The New York Times 2024-09-27 00:10:23


Live Updates: U.S. Pushes Cease-Fire in Lebanon as Netanyahu Says Israel Will Fight On

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Here are the latest developments.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel instructed his military to keep fighting “with full force” on Thursday, as a high-stakes international diplomatic effort was underway to pause the conflict between Hezbollah and Israel.

Mr. Netanyahu of Israel was heading to New York for the U.N. General Assembly, even as members of his government dismissed a cease-fire proposal that was put forward by the United States, European allies and several Arab nations and Israel’s military carried out new strikes in Lebanon, including one in Beirut, the capital that targeted the commander of Hezbollah’s drone unit.

Israel’s foreign minister rejected the proposal in sentiments echoed by lawmakers across the Israeli political spectrum. The prime minister’s office declined to comment on it, but did not explicitly rule out a cease-fire. Hezbollah has not responded to the proposal, which analysts said would be hard for either side to accept because it falls short of their respective conditions for a truce.

However, senior Israeli officials, including Ron Dermer, the prime minister’s closest adviser, have privately discussed the possibility of a cease-fire with their American counterparts, according to two Israeli officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive diplomacy.

The escalation of the conflict in Lebanon has raised international alarm. A French official, who also spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive diplomacy, said that the current escalation could evolve into a full-fledged war between Israel and Hezbollah and that France believes there is only a “narrow window” for a cease-fire deal. The announcement of the proposal on Wednesday, the official said, was the result of weeks of coordination between France — which was in touch with Lebanese parties —- and the United States, which played the major role in talking to Israel.

Israel and Hezbollah, the powerful Iran-backed militia, have been trading fire since the beginning of the war in Gaza, but Israel has intensified its attacks over the last week, with a one of the biggest bombing campaigns in recent military history. On Wednesday, Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi, the Israeli military chief of staff, suggested that it was preparing for the possibility of a ground invasion.

Here’s what else to know:

  • Parties to the proposal: Hezbollah, which as a militant group does not have the same accountability as a state institution in Lebanon, would not be formally asked to accept the proposal. But it’s not always clear where Hezbollah ends and Lebanon begins. The group, which the United States and many other countries consider a terrorist organization, is a dominant political and military power in the country.

  • Fresh strikes: Israel’s military said on Thursday that it was striking targets in southern Lebanon in response to a wave of 45 rockets fired into northern Israel. Lebanon’s health ministry said 20 people were killed in an Israeli airstrike in Younine, a town in the Bekaa Valley, and that three people were killed in the Tyre district, on the country’s Mediterranean coast. The airstrike in Beirut, which targeted the drone unit commander, killed two people and injured fifteen more, according to the ministry.

  • Panic and desperation: Israel’s strikes have killed hundreds of people in Lebanon and have spread fear and desperation. Roughly 500,000 people have been displaced, according to Lebanon’s foreign ministry, and civilians have clogged the main roads leading to Beirut, the capital.

  • Gaza fears: As world attention focuses on the escalating conflict between Israel and Hezbollah tensions, some Palestinians in Gaza worry that efforts to end the war and humanitarian crisis there will wane. The families of Israeli hostages also worry that their loved ones will be forgotten as Israel’s attention turns to the north.

Israel’s forces still have the resources to invade Lebanon, despite Gaza war, analysts say.

Despite fatigue among its ranks and diminished stockpiles after nearly a year of war, the Israeli military still has the capacity to launch a short-term invasion of southern Lebanon, having wound down its military Gaza operations in recent weeks, security experts said.

“Israel has sufficient resources to undertake a ground invasion,” said Brig. Gen. Yaacov Ayish, former commander of the Israeli military’s operations directorate. “Nobody wants a war, but this is a war that has been imposed on us.”

For nearly a year, Israel has been fighting Hamas in the Gaza Strip, in an effort to destroy the militant group after it led brutal attacks on Israel on Oct. 7 last year. Then in August, Israel ramped up its operations against militants in the Israeli-occupied West Bank.

Now, Israel military leaders have said its troops are preparing for a possible ground invasion of southern Lebanon with the aim of crippling Hezbollah, the armed group and political party that controls much of southern Lebanon.

Hezbollah has been firing rockets and drones on Israeli territory in solidarity with Hamas since Oct. 8, a day after Hamas-led forces killed 1,200 people in southern Israel, setting off the war in Gaza. Since then, Hezbollah and Israel have been engaged in back-and-forth air attacks, killing combatants and civilians, destroying homes and setting farmland on fire.

Over the past week, the Israeli military has greatly expanded its attacks on Hezbollah by launching a major bombing campaign, with the declared aim of returning some 60,000 displaced residents of northern Israel to their homes.

The airstrikes, the most significant by Israel since its 2006 war with Hezbollah, have killed senior commanders in the group and blown up its weapons stores. The Lebanese health ministry has said more than 600 people have been killed, including women and children.

Still, the security experts expressed skepticism about a potentially drawn out Israeli invasion without a clear end goal in sight.

“Fighting a short battle is possible,” said Brig. Gen. Assaf Orion, a former senior official in the Israeli military’s planning directorate. “But if it drags from weeks to months to years, I’m doubtful.” He added that he did not believe Israel’s stockpiles could sustain a yearslong incursion.

A senior Israeli security official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss operational details, said that while the military had used more munitions than it originally expected in Gaza, it had managed its stockpiles, taking into consideration the possibility of a major operation in Lebanon.

On Wednesday, Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi, the Israeli military’s chief of staff, suggested that the country’s forces were gearing up for a possible ground invasion.

“You hear the jets overhead; we have been striking all day,” General Halevi told soldiers along Israel’s northern border with Lebanon. “This is both to prepare the ground for your possible entry and to continue degrading Hezbollah.”

The military has also called up two brigades to the north and allowed an Israeli television reporter to interview soldiers simulating a ground incursion in a forested region.

General Ayish said that in his view a ground invasion should focus on clearing the border region of Hezbollah’s fighters and destroying its weapons infrastructure, including tunnels carved into the rocky underground.

“We need to take all actions necessary to disrupt Hezbollah’s ability to attack our communities in the north,” said General Ayish, who now is a senior vice president at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America.

Israel could later withdraw to its territory, he added, leaving open the possibility to carry out pinpointed attacks against Hezbollah if it attempts to reconstitute itself by the border.

Still, a diplomatic agreement, General Ayish and other experts said, was needed to ensure that residents of northern Israel can return to their homes.

“I don’t think Israel should try to defeat Hezbollah militarily,” said Ofer Shelah, a former member of Israel’s Parliament, the Knesset, and an author of books on military affairs. “So what you need to do is a diplomatic effort alongside the military one.”

Hezbollah has repeatedly said it would not agree to stop firing on Israel until Hamas and Israel agree to a cease-fire in Gaza. Efforts to achieve a truce have faltered time after time as Israel and Hamas have staked out incompatible positions.

And Israeli officials have indicated he wants to pressure Hezbollah into halting its attacks on Israel, even without a truce in Gaza.

Many of the experts doubt that Hezbollah would back off its position, even if Israel escalated further.

“There’s no separating between Gaza and Lebanon,” Mr. Shelah said.

Natan Odenheimer contributed reporting.

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Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III warned of the prospect of an “all-out war” in the Middle East that could be “devastating for both Israel and Lebanon,” but said that a diplomatic solution remains possible. “Israel and Lebanon can choose a different path. Despite a sharp escalation in recent days a diplomatic solution is still viable,” Austin said in London, adding that “all parties should seize this opportunity.”

Israel says it killed another Hezbollah commander in Beirut.

Israel’s military carried out an airstrike in Beirut on Thursday that it said was intended to kill the commander of Hezbollah’s aerial unit, the latest in a string of attacks that appear to be aimed at eliminating the militia’s leadership.

The Israeli military said the commander, Mohamed Hussein Sarour, also known as Abu Saleh, was killed in strike. There was no immediate confirmation from Hezbollah, as of Thursday afternoon. Lebanon’s health ministry said two people were killed in the attack, but it did not identify them.

The airstrike hit a tall building in a residential area of southern Beirut, according to photos and video from the scene. It came less than one week after an airstrike in Beirut killed a number of senior Hezbollah commanders.

Those included Ahmed Wahbi, a prominent leader in the group’s elite Radwan force, and Ibrahim Aqeel, a Hezbollah commander wanted by the United States for his role in a series of bombings in 1983 that killed hundreds of Americans in Beirut. Dozens of civilians were also killed by the Israeli strikes.

In a statement about Thursday’s airstrike, the Israeli military said Mr. Sarour oversaw the manufacture of drones in southern Lebanon for Hezbollah, played a role in intelligence gathering, and acted as an emissary to Yemen, whose Iran-backed Houthi militants have also launched aerial attacks on Israel.

