Here are the latest developments.
Israel said Tuesday that it had destroyed Syria’s navy in overnight airstrikes, as it continued to pound targets in Syria despite warnings that its operations there could ignite new conflict and jeopardize the transition of power to an interim government.
Israel’s defense minister, Israel Katz, said that the Israeli military had “destroyed Syria’s navy overnight, and with great success.” His remarks appeared to confirm Israel’s responsibility for the destruction documented in the Syrian port city of Latakia, where photos showed the smoldering remains of ships sunk at their dock.
Mr. Katz said that Israel’s military “has been operating in Syria in recent days to hit and destroy strategic capabilities that pose a threat to Israel,” although he did not indicate what new or immediate risk Syria’s navy presented to Israel, which has the most powerful military in the Middle East.
Israeli warplanes have conducted hundreds of strikes in Syria since the fall of President Bashar al-Assad on Sunday, according to war monitors. Israel has characterized its operations as defensive, saying its military was striking suspected chemical weapons stockpiles in Syria to prevent them from falling “into the hands of extremists.”
“From here, I warn the rebel leaders in Syria: Those who follow Assad’s path will end like Assad,” Mr. Katz said.
As the Assad government fell to the rebels over the weekend, Israeli ground forces advanced beyond the demilitarized zone on the Israel-Syria border, marking their first overt entry into Syrian territory in more than 50 years. An Israeli military spokesman on Tuesday denied reports that the military was advancing on Damascus. The spokesman, Avichay Adraee, said the military was inside a buffer zone between Israel and Syria and at other points “in order to protect the Israeli border.”
Earlier Tuesday, Geir Pedersen, the United Nations special envoy for Syria, called on Israel to halt its “very troubling” military operations there, and said de-escalation was needed. “We are continuing to see Israeli movements and bombardments into Syrian territory. This needs to stop,” Mr. Pedersen told reporters in Geneva.
Here is what else to know:
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Transitional government: The rebel alliance forming an interim government in Syria confirmed the appointment of Mohammed al-Bashir as prime minister, according to SANA, Syria’s state-run news agency. Mr. al-Bashir has been tasked with running a transitional government until March 1, the agency reported. He previously served as the head of a rebel-run administration in northwestern Syria. Earlier, the leader of the rebel alliance vowed to pursue and punish those who held senior positions under Mr. al-Assad.
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Prison search: A Syrian volunteer rescue group, the White Helmets, said it had finished searching for detainees at “the infamous Sednaya Prison” on the outskirts of Damascus and had found no hidden cells. Thousands of people remain missing, the group said in a statement.
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Al-Assad in Russia: Mr. al-Assad’s decision to step down as Syria’s president was a personal one, according to the Kremlin spokesman, Dmitri S. Peskov. Asked at a news briefing on Tuesday whether Moscow played any role in the former Syrian leader’s move to seek exile in Russia, Peskov replied that “it was Assad’s personal decision to resign from the position of head of state. No further remarks on this issue.”
Nick Cumming-Bruce contributed reporting.
Reporting from Tel Aviv
The Israeli military confirmed it had struck Syrian navy facilities overnight, and that it has conducted more than 350 airstrikes in the past 48 hours on military assets belonging to the Assad regime. Targets included anti-aircraft batteries, airfields and weapons production sites in Damascus, Homs, Tartus, Latakia, and Palmyra, according to the Israeli military.
In northern Syria, Turkish-backed rebels advance on a town held by Kurdish-led, U.S.-backed forces.
Fierce fighting was underway on Tuesday between rebels supported by Turkey and U.S.-backed, Kurdish-led forces near Kobani, a town in northern Syria with historic and symbolic significance for American involvement in the region.
The fight illustrates how, even as rebels try to build a government after taking Damascus, armed groups with competing interests are still fighting for territory and power, trying to fill the vacuum left by a collapsed regime and, in this case, pitting proxies of the United States and Turkey against each other.
On Tuesday, Turkish-backed fighters were “violently attacking” in the vicinity of Kobani, said Farhad Shami, a spokesman for the U.S.-allied forces. Both he and an independent group monitoring the war said Turkish warplanes were assisting their allies on the ground airstrikes.
Turkey and the United States, allies in NATO, both welcomed the ouster of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad over the weekend. But one of Turkey’s central strategic goals in the region is to weaken Kurdish forces, putting it at odds with Washington.
The clashes on Tuesday signaled an expansion of the fighting between the two sides that in recent days centered on the Kurdish-controlled city of Manbij, not far from the Turkish border. Turkish-backed forces captured the city on Monday, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, and pushed north toward Kobani, less than 40 miles away.
Kobani was once a relatively obscure Kurdish town near the border with Turkey in northern Syria. But it rocketed to global prominence in 2014, when Islamic State fighters surrounded the town and Washington intervened to help fend them off.
