The New York Times 2025-04-05 00:14:46


Will Trump’s Tariffs Drive Europe Into China’s Arms, or Into a Fight?

Will Trump’s Tariffs Drive Europe Into China’s Arms, or Into a Fight?

The European Union is deepening other trade partnerships as U.S. relations sour. But with China, the relationship could get closer — or more combative.

President Trump’s tariffs mean that companies across the European Union and around the world are at risk of losing access to the world’s largest consumer market.

Naturally, they are looking for the next big thing. Statistically speaking, that would mean China.

The E.U. has the second-largest consumer market in the world behind America; China is third. But China and the E.U. have not exactly been cozy in recent years. Europe has regularly blasted China for overproducing and dumping artificially cheap products on the global market, and European leaders have criticized China’s stance toward Russia’s war in Ukraine, among other political and social issues.

Still, the E.U. is staring down 20 percent across-the-board tariffs in the United States, and even higher levies on major products like cars and trucks. China is confronting rates in excess of 50 percent. There’s a small chance that those tariffs could drive the two large economies closer together, experts said — an unintended consequence at a time when Mr. Trump’s America has been trying to weaken China.

There have been early hints of a thaw. The E.U. imposed higher tariffs on Chinese-made electrical vehicles last year, but China’s commerce ministry said at a news conference on Thursday that the two sides had agreed to restart negotiations. Olof Gill, an E.U. spokesman for trade, said officials had agreed to “continue discussions” on electric vehicle supply chains and take a “fresh look” at pricing.

But there is an even greater possibility that this moment will tear the E.U. and China further apart. China’s reduced access to American consumers could prod its companies to send even more cheap metals, chemicals and other products in Europe’s direction, worsening concerns about dumping and heightening already-high tensions on other matters. Relations between the two nations could deteriorate, widening the damage as America blows up longstanding global trade patterns.

What Will Trump’s Tariffs Do to EU-China Trade Relations? – The New York Times

“There’s two ways that this could play,” said Theresa Fallon, an analyst at the Center for Russia, Europe, Asia Studies in Brussels. “Europe is in a really tough position.”

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When Kenyan Maids Sought Help Overseas, Diplomats Demanded Sex

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Selestine Kemoli fled to the Kenyan Embassy in Riyadh in 2020, terrified and desperate.

Ms. Kemoli had been working in Saudi Arabia as a maid. Like many East Africans in her situation, she said, she was being abused. She told the embassy’s labor attaché that her boss slashed her breasts with a paring knife, forced her to drink urine and raped her.

Broke and alone, she wanted help getting home to her two children in Kenya.

“You are beautiful,” the labor attaché, Robinson Juma Twanga, responded, according to Ms. Kemoli.

Mr. Twanga offered to help, she said, but with a catch. “I will sleep with you, just the same way your boss has slept with you,” she remembers him saying.

Multiple women, who did not know each other and lived in separate counties, told The New York Times that when they fled abuse in Saudi Arabia, Mr. Twanga demanded sex or money, or pressured them to go into sex work to pay for a ticket home.

Lawyers say they have collected similar accounts from numerous women involving other embassy officials. They said that Mr. Twanga is but one example of how these officials exploit women at their most vulnerable moments.

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Welcome to Birmingham, England — Mind the Rats

A pungent smell of rotting garbage fills the air. Bulging sacks of trash pile high, some spilling their festering contents. And, with vermin plaguing parts of the city, at least one resident has claimed to have been bitten by a rat.

With its heritage as a manufacturing powerhouse and its proud civic history, Birmingham likes to call itself Britain’s second city.

Right now, it’s the nation’s garbage capital.

A standoff between striking refuse workers and city officials has left an estimated 17,000 tons of trash piled on city streets that is attracting rats, foxes, cockroaches and maggots. On Monday, Birmingham’s municipality declared it a “major incident,” which allows it to access more resources from the government and other nearby regions.

Some garbage collections are still taking place and the city has managed to keep many areas, including the center, clear of trash. But in several residential districts and parks it was highly conspicuous on Wednesday.

In Small Heath, a neighborhood two miles from the city center, black plastic bags had piled up at the end of some streets, and people from other areas had added to the mess by dumping their uncollected garbage.

“I have lived in England for 36 years. I have never seen a situation like this before,” said Javad Javadi, 51, a delivery driver who is originally from Iran, as he walked past overflowing plastic trash bins that lined Malmesbury Road.

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Trump Weighs In, Making Marine Le Pen’s Case Part of the Politics of Grievance

The American president cast the French politician’s conviction as an example of far-right persecution, ignoring ample evidence against her.

“FREE MARINE LE PEN!”

With this blunt call, a strange one in that the French far-right leader is walking the streets of Paris, President Trump has waded into the politics of an ally, condemning her conviction this week on embezzlement charges and her disqualification from running for public office.