He “advanced and directed numerous aerial terror attacks, including drone attacks, cruise missiles, and UAVs aimed at the people of Israel,” the statement said.

Not all of Israel’s attempts to kill Hezbollah commanders over the past week have been successful, however. On Monday, Israel tried to assassinate Ali Karaki, a top commander in southern Lebanon. Hezbollah said Mr. Karaki survived that attack and had been taken to a “safe place” in the wake of the strike.

Israel says it targeted Hamas in a strike on a school compound. Gazan officials report women and children were killed.

Israel’s military said it struck a school compound in northern Gaza with bombs on Thursday, claiming it housed a Hamas command-and-control center. Palestinian Civil Defense officials said 15 people, including women and children, were killed and dozens of others were wounded.

The attack appeared to be the latest of dozens of airstrikes that Israel’s military has carried out in recent months on schools in Gaza that have been turned into shelters for people forced to flee their homes by the war and airstrikes.

The military said Hamas fighters were using the school in Jabaliya to plan attacks on Israel and its forces, without providing evidence. It said that numerous steps were taken to limit harm to civilians, including the use of precise munitions and aerial surveillance, a statement it has routinely made in its reports about airstrikes on the school-turned-shelter compounds.

It has said that Hamas fighters routinely use civilian buildings and hide among ordinary residents in violation of international law. Palestinian authorities say that hundreds of civilians have died in the attacks on the temporary shelters in school compounds. The United Nations, human rights groups and some governments have criticized some of the strikes and say Israel still has a responsibility to protect civilians.

The number of attacks on the compounds has risen at a time when Israeli forces have largely secured control of the enclave and have defeated Hamas’ main battle formations, turning the conflict into a guerrilla war.

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Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken, appearing on NBC this morning, declined to address Netanyahu’s hawkish remarks. “I can’t speak for him,” Blinken said, adding that “the world is speaking clearly” on the need for a cease-fire. Blinken said he will meet with Israeli officials today in New York. His official schedule lists a meeting with Israel’s minister of strategic affairs, Ron Dermer.

A strike this afternoon has caused significant damage in a tall building of the crowded neighborhood in southern Beirut considered to be a Hezbollah stronghold. During a brief visit permitted to the press, I was able to see personal objects buried amidst the rubble and emergency workers at the site. Recent Israeli strikes in the Lebanese capital have killed senior Hezbollah commanders and dozens of civilians.

Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian Authority leader, received a long round of applause as he took the podium to address the General Assembly just now. “We will not leave, Palestine is our homeland,” he said. “If anyone were to leave it would be the occupier.”

Abbas told the audience that Israel’s wars on Palestinians in Gaza, the West Bank and Lebanon must end immediately, saying “this madness cannot continue.” When he finished his speech, the General Assembly broke into loud applause, cheers and several chants of “Free Palestine.”

The Israeli airstrike in Beirut this afternoon was an attempt to kill the commander of Hezbollah’s drone unit, Mohammad Hossein Sarour, also known as Abu Saleh. The Israeli military said Sarour had been killed, but there was no confirmation from Hezbollah. The strike was the latest in a string to hit the area, targeting Hezbollah commanders.

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The Israeli military said it was “carrying out precise strikes in Beirut” this afternoon. Smoke could be seen rising over the city. Recent strikes in the capital have targeted and killed senior Hezbollah commanders.

News Analysis

Despite foreign pressure, both Israel and Hezbollah have reasons to reject a truce.

The proposal for a three-week cease-fire between Israel and Hezbollah would be hard for either side to accept because it falls short of their respective conditions for a truce, according to analysts.

Hezbollah’s leaders have repeatedly said they will continue to fight until there is a cease-fire in Gaza between Israel and Hamas, an ally of the armed group that is also backed by Iran. Pausing its own war with Israel while Hamas fights on would expose Hezbollah to criticism from its most ardent supporters that it was abandoning its principles and an ally.

Israeli leaders also want more than a short period of calm along their northern border. They have often spoken about seeking a fundamental change to the security dynamic in the border areas, where Hezbollah and Israel have traded missile fire since October after the Lebanese militia began firing at Israeli positions in solidarity with Hamas.

More than 60,000 Israelis have fled their homes in northern Israel over the past year, while hundreds of thousands of Lebanese civilians have been displaced from southern Lebanon. To give displaced Israelis the confidence to return home, Israel wants Hezbollah’s fighters to permanently withdraw from the border — and to stop firing rockets at Israeli communities.

“Israel doesn’t want a temporary cease-fire solution that doesn’t meet their needs and means that in two years’ time they have to do this all over again,” said Michael Stephens, a Middle East expert at the Royal United Services Institute, a London-based research group. “Their thinking is: Why negotiate a 21-day cease-fire for good P.R. when it addresses none of their security concerns that led to this point?”

Hezbollah has given no indication that Israel’s recent attacks, which have included targeted killings of high-level members of the militia and widespread airstrikes that have killed hundreds of people in Lebanon this week, have changed its position.

Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah’s’s secretary general, reiterated the group’s position in a televised speech last Thursday, not long after thousands of pagers blew up in an apparent act of Israel sabotage. He said Hezbollah considers it a religious, moral and humanitarian duty to stop what he called “mass killing” in Gaza.

To compromise to the extent Israel seeks, Hezbollah might need approval from its benefactor, Iran, analysts said.

An ambiguous speech this week by Masoud Pezeshkian, the Iranian president, could be interpreted as signaling a potential shift in Iran’s approach, said Paul Salem, a senior analyst at the Middle East Institute, a Washington-based research group.

In that address, at the United Nations General Assembly, Mr. Pezeshkian condemned Israel’s “desperate barbarism” in Lebanon while warning that Israel’s campaign must be halted “before it engulfs the region and the world.”

“You can either read that as saying, ‘We’re going to help them,’ which they don’t really seem to be doing, or you could read it as giving them an off-ramp,” Mr. Salem said. “I can imagine them saying, ‘Look, you know, you’ve done well. You’ve done it for a year. Stand down.’”

Mr. Salem said it is not in Iran’s interest to see Hezbollah weakened any further, which is why, despite the group’s public pledge to the contrary, Tehran could allow its proxy to stand down without a truce in Gaza.

Lebanon’s health ministry said 20 people were killed in an Israeli airstrike in Younine, a town in the Bekaa Valley, and that most of those killed were Syrian nationals. Lebanon has been home to an estimated 1.5 million Syrians who have fled the long civil war in their country.

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Lebanon’s health ministry said three people were killed and 17 injured in Israeli strikes in the Tyre district, on the country’s Mediterranean coast. Two people were killed in the town of Qadmus, the ministry said, and one in Qana, a town that holds symbolic importance because of deadly Israeli strikes there in 2006 and 1996.

Qatar, a key mediator in efforts to broker a cease-fire in Gaza, said that there is no direct connection between those negotiations and the proposal for a truce between Hezbollah and Israel. “I’m not aware of any direct link between the 21-day ceasefire proposal in Lebanon and the ongoing efforts regarding Gaza,” Majed al-Ansari, the spokesman for Qatar’s foreign ministry, told a news briefing. “However, both mediations are significantly overlapping since they involve largely the same parties.”

Al-Ansari also noted that there is presently no formal mediation track to negotiate the proposed cease-fire in Lebanon with the relevant parties. The 21-day ceasefire plan was jointly announced yesterday by the United States, its allies in Europe and several Arab nations — including Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.

Israel’s military said it struck Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon this morning in response to a wave of 45 rockets fired into northern Israel, none of which caused any reported damage or injuries.

Netanyahu’s office says Israel will keep fighting, as his allies and rivals alike reject a cease-fire proposal.

Israel’s foreign minister on Thursday rejected an American-backed cease-fire proposal to pause the deadly conflict with Hezbollah, a bid that was denounced by lawmakers across the political spectrum even as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was traveling to New York for the United Nations General Assembly.

Asked about Israel’s position on the cease-fire proposal, the prime minister’s office declined to comment, but said Mr. Netanyahu had instructed Israel’s military “to continue the fighting with full force.” An Israeli official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the prime minister had flown to New York early on Thursday morning to engage in negotiations over a diplomatic resolution to the conflict with Hezbollah.

But Israel’s foreign minister, Israel Katz, dismissed the prospect of a truce on Thursday morning.

“There will be no cease-fire in the north,” he wrote on X. “We will continue to fight against the terrorist organization Hezbollah with full force until victory and the safe return of the northern residents to their homes.”

Hard-right ministers whose support Mr. Netanyahu needs to stay in office also appeared to be roundly opposed, as did a former prime minister viewed as a possible contender to replace Mr. Netanyahu.

“The campaign in the north must end with one scenario — the crushing of Hezbollah and the elimination of its ability to harm the residents of the north,” said Bezalel Smotrich, the finance minister and leader of a far-right party in Mr. Netanyahu’s coalition.