The United States armed the region’s main Syrian Kurdish militia and carried out hundreds of airstrikes in what was lauded as a model of international cooperation. That was the beginning of a partnership between Washington and the militia, known then as the People’s Protection Units, or Y.P.G., that drew the United States into Syria. After a bitter battle, the Kurdish militia prevailed in Kobani in early 2015, then drove ISIS from other parts of Syria and forged ties with other militias.
Underscoring the relationship, General Michael E. Kurilla, chief of the U.S. military’s Central Command, which covers Asia and the Middle East, visited U.S. and Kurdish-led forces in Syria on Tuesday. “He received a firsthand assessment of force protection measures, the rapidly evolving situation, and ongoing efforts to prevent ISIS from exploiting the current situation,” Central Command said in a statement.
The Kurdish militia began as a Syrian offshoot of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, or P.K.K., that has long fought for Kurdish autonomy in Turkey and is considered a terrorist organization by the Turkish government.
After prompting from the United States, in 2015 the Y.P.G. rebranded as the Syrian Democratic Forces — a mix of Kurdish, Arab and other fighters. It controls northeastern Syria, a region along the Turkish border, and a small contingent of U.S. troops is stationed there.
Analysts say that in recent days the Syrian Democratic Forces have been expanding the territory under their control by moving into areas vacated by the retreat of forces loyal to Mr. al-Assad. At the same time, they have been battling a faction of Turkish-backed fighters, the Syrian National Army, that is seeking to seize control of parts of northern Syria and drive out the Kurds.
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, which monitors the war, said that Turkish forces had shelled a key bridge west of Kobani and that there were unconfirmed reports of casualties.
The reports from both the Syrian Democratic Forces and the Syrian Observatory could not be independently verified, and there was no immediate comment from the Turkish or U.S. militaries. But on Sunday, the Pentagon said that Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III spoke to his Turkish counterpart and “reaffirmed the importance of close coordination” between the countries to prevent any further escalation “as well as to avoid any risk to U.S. forces and partners.”
What to know about Syria’s notorious Sednaya prison.
As the Assad regime in Syria crumbled over the weekend, the conquering rebels threw open the gates to the prisons where the government had detained tens of thousands of its people, torturing and killing them on an industrial scale.
Throngs of Syrians rushed to the facilities to search for loved ones who had disappeared into the prison system during the 13-year civil war. No prison is more infamous than Sednaya, just north of the capital, Damascus.
Even before the civil war, Sednaya was known for widespread torture and abuse. But during the conflict, it became a site of depravity and violence, used to commit some of the worst atrocities of Bashar al-Assad’s rule when he was president.
Human rights groups say tens of thousands of people were detained in Sednaya. They were tortured, beaten and deprived of food, water, medicine and basic sanitation. Thousands were executed in mass hangings after sham trials. One group estimated that more than 30,000 detainees were killed there.
In most cases, the families of prisoners were given no information about their fate.
Who was sent to Sednaya prison?
The prison, built in 1987 on a hill north of Damascus, was a military prison that housed political prisoners.
As The New York Times has reported, it was the most notorious prison in a brutal system that was the government’s main weapon against the civilian opposition. Amnesty International described Sednaya as a “human slaughterhouse.”
According to a report by a group representing prisoners, it was protected by hundreds of guards and soldiers and surrounded by a ring of minefields.
The prison held an estimated 1,500 inmates in 2007, but its population surged to as many as 20,000 people at once after Syria’s civil war began, according to a 2017 report by Amnesty International.
What was its history?
Before the civil war began, in 2011, a majority of Sednaya’s inmates were Islamists, who had been encouraged by the Syrian government to join an offshoot of Al Qaeda that was fighting the United States in Iraq. Once they returned home, Mr. al-Assad jailed them to prevent them from threatening his rule.
As antigovernment protests spread across Syria in early 2011, the government released many of those jihadists and began imprisoning thousands of protesters, activists, journalists, doctors, aid workers, students and other Syrians. Many were sent to Sednaya.
The prison was the last place detainees were often dumped after long periods in other detention centers.
What were the conditions?
The Amnesty report and a separate investigation by the United Nations found that the Syrian authorities had deliberately exterminated detainees at Sednaya after torturing and housing them in appalling conditions. The U.N. investigators determined that such acts could amount to crimes against humanity.
The detainees were sexually assaulted, beaten on the genitals and forced to beat, rape or even kill one another, according to rights groups and a Times investigation. In 2017, the United States accused the Syrian government of using a crematory to hide mass murders in Sednaya, listing methods of physical torture such as beatings, stabbings, sexual assault, electric shocks and cutting off ears and genitals.
