’s too much work,” she said. “Mentally, financially, in terms of time.”

The efforts to track and influence women’s fertility plans can begin even before marriage. Many cities offer free premarital health examinations, where couples are screened for hereditary diseases and told they should ideally have children before turning 35. Several women said officials called them soon after they underwent the health examinations to tell them to collect free folic acid, a prenatal supplement.

Officials remain involved throughout pregnancies, too. Government websites instruct women to register their pregnancies at community health centers, which are overseen by the local government.

At a maternity hospital in Beijing, Yang Yingying, 34, said community workers had checked in throughout her pregnancy. “They say things like, I see that you’re due for an exam,” she said.

Some women told The Times they appreciated the outreach because they felt cared for. Women have also lauded other parts of the pro-fertility campaign, which include expanding child-care resources and encouraging men to help out at home.

Even those who found the questions from officials invasive said they were easy to ignore. There is no sign that the government intervention has come close to the excesses of the one-child era.

Nor is it likely to, given the political backlash it would incur, said Wang Feng, a demography expert at the University of California, Irvine.

Still, the government’s rhetoric about childbearing being a public responsibility showed that its overall mind-set, of trying to control women’s fertility choices, had not changed, he added.

“It’s exactly the same mentality as when they implemented birth controls,” Professor Wang said. “The government is, I would say, totally oblivious of how society has moved beyond them.”

Some scholars, activists and ordinary women have worried that the government could move more forcefully to limit women’s choices. The central government has pledged in several recent health plans to reduce “medically unnecessary abortions,” setting off social media frenzies from those who worried that access to the procedure could be restricted.

The government has not specified what it defines as medically unnecessary, and it has made similar promises for over a decade. China has one of the world’s highest abortion rates, in part because the one-child policy made the procedure widely available. There have not been widespread reports of new obstacles. But the government’s increasingly urgent calls for more children have left many women wary.

Those fears are heightened by the fact that, in some places, abortion access is already overseen not only by doctors but also by officials, who may have considerations other than purely medical ones. Some cities require any woman who is 14 or more weeks pregnant to obtain permission from her local family planning department before obtaining an abortion.

The requirement emerged in the 2000s to prevent parents from aborting female fetuses, a practice that was prevalent during the one-child era. But in the city of Nanjing, one of the places with such a rule, officials at two family planning offices said they tried to discourage applicants generally.

The officials, who did not give their names because they were not authorized to give interviews, said they had not received any explicit guidance to do so. But they both mentioned the government’s shift to a three-child policy, and young people’s reluctance to have more children.

On one office’s windows, 14 different posters promoted marriage and childbirth. “Life is the continuation of love,” one poster said, showing a young couple playing with three children.

Siyi Zhao contributed research.

For Many Israelis, Oct. 7 Never Ended

Like other Israeli civilians, Geffen Yamin and Eyar Liv Halabi, project managers at Tel Aviv startups, rushed to fill gaps in the government’s initially paralyzed response when thousands of gunmen from Gaza poured over the border on Oct. 7.

The military struggled to mobilize. Reserve soldiers called up on emergency orders that day had no way to get to their stations, because public transportation was suspended for the Sabbath and a Jewish holiday. So Ms. Yamin, 28, and Ms. Halabi, 22, began networking via WhatsApp groups to find volunteer drivers.

Now, a year later, they are among many Israelis still seeking answers about why the government had appeared so absent, a breakdown that shattered a widely held belief that it would always be there to protect them.

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A Cartel Double-Cross Turns a Mexican State Into a War Zone

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Natalie Kitroeff and

Reporting from Culiacán, Mexico

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Bodies dumped on the side of the road. Gun battles in upscale neighborhoods. Tractor-trailers set aflame on the highway. People plucked from their cars by armed men in broad daylight.

This is what it looks like when war breaks out within one of the most powerful criminal mafias in the world, the Sinaloa Cartel, pitting two rival factions against each other in a bloody struggle to control a multibillion-dollar narco empire.

The past few years had been relatively peaceful in Sinaloa state, in northwest Mexico, where the dominance of a single, cohesive criminal organization kept turf wars to a minimum, and official homicide rates were lower than in many major U.S. cities.

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After Key Town Falls in Ukraine’s East, Russian Forces Push Into Another

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A week after Russia captured Vuhledar, a town that anchored Ukraine’s defenses in the country’s southeast, Moscow’s forces are continuing to advance in the area, pushing into or flanking several towns as they try to break through Ukrainian lines.

Russian troops have now entered Toretsk, a city about 50 miles north of Vuhledar, and are advancing toward its center, according to battlefield maps compiled by independent groups analyzing combat footage. A Ukrainian Army spokeswoman, Anastasia Bobovnikova, said late Monday that Russia had entered the city, noting that “fighting is taking place literally at every entrance” to it.

The Russian Army has also made small advances along the jagged, curving front line that stretches from Toretsk to Vuhledar in eastern Ukraine’s Donetsk region, closing in on several strategic towns and cities, the battlefield maps show.

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India’s Political Carnival Is Back in Season, With Mixed Results for Modi

Sign up for the Tilt newsletter, for Times subscribers only.  Nate Cohn, The Times’s chief political analyst, makes sense of the latest political data.

In the first test of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s poll power since his party’s shocking loss of its majority in India’s national elections this summer, two closely watched elections on Tuesday kept the surprises coming.

In the northern state of Haryana, the results for Mr. Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party were surprisingly good: The opposition Congress Party was so heavily favored there that its local leaders were already sparring over the spoils. Instead, the B.J.P. kept its hold on the state and served a warning that exit polls are nothing to bank on.

In the contested territory of Jammu and Kashmir, though, Mr. Modi’s heavy maneuvering to assert B.J.P. ascendance was foiled, and Congress and its allies won overwhelmingly.

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