Mr. Smotrich has stymied efforts to reach a cease-fire in the Gaza Strip, saying the war there must continue until Hamas is defeated. That sentiment also appeared to influence his stance on Thursday.

“We must not give the enemy time to recover from the severe blows it has received and to reorganize for continued war after 21 days,” Mr. Smotrich said in a statement. “Hezbollah’s surrender or war — only this way will we bring back the residents and security to the north and to the country.”

Months of cross-border fighting between Israel and Hezbollah has displaced tens of thousands of people in northern Israel, along with hundreds of thousands of people in southern Lebanon. Israel’s government has made the safe return of displaced Israelis an official war objective.

Yair Lapid, the leader of the opposition, said he could support a seven day cease-fire, but “we will not accept any proposal that does not include Hezbollah’s removal from our northern border.” The current proposal contains neither of those things.

Hezbollah — which has repeatedly said it will not stop firing on Israel until there is a truce in Gaza — had not responded to the proposal as of Thursday morning. Nor had Iran, the main benefactor of Hezbollah, which operates as both an armed militia and a political party in Lebanon’s parliament.

Officials said Hezbollah would not be asked to formally accept the proposal, which was unveiled on Wednesday by the United States, its allies in Europe and several Arab nations. It centered on a 21-day end to the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah, which has killed hundreds of people and injured thousands more in a series of escalations over the last week.

There were indications, officials said, that Israel and Lebanon were supportive of talks that might soon lead to a cease-fire, although the Lebanese government has not been party to the conflict. Hezbollah has often been described as “a state within a state.”

While President Biden and President Emmanuel Macron of France called for “immediate support” for the proposal by the two governments, that was far from forthcoming in Israel on Thursday morning.

The Israeli military continued striking Hezbollah, as more lawmakers dismissed the cease-fire proposal.

Yitzhak Kroizer, a far-right member of the governing coalition, said the proposal was “a moral disgrace” that would not be supported by “a single sane person in Israel.”

Naftali Bennett, a former prime minister who is seen as a potential challenger to Mr. Netanyahu, also rejected the proposal, underscoring the breadth of the opposition to it. In a statement, he called the proposal “the very definition of Chuzpa.”

“Israel must remove Hezbollah as a threat to our families,” said Mr. Bennett. “If Hezbollah wants the fire to stop, it can lay down its arms, demilitarize itself and move 15 km away the Israeli border.”

The deal was also rejected by Gideon Saar, a lawmaker who was recently viewed as Mr. Netanyahu’s favorite to potentially succeed defense minister Yoav Gallant. In a statement, Mr. Saar said he wanted the Israeli military to step up airstrikes in Lebanon, and to target Beirut.

The number of daily attacks has fallen since Monday, when Israel unleashed a wave of strikes that experts said had few precedents in the history of modern warfare. Mr. Saar said those two days of reduced fire had been “mistakes.”

“The continuity and systematic nature of operations are essential for destroying Hezbollah’s primary abilities to threaten the Israeli home front,” said Mr. Saar. “Failing to do so allows Hezbollah to take actions that will make the mission more difficult in the future.”

Rawan Sheikh Ahmad and Patrick Kingsley contributed reporting.

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Hezbollah’s complicated relationship to Lebanon mixes military might with politics.

Israel launched more than 1,000 airstrikes against Lebanon this week in an attempt to weaken Hezbollah, the Lebanese militia that has been exchanging missile barrages with Israel for nearly a year.

But fighting Hezbollah is not a straightforward task. The group is also a Shiite Muslim political party, backed by Iran, with an influential role in Lebanon’s faction-ridden political system. It provides social services to a large base of supporters. And its fighters and missiles are hidden among Lebanon’s civilian population.

“Israel’s war is not with you,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the Lebanese people this week. “It’s with Hezbollah.”

But it’s not always clear where Hezbollah ends and Lebanon begins. The group, which the United States and many other countries consider a terrorist organization, is a dominant political and military power in the country.

The name Hezbollah (pronounced hez-bo-llah) is Arabic for “Party of God.” The group was founded, with help from Iran, to fight the Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon that began in 1982 during the country’s civil war. The United States believes that an early incarnation of the group also played a role in the 1983 bombing of the U.S. embassy in Beirut.

As the Lebanese civil war drew to a close in 1990, the group was allowed to keep its weapons as part of the peace deal, even as Lebanon’s other religious sects were forced to disarm. Hezbollah argued that its weapons were necessary to protect Lebanon and the group continued to launch guerrilla attacks on Israeli forces in southern Lebanon until they withdrew in 2000.

In addition to its military activities, Hezbollah increased its participation in Lebanon’s political system, winning seats in Parliament and holding cabinet positions.

Its standing increased further after a 2006 war with Israel that was triggered when Hezbollah captured two Israeli soldiers during a cross border raid. The war ended after 34 days of intense combat with both sides declaring victory. In Lebanon and across the Arab world, Hezbollah were lauded as heroes for taking on Israel.

With support from Iran and Syria, Hezbollah rebuilt areas that had been damaged during the war. It established schools, set up its own covert communications network and launched a TV station. Former fighters even opened a museum celebrating the militia’s reputation as a wily force of resistance against Israel’s powerful military.

It continued building its military forces, which are estimated to include tens of thousands of soldiers and more than 100,000 missiles. Hezbollah has perhaps the largest arsenal of any nonstate armed group in the world, according to experts.

Hezbollah and its coalition allies gained a majority in the 2018 parliamentary elections, but lost it again in 2022. Hezbollah currently holds 13 seats in the 128-member Lebanese Parliament. That may not sound like much, but in Lebanon’s consensus-driven political system, which requires coalition building between religious and political factions, it is enough to wield significant power.

“They do not control parliament, but they have a lot of influence,” said Paul Salem, the Beirut-based vice president for international engagement at the Middle East Institute in Washington.

Although Hezbollah’s coalition lost its majority two years ago, it has effectively maintained the power to block many major decisions. The effect has been gridlock: Lebanon’s Parliament has been unable to name a president for the past two years, and the country is run by a caretaker prime minister with limited powers.

A United Nations Security Council resolution called for Hezbollah to disarm and barred militants from the border area. But that resolution was never fully enforced, leading to long-simmering tensions and violence.

Now, with the Lebanese government crippled by deadlock and economic crises, there is no force in Lebanon that can limit Hezbollah’s power. Najib Mikati, the country’s caretaker prime minister, castigated Israel after this week’s bombings without mentioning Hezbollah.

“The continuing Israeli aggression on Lebanon is a war of extermination in every sense of the word and a destructive plan that aims to destroy Lebanese villages and towns,” he said at a cabinet meeting on Monday.

Despite its dominance in Lebanon, Hezbollah is not as popular in the country as it may seem, said David Wood, a senior analyst for the International Crisis Group. Many resent the group’s outsize influence and accuse Hezbollah of dragging the whole country into an unnecessary war.

“It’s undeniable that these operations have weakened Hezbollah militarily,” Mr. Wood said. “What it has done to Hezbollah’s political standing is less clear.”

Here is what we know about Hezbollah’s military capability.

Israel’s recent assault on Hezbollah has dealt a blow to the Lebanese militant group, but how big a blow is unclear. This is partly because Hezbollah, like most armed groups, has shrouded its precise military capacity in secrecy. Hezbollah is supported by Iran, which sees it as its most important proxy in the region, and for decades, Tehran has funneled weapons and other military technology to the group.

Here is a look at Hezbollah’s military strength as it wages war against Israel in support of Hamas.

How big is Hezbollah?

The C.I.A. World Factbook estimated in 2024 that Hezbollah had 50,000 armed combatants, although it said that not all were full-time soldiers. That would make it one of the largest militia groups in the region, behind the Houthis, who operate in Yemen and who the C.I.A. estimated had 200,000 fighters in 2022. Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, has said that his group has 100,000 trained fighters.

One of Hezbollah’s political objectives, however, is to present itself as a giant capable of going toe-to-toe with Israel, and so Mr. Nasrallah has an interest in maximizing and potentially inflating the group’s size and capability, according to experts. It even opened a museum in southern Lebanon to showcase its fight against Israel.

“It is in Hezbollah’s interest to engage in psychological warfare that amplifies its power and capacity in the face of the enemy,” said Lina Khatib, an associate in the Middle East and North Africa program at the Chatham House research group in London. She said in an interview that Israeli officials had also inflated Hezbollah’s strength to support the country’s recent attacks, some of the heaviest aerial assaults in modern warfare.

What about Hezbollah’s weapons?

Hezbollah has perhaps the largest arsenal of any armed group in the world, excluding governments, according to experts. Aside from machine guns, rocket-propelled grenade launchers and mortars, the C.I.A. said, Hezbollah possesses around 150,000 rockets and missiles of various types.