The few who won release, often through family connections or bribes, described detainees left to die of untreated wounds and illnesses in filthy, overcrowded cells. Prisoners were given just seconds to use latrines, so were often forced to relieve themselves in the cells, which lacked toilets. Meals usually consisted of a few mouthfuls of spoiled food. Many people developed serious infections, diseases and mental illnesses.
The conditions were similar at many prisons across the system. But at Sednaya, treatment could be especially sadistic, according to ex-inmates.
Prisoners were not allowed to look at the guards, talk or make any noise, even during torture. They could be punished by being denied water or forced to sleep naked, without blankets, in freezing cold.
Every morning, guards collected the bodies of those who had died overnight and took them to a military hospital, where their deaths were recorded as cases of heart or respiratory failure, according to the Amnesty report. Then, they were trucked to mass graves outside Damascus.
Loved ones outside the prison often never knew their fates.
A grim protocol
According to former officials cited in the Amnesty report, detainees at Sednaya were routinely tortured into giving confessions. Then they were taken to military field courts, where they were convicted after trials that lasted two or three minutes.
Every week and often twice a week, according to the report, guards pulled groups of up to 50 people from their cells, telling them they were being transferred to civilian prisons. Instead, they were blindfolded, beaten severely in the prison’s basement and then taken to another building, where they were hanged in the middle of the night, the report said.
Prison officials called the mass hangings “the party.”
From 2011 to 2015, Amnesty found, 5,000 to 13,000 people, most of them civilians, were put to death in this way. The group did not have direct evidence of executions after 2015, but because detainees were still being transferred to Sednaya and sham trials still being held, it was likely the executions continued.
What is happening now at the prison?
Some 2,000 prisoners emerged from Sednaya on Sunday, according to Fadel Abdul Ghany, the director of the Syrian Network for Human Rights, which has rigorously monitored Mr. al-Assad’s labyrinth of prisons. But the rest of the approximately 11,000 detainees who he said were being held there when the government was overthrown were nowhere to be found.
“Where are the remaining prisoners?” Mr. Abdul Ghany said. “They have been killed.”
Still, in the confusion, different groups had different estimates of the numbers, and many Syrians held out hope that their disappeared relatives could still be found. Journalists, armed fighters and civilians, including children, roamed the prison, looking for signs of them.
“Seizing the city is a joy — we are joyous,” said one rebel fighter, Mohammad Bakir. “But the real victory will be when I find my family.” He had not heard from his mother, brother and cousin since they disappeared in 2012 after protesting against the government.
Videos sent to The Times by a group of doctors visiting Sednaya showed crowding and the dire conditions inside. Numbered cells, each of which appear to have held a dozen or more people, were littered with debris, clothing and belongings.
The White Helmets, a volunteer civil defense organization in Syria, said it had helped to release about 20,000 to 25,000 people from Sednaya, but noted that thousands more prisoners remained unaccounted for.
The group sent specialized teams to Sednaya looking for secret cells that might hold more prisoners, based on reports that it has hidden elements. But around midnight, the group said it had not found evidence of hidden rooms.
The Association of Detainees & the Missing in Sednaya Prison said that it had obtained a document showing there had been about 4,300 detainees as of Oct. 28 and that approximately that number had already walked free. In a statement, it said there was “no truth to the presence of detainees trapped underground.”
On Monday in Aleppo, a vehicle dropped off one former prisoner from Sednaya, his face gaunt and his legs and body weakened by years of detention. Two relatives helped him stand. A small band of musicians beat drums to celebrate his survival.
The man was soon thronged by people holding their cellphones up to his face. They were showing him photographs of detainees, hoping he might have news.
Aryn Baker, Ephrat Livni and Muhammad Haj Kadour contributed reporting.
Ephrat Livni
Islamic State forces on Tuesday killed 54 people in the Homs region in central Syria who had been part of the Syrian government’s military and fled during the collapse of the Assad regime, according to the Syrian Observatory of Human Rights, a British-based monitoring group. The killings highlight the chaos in Syria as various rebel factions operate in different regions.
Ephrat Livni
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the group which led the rebel push, had announced an amnesty for the rank and file of the government of former president Bashar al-Assad, though the group’s leader has vowed to hold accountable “criminals, murderers, and security and military officers involved in torturing the Syrian people.”
Reporting from Tel Aviv
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel “would like to form relations with the new regime in Syria,” but said he had approved the bombing of Syrian military targets “so that those don’t fall into jihadists’ hands.”
It is ‘too early’ to remove Syrian rebels from terror list, Britain says.
The rebel alliance that ousted the government in Syria will not be removed from Britain’s list of banned terror organizations for now, the British government said on Tuesday.
But Downing Street also said that the group’s proscribed status would not prevent the British government from communicating with it.
The alliance, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, has been banned by Britain since 2017 because of its origins as an affiliate of Al Qaeda. It is designated a foreign terror organization by the State Department and by the United Nations.