The conviction was “another example of European Leftists using Lawfare to silence Free Speech,” Mr. Trump wrote on Truth Social. Elon Musk, his billionaire aide, drove home the point: “Free Le Pen!” Mr. Musk echoed on his social media platform X.

More than an extraordinary American intervention in French politics, the statements ignored the overwhelming evidence arrayed against Ms. Le Pen, who was convicted of helping orchestrate over many years a system to divert European taxpayers’ money illicitly to offset the acute financial difficulties of her National Rally party in France.

For the American president and his team, as well as for an angry chorus of Le Pen supporters at home, her case has become part of a vigorous campaign to undermine the separation of powers and the rule of law. Vice President JD Vance and others have accused liberals of using the law to stifle the far right and quash democratic choice.

Ms. Le Pen will speak at a big National Rally demonstration Sunday in Paris under the banner “Let’s Save Democracy!” The National Rally was founded in 1972 as the National Front, an antisemitic party of fascist roots, by her father, Jean-Marie Le Pen. It was long seen as a direct threat to the democratic rule of the Fifth Republic, before Ms. Le Pen embarked on a makeover.

She is a front-runner in the 2027 French presidential election, but will not be able to run unless she secures a more lenient ruling on appeal. The Paris Court of Appeal, expediting the process, has said a decision is expected to be reached by summer 2026. It is far from clear, however, that this verdict would go her way.

The court sentenced Ms. Le Pen to four years in prison, with two of those suspended, and the other two to be served under a form of house arrest. Under this verdict, she would not be put behind bars. For now, Ms. Le Pen’s appeal puts her sentence on hold.

Mr. Trump, who said France had put Mr. Le Pen “in prison” and censored her, neither of which is true, compared her treatment to his own at the hands of a “group of Lunatics and Losers.” He faced indictments, convictions and criminal cases on his way to winning the presidency last year.

“They get her on a minor charge that she probably knew nothing about,” Mr. Trump said. “Sounds like a ‘bookkeeping error’ to me.”

In fact, the reams of evidence produced at trial and detailed in the more than 150-page verdict placed Ms. Le Pen at the heart of an elaborate system developed over three legislatures from 2004 to 2016 that used no-show “assistant” jobs at the European Parliament to finance her party. The people in these “jobs” worked for the party in roles like Ms. Le Pen’s security guard or personal assistant.

She has denied all charges, saying that the people involved were political aides, not European Parliament employees, even though they were paid with the assembly’s funds. Her sweeping dismissal of volumes of evidence was viewed as cavalier by the presiding judge, Bénédicte de Perthuis, one reason she considered her capable of similar acts if not barred from running for public office.

According to the court ruling, in June 22, 2014, Jean-Luc Schaffhauser, a former National Rally lawmaker at the European Parliament, wrote to Wallerand de Saint-Just, the party’s former treasurer. “What Marine is asking us to do is the equivalent of signing for fictitious jobs,” he said. “I understand Marine’s reasons, but we’re going to get burned because we’ll certainly be scrutinized as such a large group.”

That same month, Mr. Saint-Just wrote to Ms. Le Pen, portraying the party’s grave financial situation, the court said. “In 2013, monthly expenses were 100,000 euros more than expected,” as a result of missions, receptions, travel and conferences, he said. “We will only get by if we make significant savings thanks to the European Parliament.”

Those “savings” amounted to close to $4.8 million over the time the scheme ran its course. At the same time, in 2014, Ms. Le Pen, using her ties to President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, had secured in extremis a loan from a Russian bank to bail out the party.

French courts, acting on laws passed and vigorously supported by Ms. Le Pen over the past 15 years in response to public outrage over political corruption, have hardened their positions on cases involving prominent politicians, including Nicolas Sarkozy, a former president.

The 2017 presidential bid of François Fillon, a former prime minister, was derailed by an investigation into no-show parliamentary jobs involving his wife and several children. He was convicted in 2020 but his case is still going through the appeals process.

While Ms. Le Pen’s conviction and disqualification conform with these developments, they are unique in barring a leading presidential candidate.

This has ignited political passions and led to an intense debate pitting “democracy” and the “people” against the law, even if a state stripped of the rule of law is almost certainly headed toward autocracy.

“The verdict is heavy, a severe decision given Ms. Le Pen’s long disqualification,” said Anne-Charlène Bezzina, a senior lecturer in public law at the University of Rouen. “There’s never been anything like it in the Fifth Republic. But is it anti-democratic? Evidently not. A functioning justice system independent of political power is the sign of a healthy democracy.”

An opinion poll by the Ouest-France newspaper and the Ifop polling institute this week found that 64 percent of French people supported a court’s ability to immediately bar convicted politicians from running for office. At the same time, a poll by Sud Radio and Ifop found that 49 percent of people believe Ms. Le Pen should be allowed to run for president.