In the past two decades, Hezbollah has “developed elements of a more traditional statelike conventional military force and demonstrated considerable military capabilities,” the C.I.A. said. It sustained huge losses during a conflict with Israel in 2006, but emerged intact, and, since then, its weaponry has grown in size and sophistication, according to experts.

But estimates vary. A report in March by the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a research organization based in Washington, put the size of Hezbollah’s stockpile between 120,000 and 200,000 rockets and missiles and said they included guided ballistic missiles, short-range and midrange unguided ballistic missiles and short- and long-range unguided rockets.

“Because of Hezbollah’s close relationship with Iran, it is likely that Tehran would resupply Hezbollah quickly if it used this arsenal in a conflict with Israel,” the report said, adding that Iran’s relationships with Syria would facilitate the weapons pipeline.

One measure of Hezbollah’s strength is the weapons it has deployed against Israel in the past year. On Wednesday, Hezbollah said it had used a midrange missile in an attempt to strike the headquarters of Israel’s spy agency, Mossad, in Tel Aviv, a distance of around 70 miles.

The attack was an outlier, however. Hezbollah has launched more than a thousand attacks on northern Israel in the past year, using exploding drones, anti-tank missiles and short-range rockets that can carry around 44 pounds of explosives, according to an analysis on Tuesday by the Institute of National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University. Most have been intercepted by Israel’s missile defenses. One missile fired on Sunday hit a residential neighborhood in the city of Kiryat Bialik, which is around 17 miles south of the border. This appeared to have been its deepest strike to that point.

Hezbollah has also occasionally deployed a Burkan rocket, which has a range up to six miles and can carry a much bigger warhead, the report said.

Where does Hezbollah gets its weapons?

Ms. Khatib argued that Hezbollah relied on Iran for much of its stockpile, but this was also a constraint, given sanctions on Tehran. At the same time, she said, the group had developed its own program to modify and upgrade missiles, and had built a network of tunnels and bunkers in which to hide them.

Hezbollah has developed an arsenal specifically to counter Israel’s military strengths and also to strike critical infrastructure and cities in an attempt to sap the Israeli government’s resolve in the event of a ground invasion, according to Nicholas Blanford, a Beirut-based analyst with The Atlantic Council, a think tank based in Washington.

To do this, he said, the militant group has gotten weapons and other military technology, not just from Iran, but also from Syria and, indirectly, from Russia, as well as from the black market. But so far, Hezbollah has relied for the most part on legacy weapons such as Katyusha rockets and has not used its most advanced equipment, which includes missiles capable of hitting tanks and ships.

“The good stuff that they have, such as precision-guided missiles, those are being held in reserve,” Mr. Blanford said in an interview. “The day that Hezbollah starts using those is the day a relatively limited conflict will explode into a major war.”

What about longer-range missiles?

Hezbollah’s attacks in the past year have prompted Israel to order the evacuation of tens of thousands of people from northern Israel, but the group also has the capacity to target cities farther south.

The Institute of National Security Studies cited one missile in the group’s arsenal that had a range of around 130 miles and could carry a payload of more than 1,000 pounds. It described that missile, the Zelzal, as inaccurate, but said that Hezbollah could also use another type of missile, the Fateh-110, which is more advanced, precise and can exceed the Zelzal in range and payload.

Ms. Khatib said that Hezbollah would be loath to use its most powerful weapons in the present conflict and would most likely deploy them in the event of a full-scale regional war.

Israel’s Displaced Want to Go Home. But Will Attacks on Hezbollah Offer That Path?

When Orly Gavishi-Sotto saw images of Hamas-led forces attacking southern Israel on Oct. 7, she worried about her kibbutz, a mere 500 yards from Israel’s northern border with Lebanon.

Ms. Gavishi-Sotto, 46, has spent more than two decades in Hanita, a hilltop kibbutz with a view of the Mediterranean Sea. Seeing Hamas attack Israel in the south, she feared that Hezbollah, the militant group that dominates Lebanon, might be capable of doing the same in the north.

“The first thought on Oct. 7 was that could have been us,” she said. “It was absolutely terrifying.”

Ms. Gavishi-Sotto is now among the roughly 60,000 Israelis displaced from their homes in northern Israel, an evacuation prompted by Hezbollah attacks that began immediately after the Oct. 7 assault, and that have been followed by tit-for-tat exchanges of fire ever since. For most of the past year, she and her three daughters have lived outside Hanita, moving among a hotel, a rented apartment and another kibbutz.

In the last week, Israel has ratcheted up the pressure on Hezbollah by beginning a major bombing campaign, with the stated goal of allowing residents in the north to return to their homes.

Some displaced Israelis hope the military escalation will restore quiet to their hometowns. But others express skepticism about the prospect, saying they had lost faith in the Israeli government a long time ago. That group contends the government hasn’t provided sufficient support for the displaced and that, until the last week, it hadn’t taken strong enough action to push Hezbollah away from their communities.

Tens of thousands of people have spent months scattered across the country, straining the connections of tight-knit communities in the north. “I very much want to believe the government cares about our situation, but I’m simply not able to,” Ms. Gavishi-Sotto said. “They abandoned us for an entire year.”

Hezbollah started firing on northern Israel nearly a year ago in solidarity with Hamas, its ally. Since the start of the war in Gaza, its fighters and Israel’s military have exchanged strikes in the north, with both wreaking havoc on the opposite side of the border — killing combatants and civilians, destroying homes and setting farmland on fire.

Over the past week, Israel’s attacks increased exponentially. Last Tuesday and Wednesday, Israel blew up pagers and walkie-talkies used by Hezbollah before pivoting to the most significant and intense strikes against the group since the 2006 war in Lebanon. The bombing campaign has destroyed weapons stores and killed senior Hezbollah commanders who Israel said were developing plans to invade northern Israel.

The Israeli military said that on Monday alone, it struck approximately 1,600 targets affiliated with Hezbollah.

At the same time, Hezbollah has also fired deeper into Israel, setting off air sirens in Tel Aviv and Haifa, two of the largest cities in the country.

The Lebanese health ministry said that at least 558 people had been killed and more than 1,800 wounded on Monday, making it the deadliest day of attacks in the country in at least two decades. The figures released by the ministry do not distinguish between combatants and civilians, but it has said that many of the casualties were women and children.

In northern Israel, frustration among the displaced has grown as they have watched their military fight Hezbollah but fail to create conditions under which they would feel comfortable returning to their homes. Some are calling for a demilitarized zone along the border, a buffer that would keep Israel and Hezbollah forces further apart. Such a zone was drawn up in 2006 as part of a United Nations Security Council resolution passed the last time Israel and Hezbollah fought a war, though both sides have been accused of violating it.

Zami Ravid, a resident of Metula, the northernmost town in the Galilee, said his home had been seriously damaged by a rocket last week.

“A war is a disaster; no one wants a war,” said Mr. Ravid, 82, an owner of a museum of rare instruments who has been living in Tel Aviv since October. “But this buffer needs to be created for the good of Israel as a state.”

Hezbollah has said it will stop firing rockets and drones into Israel only if Israel and Hamas reach a cease-fire agreement in Gaza. Efforts to achieve such a deal have repeatedly failed, and hopes for one have faded as Israel and Hamas have staked out irreconcilable positions.

Seeing the military intensify its operations in Lebanon had raised hopes for some in the north that the strikes might force Hezbollah to back down, or set the stage for a mediated end to the fighting.

In Netua, a kibbutz less than a mile from the border, Seth Dekanu said the scaled-up assault on Hezbollah had enabled him to breathe “a sigh of relief” even as he acknowledged that war, and the rising civilian death toll, was “tragic.” As a member of the kibbutz’s security team, Mr. Dekanu has been able to leave the site once a week in the past year, to see his wife and two young sons, who were evacuated.

“Since the start of the war, we’ve been sitting here, waiting to be attacked,” said Mr. Dekanu, 27, one of a few residents remaining in Netua. “Now we’re finally on the offensive.”

Amir Adari, a resident of Yiftah, a kibbutz sandwiched between Lebanon and the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights in a sprawling section of northern Israel known as the Galilee, said he supported Israel’s military blitz against Hezbollah. But he emphasized that the government should leverage it to reach a diplomatic resolution with the group.

“We should make a strong show of force before striking a deal,” said Mr. Adari, 49, who has been living with his family in Livnim, a village beside the Sea of Galilee.

Waging war, Mr. Adari said, was not something he desired, but he said he felt there was no alternative. “If we give up on the Galilee, soon we will be giving up on Tel Aviv and Jerusalem,” he said.

Other Israelis rejected the notion that military action would bring long-term calm, citing the failure of past wars in 1982 and 2006 to achieve that goal.

“Wars beget wars,” said Daniella Porat Penso, 57, a volunteer spokeswoman for the Yiftah kibbutz. “I’ve lived here my whole life and I’ve seen one war after another and we’re still dealing with this situation.”

Wars, she said, “won’t solve our problems.”

200 Clashes a Day as Russia Races to Break Ukrainian Strongholds

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Marc Santora

Marc Santora and Nicole Tung embedded with Ukrainian forces and traveled independently across the eastern front south of Pokrovsk to report this story.

After months of constant pressure and grinding, bloody advances, Russian forces are pressing up against multiple strongholds along more than 100 miles of the jagged front in the eastern Donetsk region of Ukraine. For Ukraine, losing any of those important defensive positions could significantly alter the contours of the fight for control of the region, long coveted by President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia.

Despite staggering casualties, Russian forces are mounting armored assaults and sending waves of infantry on foot, motorbikes and all-terrain vehicles to attack Ukrainian positions from Chasiv Yar in the north to the southern stronghold of Vuhledar, which is at risk of being encircled, according to Ukrainian soldiers and combat footage.

With attacks across cratered fields, the Russians are racing to seize territory before the fall strips the foliage they use for cover and the rains turn fertile farmland into bog.

Even with both armies exhausted, the battles across the east remain as deadly as at any point in the war, according to Ukrainian soldiers and Western officials.


On each of two days last week, the Ukrainian military reported more than 200 clashes between the two sides — the highest such numbers in many months, according to DeepState, a group of analysts that maps the battlefield.

At a location near the front where injured soldiers are treated, the steady influx of the wounded last weekend testified to the intensity of the fight. In just 24 hours, small crews of medics treated more than 70 soldiers.

Sergeant Valeria, a 23-year-old combat medic, ticked off a list of the traumatic injuries the wounded have sustained, including severe head injuries and burns covering more than 20 percent of their bodies.

As bleary-eyed fighters slumped against a wall listening to the screams of a soldier injured in fighting around Vuhledar, she said that in the grim calculus of her vocation, screams were a positive sign.

“The most important thing about someone who’s screaming is that they’re breathing,” she said.

Sergeant Valeria, like other soldiers interviewed on the front, asked only to be identified by a first name or call sign in accordance with military protocol. The New York Times was given access to medics and soldiers at the facility under the condition that its location not be disclosed.

As the battles rage at home, President Volodymyr Zelensky is in the United States this week on a diplomatic mission that he portrays as no less urgent.

He spoke at the United Nations General Assembly on Wednesday and was scheduled to meet with President Biden on Thursday, where he was expected to plead, again, for the ability to strike deeper into Russian territory using Western-supplied missiles.Without that, he says, it will be harder to continue to bring the war home to Russia — the only way, he believes, that Moscow can be brought to the negotiating table.

Mr. Biden has been reluctant to approve such deep strikes, fearing confrontation with Russia. On Wednesday, Mr. Putin said that he planned to lower the threshold for his country’s use of nuclear weapons, an escalation in the Kremlin’s efforts to deter the United States from expanding its military aid to Ukraine.

Along the eastern front line, the Ukrainian soldiers interviewed this month spoke of exhaustion and of securing one area only to see another come under threat. The territory that they are protecting, the remaining unoccupied sections of Donetsk, is part of the Donbas region, what was once the industrial heartland of Ukraine.

The cities and towns under assault are of strategic importance for different reasons, including their use as hubs to move soldiers and supplies, and their elevated positions. It is unclear how robust Ukraine’s next line of defense is beyond those places.

The Russians have, however, failed to turn some past advances into rapid breakthroughs. They are also paying a steep price in troops and equipment for every mile they gain.

The Ukrainians have held the Russians at bay for months outside the ruined hilltop town of Chasiv Yar, but just 20 miles to the south, the Russians are advancing in bloody urban battles now raging inside Toretsk.

Just south of there, the Russian advance toward the city of Pokrovsk over the past seven months has created a bulge some 22 miles deep and 15 miles wide, altering the geometry of the front in complicated ways.

Pokrovsk, a critical rail and road hub, is the last major city before the wide-open plains leading to the Dnipro region, home to the third-largest city in Ukraine and vital to its economic health.

Ukrainian soldiers have halted the direct advance on Pokrovsk, for the moment, but the Russians are close, fortifying their positions about five miles to the east.

The city itself is under daily bombardment. All the highway overpasses have been destroyed, so the authorities are urging the 15,000 people who remain to use winding dirt roads to leave while they can.

“It’s very scary,” Kateryna Kandybko, a 34-year-old mother of two children, said in an interview on the outskirts. Her family is packed and ready to run, but is holding on for now. “We don’t really want to leave at all. But we definitely don’t want to live under the Russian flag.”

In the surrounding farmland, the burning of unharvested fields of sunflowers, set alight by shelling, illuminates the night sky.

“Take a look around,” said Serhii, a 45-year-old trucker, as he raced to haul thousands of pigs from a large farm under bombardment in the border area. “Despite this being a rural area, there are no birds, no animals — not even stray dogs or cats. Everyone’s stressed, people and animals alike.” He asked that his family name not be used for their safety.

Ginseng, the call-sign of a 44-year-old master sergeant in charge of an artillery unit with the 68th Jaeger Brigade protecting Pokrovsk’s southern flank, said that Ukrainian forces had stabilized the line but that the fight remained a “nightmare.”

He pointed to a shotgun near the entrance of his bunker, which he said was the best defense against small Russian attack drones when electronic jamming equipment fails.

“They fly in waves: One shows up, then 15-20 minutes later, another,” he said.

His small band of soldiers manning a Soviet-designed howitzer emerge from the bunker only when they have a target sent in by their own surveillance drone operators.

Even if they can hold their lines, Ginseng fears Pokrovsk is doomed.

“They’ll level it,” he said. “I’ve seen so many cities wiped out — it’s overwhelming.”

The area directly south of Pokrovsk is perhaps the most volatile part of the front at the moment. The front line there has become an increasingly jagged arc as the Russians push the Ukrainians back in pockets.

About halfway to Vuhledar, 60 miles to the south, the towering smokestacks of a battered power plant in Kurakhove stand idle over another smashed town that used to be home to some 20,000 people. But black smoke rising over nearby villages is clearly visible across the flat plains, marking the Russian advance.

The Ukrainian 46th Air Mobile Brigade, which is responsible for part of the defense of the area around Kurakhove, said in public statements that two recent attacks featured nearly 100 tanks, armored personnel carriers and infantry fighting vehicles.

The Russian attacks were met with a blizzard of Ukrainian drones and artillery fire and the soldiers of the 46th said they managed to repel both assaults. But they do not expect the Russians to let up.

And in Vuhledar — a former mining town strategically located at the intersection of the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions — the Russians are also gaining ground, advancing around the city from the northeast. They recently drove the Ukrainians from two mines that had served as key bases, soldiers said, raising the risk that a city that had been the site of some of Russia’s most devastating losses in this war could now fall.

“They still haven’t taken Vuhledar to this day,” said Dmytro, a 41-year-old senior lieutenant with the 72nd Mechanized Brigade, which has led the defense of the city for two years without a break. But he is worried.

“If they manage to get past the mines,” he said, “they’ll surround Vuhledar.” For now, he said, the soldiers in the city “are just hanging on.”

Liubov Sholudko and Olha Konovalova contributed reporting from eastern Ukraine.

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U.S. House Speaker Demands That Ukraine Fire Ambassador

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For months, Ukrainian officials have carefully navigated the turbulent partisan politics in the United States leading up to November’s elections, saying that they could work with either a Democratic or Republican administration.

But on Wednesday night, Mike Johnson, the Republican speaker of the House, called for Ukraine to fire its ambassador to Washington, accusing her of meddling in American election affairs.

In a public letter addressed to President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine, Mr. Johnson demanded the dismissal of the Ukrainian ambassador, Oksana Markarova, citing her role in organizing a visit by Mr. Zelensky to an ammunition factory in Scranton, Pa. Mr. Zelensky toured the factory this week and thanked workers for manufacturing shells sent to his country’s embattled forces.

Mr. Johnson criticized the visit for taking place in a key battleground state in the company of Gov. Josh Shapiro, a Democrat who supports Vice President Kamala Harris in her presidential bid. The speaker noted that no Republicans were invited.

“The tour was clearly a partisan campaign event designed to help Democrats and is clearly election interference,” Mr. Johnson wrote in the letter on Wednesday.

The same day, James Comer, a Republican who chairs the House Oversight Committee, announced that he had launched an investigation into the visit, saying it was a partisan event paid for with taxpayer funds.

Ukraine had not responded to Mr. Johnson’s demands about its ambassador as of Thursday morning.

The complaints are likely to complicate Mr. Zelensky’s primary objective this week: to push Washington to increase its financial and military aid to Kyiv, as part of his “victory plan” to force Russia to the negotiating table.

The Ukrainian leader will meet with President Biden at the White House on Thursday, as well as holding several meetings in Congress.

Ahead of the meeting, Mr. Biden announced nearly $8 billion in military assistance to Ukraine. Roughly $5.5 billion is not new funding, but its disbursement is aimed at ensuring financial support for Kyiv, at least in the short term, even if former President Donald J. Trump wins the presidential election.

The money will go to the so-called presidential drawdown authority shipments that send weapons and matériel from the Pentagon’s stockpile.

Another $2.4 billion in aid will be channeled through a program that allows the administration to purchase weapons for Ukraine directly from manufacturers rather than depleting U.S. stocks.

The announcement, however, did not mention any authorization for Ukraine to fire Western-made long-range missiles into Russia, which Kyiv has long lobbied for. Mr. Zelensky recently said that the White House was afraid that such an authorization would escalate the war.

In what appeared an effort to play on those fears, President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia said on Wednesday that Russia would be prepared to use a nuclear weapon in response to an attack carried out with conventional weapons by a nonnuclear state, but with the participation or support of a nuclear one. Dmitri S. Peskov, the Kremlin’s spokesman, said Mr. Putin’s decision was meant as a message to Ukraine’s Western backers.

The Ukrainian authorities have long tried to remain neutral in the American presidential campaign, although they have tried to build bridges in both camps to advance their interests.

Earlier this year, they lobbied Mr. Johnson to help pass a multibillion-dollar aid package for Ukraine. Republicans have long been skeptical about providing support to Ukraine, and Mr. Trump’s vice-presidential choice, JD Vance, has been deeply critical of previous United States aid packages for Kyiv.

In recent weeks, relations with the Republican camp have deteriorated as the U.S. election campaign picked up pace, with Mr. Trump increasingly denouncing American aid to Ukraine while touting a plan, for which he has offered no details, to quickly broker a peace deal.

In an interview published on Sunday with The New Yorker, Mr. Zelensky questioned that plan, which many in Kyiv fear would leave Russia in control of vast swathes of Ukrainian territory. He also described Mr. Vance as “too radical.”

On Wednesday, Mr. Trump accused Mr. Zelensky of refusing to negotiate a peace deal with President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia.

“The president of Ukraine is in our country. He is making little nasty aspersions toward your favorite president, me,” Mr. Trump said during a campaign event in North Carolina. “We continue to give billions of dollars to a man who refuses to make a deal: Zelensky.”

Volodymyr Ariev, an opposition lawmaker in Ukraine, said the absence of Republican representatives during Mr. Zelensky’s visit to the ammunition factory had been a critical misstep.

“Trump’s team doesn’t have a very friendly attitude to Zelensky, and any excuse for blaming him will be used,” Mr. Ariev said. “So prudence was supposed to be at the maximum level to not give them a single reason.”

“No matter who wins, the main question for Ukraine is to maintain U.S. support,” he said.

Maria Varenikova contributed reporting from Kyiv.

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After 44 Years on Death Row, Japanese Man Is Exonerated at Age 88

An 88-year-old man believed to be the world’s longest-serving death row inmate was exonerated by a district court in Japan on Thursday, 44 years after he was first sentenced to death.

The man, Iwao Hakamada, was originally convicted of a quadruple murder in 1966 on the basis of what his defense lawyers say was a forced confession and fabricated evidence. Japan’s Supreme Court sentenced him to death in 1980. He was released a decade ago and granted a retrial that began last fall.

Over the years, Mr. Hakamada, a former featherweight boxer, had consistently testified that he pleaded guilty only after the police intensively interrogated him for 20 days, beating him with sticks and depriving him of sleep. He retracted his confession soon after making it.

“I feel relieved as he was ruled innocent,” said Hiroaki Murayama, a lawyer who as a judge in 2014 released Mr. Hakamada and ordered a retrial. “Why did it take so long?”

Speaking in front of the court on Thursday, Hideyo Ogawa, a lawyer for Mr. Hakamada, said that the ruling was a “landmark decision” and that the court had clearly said Mr. Hakamada’s original conviction was based on fabricated evidence.

His acquittal was the fifth time a defendant sentenced to death row has been exonerated in Japan in the postwar period.

Mr. Hakamada’s lawyers had won a retrial and his release 10 years ago after testing showed that blood on clothing that the police used as evidence didn’t contain his DNA.

After the Shizuoka District Court granted Mr. Hakamada a retrial in 2014, the Tokyo High Court reversed that decision, refusing to reopen the case. In 2020, the Supreme Court sided with the district court and ordered a new trial.

According to The Mainichi Shimbun, one of Japan’s main daily newspapers, Mr. Hakamada’s sister appeared at court hearings and testified that his mental condition was deteriorating.

Prosecutors now have to decide whether to appeal the Shizuoka court’s ruling.

Mr. Hakamada’s case has attracted the attention of international human rights activists.

“After enduring almost half a century of wrongful imprisonment and a further 10 years waiting for his retrial, this verdict is an important recognition of the profound injustice he endured for most of his life,” Boram Jang, Amnesty International’s East Asia researcher, said in a statement on Thursday.

First It Was Lynch Mobs. Now Police Kill Pakistanis Accused of Blasphemy.

The entrance to the district police headquarters in southern Pakistan was carpeted with rose petals, a grand gesture of respect. A crowd filled the air with chants of Islamic slogans. Many carried garlands and flower bouquets to laud the officers for their actions.

The throngs were ecstatic because the police had killed a man. His supposed crime: “blasphemous content” on social media.

The man, a 36-year-old government doctor, had been shot “unintentionally” as he resisted arrest, the authorities claimed. But human rights groups called it an extrajudicial killing, the second such one in a week. On Sept. 12, a 52-year-old man in custody on suspicion of blasphemy was shot dead inside a police station in southwestern Pakistan.

The cases have reverberated across the nation, highlighting the volatile nature of Pakistan’s religious landscape. Blasphemy, a legal offense that can carry the death penalty, has long been a sensitive issue in a country that is more than 96 percent Muslim. Even a mere accusation can be deadly; mobs sometimes lynch people before their cases can go to trial.

Rights activists have expressed concerns over the government’s tolerance of hard-line Islamist groups and over surging violence among their supporters after blasphemy allegations. The killings of the two men this month have ignited fears that the police, pressured by the mob actions, may now be taking matters into their own hands, too.

“The Pakistani police force is a deeply conservative institution, mirroring the broader societal challenges in the country,” said Zoha Waseem, a policing expert at the University of Warwick in Britain. The killings, she said, raise “serious concerns about the ability to fairly address hate crimes and curb lynch mobs in blasphemy-related cases in the future.”

The doctor who was killed, Shah Nawaz, was accused of “desecrating” the Prophet Muhammad with a post on Facebook. He went into hiding, fearing for his life. Mr. Nawaz was dismissed from his job and faced blasphemy charges after a cleric filed a police complaint.

Islamist political parties organized violent protests demanding his immediate arrest, despite Mr. Nawaz’s insistence that he had not written the post on his account, which had long been dormant. One cleric even publicly announced an $18,000 bounty on his head, declaring that punishment for blasphemy was beheading.

Mr. Nawaz’s family said he voluntarily surrendered to the police in Sindh Province, hoping to avoid the fate of others lynched by mobs. A minister in the provincial government from Mr. Nawaz’s hometown confirmed that Mr. Nawaz was in police custody.

However, on the night of Sept. 18, the police claimed that Mr. Nawaz had been killed as they tried to arrest him.

Mr. Nawaz’s family vehemently denied the police’s account, asserting that he had been murdered in what is known in South Asia as an “encounter,” in which officers kill a person and invent a story about having acted in self-defense during a shootout.

“Police breached our trust and killed Nawaz while he was in their custody, instead of bringing him before a court of law,” said his brother, Babar Kumbhar.

The aftermath of Mr. Nawaz’s death was marked by further violence. When his family tried to bury his body on their private land under the cover of darkness, after being denied burial at a graveyard, a mob armed with weapons and Molotov cocktails chased them, seized the body and set it on fire.

The mob’s actions set off public outrage, as did videos of the rose-petal celebrations at the police station. The provincial government suspended officers who had been involved in Mr. Nawaz’s case and started an investigation.

Islamist groups threatened protests against the government’s actions, hailing the police officers as heroes for “defending Islam.”

A week before Mr. Nawaz’s death, a police officer in Balochistan Province, in Pakistan’s southwest, killed Abdul Ali, a shopkeeper, while he was in custody. Mr. Ali had been accused of using objectionable words against the Prophet Muhammad. He had been transferred to a more secure facility because of growing demands that he be handed over to a mob so they could kill him.

A police officer posing as a relative of Mr. Ali’s gained access to the station and shot him. Since then, the family of the officer, who has been arrested, has been receiving visitors offering praise for the killing of Mr. Ali.

Pakistan inherited 19th-century British laws outlining punishments for blasphemy-related offenses. In the 1980s, the government revamped those laws to add harsh penalties for those who insult Islam.

Last year, the nation passed a law to increase the punishment for derogatory remarks against revered personalities — including the Prophet Muhammad’s family, wives and companions, and the first four caliphs — to at least 10 years of imprisonment, up from three.

The Center for Social Justice, a Lahore-based minority rights group, reported that at least 330 people, mostly Muslims, were charged in 180 blasphemy cases last year.

Although Pakistan has never executed anyone for blasphemy, mob killings and other violence are another matter.

In recent years, police stations have been burned after officers refused to hand over blasphemy suspects to mobs, and groups have stormed stations to try to lynch accused individuals.

In June, a mob broke into a police station in the Swat Valley, in northwestern Pakistan, and snatched a man who had been detained there after being accused of desecrating the Quran. The attackers lynched the man and burned down the station.

In May, the police rescued a Christian man from a mob in Sarghoda, a district in Punjab, Pakistan’s most populous province, after allegations that he had deliberately burned pages of the Quran. A week later, he died from injuries suffered in the attack.

In February, a female police officer in Lahore rescued a woman from an attack by a mob that had mistaken the Arabic script on her dress for Quranic verses.

Last year, eight people accused of blasphemy were killed extrajudicially, primarily by mobs with insufficient intervention from the police and other authorities, the Center for Social Justice reported. This year, the number of such deaths has risen to eight with the two killings this month.

With fear rising after the recent killings, many in Pakistan are posting disclaimers on social media stating that any offensive content on their accounts was not posted by them.

Experts and rights activists attribute the surge in blasphemy-related violence to the rise of Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan, or T.L.P., a radical Islamist party. The organization was initially formed to demand the release of Mumtaz Qadri, a police officer who assassinated Punjab’s governor, Salman Taseer, in 2011 over proposed changes to the blasphemy law.

In April 2021, the T.L.P. organized violent countrywide protests demanding the expulsion of the French ambassador after President Emmanuel Macron of France eulogized a French teacher murdered for showing caricatures of the Prophet Muhammad in a classroom.

Rabia Mehmood, a Lahore-based researcher who studies blasphemy-related violence, said the Pakistani government’s tolerance of the T.L.P.’s supporters and groups defending the country’s blasphemy laws had fostered a climate conducive to extrajudicial violence.

“This sends a message that no one is safe from the wrath of blasphemy vigilantes, far-right lawyers or law enforcement personnel on the hunt for victims of fabricated blasphemy cases,” she said.

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Hezbollah’s Relationship to Lebanon Mixes Military Might With Politics

Hezbollah’s Relationship to Lebanon Mixes Military Might With Politics

The militant group is a dominant force in the country, and officials have struggled for decades to limit its power.

Israel launched more than 1,000 airstrikes against Lebanon this week in an attempt to weaken Hezbollah, the Lebanese militia that has been exchanging missile barrages with Israel for nearly a year.

But fighting Hezbollah is not a straightforward task. The group is also a Shiite Muslim political party, backed by Iran, with an influential role in Lebanon’s faction-ridden political system. It provides social services to a large base of supporters. And its fighters and missiles are hidden among Lebanon’s civilian population.

“Israel’s war is not with you,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the Lebanese people this week. “It’s with Hezbollah.”

But it’s not always clear where Hezbollah ends and Lebanon begins. The group, which the United States and many other countries consider a terrorist organization, is a dominant political and military power in the country.

The name Hezbollah (pronounced hez-bo-llah) is Arabic for “Party of God.” The group was founded, with help from Iran, to fight the Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon that began in 1982 during the country’s civil war. The United States believes that an early incarnation of the group also played a role in the 1983 bombing of the U.S. embassy in Beirut.

As the Lebanese civil war drew to a close in 1990, the group was allowed to keep its weapons as part of the peace deal, even as Lebanon’s other religious sects were forced to disarm. Hezbollah argued that its weapons were necessary to protect Lebanon and the group continued to launch guerrilla attacks on Israeli forces in southern Lebanon until they withdrew in 2000.

In addition to its military activities, Hezbollah increased its participation in Lebanon’s political system, winning seats in Parliament and holding cabinet positions.

Its standing increased further after a 2006 war with Israel that was triggered when Hezbollah captured two Israeli soldiers during a cross border raid. The war ended after 34 days of intense combat with both sides declaring victory. In Lebanon and across the Arab world, Hezbollah were lauded as heroes for taking on Israel.

With support from Iran and Syria, Hezbollah rebuilt areas that had been damaged during the war. It established schools, set up its own covert communications network and launched a TV station. Former fighters even opened a museum celebrating the militia’s reputation as a wily force of resistance against Israel’s powerful military.

It continued building its military forces, which are estimated to include tens of thousands of soldiers and more than 100,000 missiles. Hezbollah has perhaps the largest arsenal of any nonstate armed group in the world, according to experts.

Hezbollah and its coalition allies gained a majority in the 2018 parliamentary elections, but lost it again in 2022. Hezbollah currently holds 13 seats in the 128-member Lebanese Parliament. That may not sound like much, but in Lebanon’s consensus-driven political system, which requires coalition building between religious and political factions, it is enough to wield significant power.

“They do not control parliament, but they have a lot of influence,” said Paul Salem, the Beirut-based vice president for international engagement at the Middle East Institute in Washington.

Although Hezbollah’s coalition lost its majority two years ago, it has effectively maintained the power to block many major decisions. The effect has been gridlock: Lebanon’s Parliament has been unable to name a president for the past two years, and the country is run by a caretaker prime minister with limited powers.

A United Nations Security Council resolution called for Hezbollah to disarm and barred militants from the border area. But that resolution was never fully enforced, leading to long-simmering tensions and violence.

Now, with the Lebanese government crippled by deadlock and economic crises, there is no force in Lebanon that can limit Hezbollah’s power. Najib Mikati, the country’s caretaker prime minister, castigated Israel after this week’s bombings without mentioning Hezbollah.

“The continuing Israeli aggression on Lebanon is a war of extermination in every sense of the word and a destructive plan that aims to destroy Lebanese villages and towns,” he said at a cabinet meeting on Monday.

Despite its dominance in Lebanon, Hezbollah is not as popular in the country as it may seem, said David Wood, a senior analyst for the International Crisis Group. Many resent the group’s outsize influence and accuse Hezbollah of dragging the whole country into an unnecessary war.

“It’s undeniable that these operations have weakened Hezbollah militarily,” Mr. Wood said. “What it has done to Hezbollah’s political standing is less clear.”

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France’s Horrifying Rape Trial Has a Feminist Hero

Each morning, when Gisèle Pelicot arrives at the courthouse, dozens of supporters, mainly women, are already there, waiting for her. When she leaves each night, they line her path to applaud and cheer.

Many call her “Gisèle,” as if they know her, though few do personally. In her chic image, they see themselves, their mothers, their grandmothers. They come to the court in the southern French city of Avignon and wait for hours to support her.

“I don’t know how she does it — her dignity,” said Catherine Armand, 62, who arrived an hour and a half before proceedings one recent morning to be first in line for a coveted place in a room in the courthouse where the trial was being broadcast.

“I admire this woman,” she added. “She is exceptional.”

In the three weeks since the rape trial against her former husband and 50 other defendants began, Ms. Pelicot has become a feminist hero in France. Her face, framed by her red Anna Wintour bob and tan sunglasses, appears on nightly TV newscasts, the front pages of newspapers, graffitied walls and signs held up by protesters around the country.

Feminist activists and writers have penned open letters to her that have been published in newspapers and read on the radio.

They laud her courage, her strength, her dignity in confronting her horrifying story. They also praise her rare decision to fling open the doors onto her intimate hell and to insist that the trial be made public, when it could have stayed behind closed doors. Many victims feel she speaks for them.

As Hélène Devynck, a journalist and author, wrote in the newspaper Le Monde: “It is not just you, Gisèle, that they treated like a thing. They tell us all, we are insignificant. Your strength gives us back ours. Thank you for this immense gift.”

Ms. Pelicot is at the center of the most significant rape trial France has seen in decades. Her husband of 50 years, Dominique Pelicot, has pleaded guilty to putting drugs in her food and drinks for almost a decade. Then he invited men into their bedroom to join him in raping her while she was drugged.

Mr. Pelicot and most of the other men on trial are charged with the aggravated rape of Ms. Pelicot.

More than a dozen of the men have pleaded guilty. Most of the rest do not dispute that they had sex with Ms. Pelicot, but they say that they did not think it was rape. Instead, they say they were tricked into it, lured by her husband for playful three-way encounters, and told that she was pretending to be asleep or some variation of that.

Before her husband’s arrest, Ms. Pelicot, 71, led a quiet life: a retired manager at a big company, a mother of three and a grandmother of seven who had moved with her husband of 50 years to a small town in Provence to enjoy hiking in the hills and swimming in the backyard pool.

Now, she arrives at court each day, dressed impeccably for battle, embodying the phrase her lawyers coined at the beginning of the trial that has become a mantra among her supporters — that shame must change sides, from the victim to the accused.

Her head held high, she sweeps past the defendants who fill the room’s many benches. They range in age from 26 to 74. They are thin, fat, bearded, smooth-faced. Many are married and have children. They work as truck drivers, construction workers, tradesmen, salesmen. There is a journalist, a nurse, a prison guard and a tech specialist among them.

By opening the doors to the public, Ms. Pelicot has opened up the view not only onto her own collapsing life and the legal process around rape but also onto the regular, mundane, normal profiles of the accused men. And many women credit her with skewering the myth of the monster rapist.

“Friend of the family, stranger at a bar or the street, brother or cousin, friend, colleague, professor, neighbor: All women can sadly find a face that brings them back to a traumatic memory among the multitudes of accused,” said an open letter published in the French daily Libération that was signed by more than 260 artists, writers, politicians, activists and historians — mostly women.

More than 40 defense lawyers fill the room in their black capes. Last week, many began to cross-examine Ms. Pelicot and to reveal their strategies. Some tried to raise doubt about Ms. Pelicot’s position that she had been completely unconscious and oblivious. They tried to poke holes in her credibility and in her self-portrayal as someone who enjoyed sex with her husband but was never interested in experimenting with other partners.

At their request, two series of pictures — 27 in total, selected from among the 20,000 photographs and videos that the police found on her husband’s electronic devices — were displayed on screens in court while the audience uncomfortably held its breath.

Most showed a woman’s intimate body parts, at times with a protruding sex toy. Some showed Ms. Pelicot’s face, her eyes open.

Ms. Pelicot remained defiant. “If this is an attempt to trap me, it’s difficult to bear,” she said. “What is it that you’re looking for here in this room, to make me look guilty?”

One lawyer asked her — causing an uproar in the courtroom — “Would you not have a secret inclination for exhibitionism?” Another suggested: “These photos are very explicit. Not all women would accept this type of photo, even with a loving husband.”

Men receiving pictures of this kind could have easily been fooled into thinking she wanted to have sex with them, they implied.

Whether or not she looked welcoming in these photos, Ms. Pelicot replied, “if a man came to have intercourse with me, he still should have asked for my consent.”

For the first time in the trial, Ms. Pelicot’s calm composure cracked. She raised her voice.

“I find it insulting,” she said. “And I understand why rape victims don’t press charges.”

The defense strategies are typical for rape trials, experts say. But now they are being aired before journalists posting updates on social media to an increasingly shocked public.

Many women say Ms. Pelicot has provided a public — and brave — demonstration about the treatment of rape victims.

“It’s a victim’s obstacle course,” said Audrey Darsonville, a professor of criminal law at the University of Nanterre. “Their whole life is scrutinized, starting with police officers asking how they were dressed, what is their sexuality, et cetera. All these questions that have nothing to do with the violence that is rape.”

“With everything she represents — a family woman, a grandmother — even she ends up being extremely mistreated by defense lawyers,” Professor Darsonville added, referring to Ms. Pelicot. “Can you imagine if she were a young woman who had consumed alcohol?”

The same lawyers who showed the photographs of Ms. Pelicot later argued against showing the footage Mr. Pelicot took of the men’s sexual interactions with his drugged wife. That, one said, would impugn the dignity of the men involved. The prosecutors argued that the edited clips were essential evidence — preciously rare in sexual assault cases. The head judge ruled that the clips would not be viewed publicly given their “indecent and shocking” nature.

Christelle Taraud, a feminist historian in Paris who edited the book “Femicides: A World History,” said that revealed a double standard.

“It’s only the reputation of men that counts,” Ms. Taraud said. “The reversal of responsibility, transforming the victims into guilty and the guilty into victims is a constant in rape trials.”

The trial has inspired soul-searching in France about the relationship between men and women. Some men have begun to speak about “rape culture” and “toxic masculinity.”

Ms. Taraud said that showed a shift. “We are seeing a difficult, paradoxical, ambiguous awareness — but an awareness nonetheless in part of the French male population,” she noted.

The accused are scheduled to appear at the hearings in groups of six or seven every week. As they do, Ms. Pelicot will be forced to continue walking into the courthouse and sitting among them.

Océane Guichardon, 20, a student, was waiting to applaud Ms. Pelicot at the court recently. “We came to support her — it’s feminine solidarity, really,” she said. “Gisèle is brave. Every time we see her leave the courthouse, her head is high.”

Africa’s Youngest Elected Leader Wants a New World Order

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Ruth Maclean

Reporting from Dakar, Senegal

President Bassirou Diomaye Faye rocketed to international fame last March when he went from prison to president-elect of the West African nation of Senegal in 10 days, becoming the youngest elected leader on the continent.

He carried the hopes of the youngest, fastest-growing population on earth, who saw in him a fresh start, and a break with Africa’s many aging presidents and military rulers. But until now, he has rarely given interviews.

Speaking with The New York Times last week — in his first interview with a Western media outlet — he made the case for a different world order that gives more weight to Africa.

Before traveling to New York for the United Nations General Assembly, Mr. Faye called for “a reform of the world system and an equality among its peoples.”

Demographic importance should help determine who holds power at the United Nations, Mr. Faye said, pointing out that by 2050, Africa’s population will likely be nearly 2.5 billion — accounting for an estimated one of every four people on the planet by then.

His remarks came amid growing calls for permanent African representation on the United Nations Security Council. This month, the United States said it would support two permanent seats for African countries. But this is unlikely to happen soon, analysts say, as many other countries are demanding seats and any change requires the assent of all five permanent members with veto power.

Mr. Faye said that the current world order is hurting Africans.

For instance, he said, Africa is hardly responsible for climate change, and yet when emissions from the developed world cause the polar ice caps to melt, “this has repercussions on our shores.” He pointed to Bargny, a town in Senegal plagued by coastal erosion caused by rising sea levels where dozens of homes were recently swept away.

And he railed against the injustice of rich nations continuing to use coal while refusing to finance fossil fuel projects in developing countries. Production recently began at Senegal’s first offshore oil project, and the country is trying to build the infrastructure to convert its gas into electricity.

Mr. Faye gave the interview amid the pomp of Dakar’s presidential palace, all red carpets and gold lions. But he has gotten rid of some of the furniture in the office used by his predecessor, Macky Sall, making it a little more austere.

Mr. Faye spent most of the election’s run-up awaiting trial in jail, charged with defamation and contempt of court. He was chosen for the presidential ticket by Ousmane Sonko, Senegal’s most formidable opposition politician, who was also jailed and barred from running. When Mr. Sall released the two men 10 days before the election, thousands celebrated.

Mr. Faye won more than 50 percent of the vote in the first round of the March election, beating the chosen candidate of Mr. Sall and eliminating any need for a runoff.

At 44, Mr. Faye said he feels uniquely placed to understand the challenges young Africans face. He said their main desire is “to be useful — useful to themselves, their families, their country.”

“We have to give answers to our young people, so they are not thrown into permanent despair,” said the soft-spoken Mr. Faye. More despair, he added, would help both traffickers of migrants and jihadist groups with recruitment.

Just outside the palace lay the glimmering Atlantic Ocean, where thousands of Senegalese people of Mr. Faye’s generation have died trying to make it to Europe in boats.

Ramping up job training for youth is one of his top priorities, he said.

“What’s important is that young people have qualifications,” he said, “so that when they see a job they can apply — or if they choose to migrate legally, they can be employable in the country they have chosen to go to.”

Mr. Faye and his prime minister, Mr. Sonko, captivated young Senegalese by denouncing political elites, promising to negotiate better deals with oil and gas companies, and pledging to reform the regional currency, the CFA, which is backed by France.

But six months into their term, young people are still fleeing the country in search of a better life. In the first half of 2024, nearly 20,000 migrants reached the Canary Islands, part of Spain, after crossing by boat from the coast of West Africa, according to the U.N.’s migration agency, an increase of 167 percent from 2023. Dozens of shipwrecks have been recorded.

“People expect them to take measures to tackle the high cost of living and youth unemployment,” said Ndongo Samba Sylla, a Senegalese economist, but he said that the country’s leaders were held back by high levels of debt servicing inherited from previous administrations. “There is very little they could do in these areas.”

Unable to get some of his proposals through an opposition-dominated Parliament, Mr. Faye recently called a snap parliamentary election for November. He acknowledged that the people who elected him in “immense hope” will judge him on one main thing: his ability to transform their prospects.

“In a country like Senegal, everything is a priority and everything is urgent,” he said.