Since the Islamist group’s rapid advance through Syria and the fall of Bashar al-Assad, questions have arisen as to whether Britain and others might consider removing its terrorist designation as the alliance attempts to form a transitional government.
In recent years the group has broken with Al Qaeda, and under its leader, Ahmed al-Shara, who is also known by the nom de guerre Abu Mohammad al-Jolani, it has sought greater international legitimacy and focused its ambitions on governing Syria.
During a visit to Saudi Arabia on Monday, Britain’s prime minister, Keir Starmer, said that it was “far too early” to consider a change of policy on the group’s status.
Britain’s foreign secretary, David Lammy, told lawmakers that the government would remain “cautious.” He noted that Hayat Tahrir al-Sham had offered “reassurances to minorities in Aleppo, Hama and Damascus” and had “committed to cooperating with the international community over monitoring chemical weapons.”
But he concluded: “We will judge HTS by their actions, monitoring closely how they and other parties to this conflict treat all civilians in areas they control.”
On Tuesday an official spokesman for Mr. Starmer said that the presence of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham on the list of terror organizations did not mean the government could not communicate with the group because of a law that restricts such contacts.
Britain’s antiterror legislation permits dialogue with banned organizations for specific reasons, such as to encourage them to enter into a peace process or to facilitate the delivery of humanitarian aid, he added.
Early on Monday, there had been some confusion within Britain’s government when another senior minister, Pat McFadden, said the government would consider removing the terror designation and that a decision could come quickly.
But the British government appears to want more time to assess the intentions of Mr. al-Shara and to judge whether some of the assurances he has given are matched by actions.
Reporting from Tel Aviv
The Israeli defense minister, Israel Katz, said his country “destroyed Syria’s navy overnight, and with great success.” His remarks appeared to confirm Israel’s responsibility for the destruction overnight in the port city of Latakia, formerly a stronghold of Syria’s ousted leader, Bashar al-Assad. Israel’s military “has been operating in Syria in recent days to hit and destroy strategic capabilities that pose a threat to Israel,” Katz said while visiting an Israeli naval base.“I warn the rebel leaders in Syria: Those who follow Assad’s path will end like Assad.”
The rebels in Syria seem to want a more inclusive government, a U.N. envoy says.
The United Nations special envoy for Syria said on Tuesday that the rebel group that is asserting control there had sent positive messages about creating a more inclusive government to replace the ousted Assad regime. But the envoy, Geir Pedersen, called for military de-escalation and a halt to Israeli attacks on Syria.
“The situation is still moving fast,” Mr. Pedersen told reporters in Geneva, hours after briefing the U.N. Security Council.
“The realities so far is that the H.T.S. and also the other armed groups have been sending good messages to the Syrian people,” Mr. Pedersen said, referring to Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the militant group at the head of the lightning advance that ended half a century of Assad family rule.
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and other armed groups controlling Damascus, the capital, have issued “reassuring statements” about forming a government of “unity and inclusiveness,” Mr. Pedersen said. But he warned of the dangers of renewed violence among the patchwork of armed groups operating across Syria, citing continuing clashes between groups in the northeast, and of the risks posed by what he called Israel’s “very troubling” military operations in the country.
The Israeli military seized control of a buffer zone between Syria and the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights over the weekend, and in the past two days its forces have carried out strikes on airfields, military warehouses and other targets around Damascus and the port city of Latakia.
“This needs to stop,” Mr. Pedersen said. As Syria’s armed groups attempt an orderly transition to a new government, it is “extremely important that we don’t see any action from any international actor that destroys the possibility for this transformation in Syria to take place,” he added.
Mr. Pedersen urged Syria’s armed groups to protect civilians and to move toward a government based on the broadest possible representation of the country’s many ethnic and religious communities.
“If we do this, if we unite the Syrian parties, we bring together the different Syrian communities, then this could be the real beginning of something new for Syria,” he said.
The United Nations has listed Hayat Tahrir al-Sham as a terrorist group for the last nine years based on its past association with Al Qaeda. Mr. Pedersen said that this was a complicating factor but added that he believed the formation of an inclusive government would lead the international community to reconsider the designation.
“We also have to be honest — we have to look at the facts and to see what has happened during the last nine years,” Mr. Pedersen said, citing the group’s messages of inclusiveness and “reassuring things on the ground” in the areas it controls.
Gazans feel relief for Syrians, but fear that their suffering will be prolonged.
Palestinians in Gaza watched the fall of the Assad government in Syria with mixed feelings. Some hoped that their struggle, too, would soon come to an end while others worried that the developments would divert attention from the enclave, where deadly Israeli strikes showed no sign of letting up.
“This moment represents a victory not only for the resilient Syrian people, but also for the Arab world as a whole,” said Hadeel al-Astal, a 21-year-old student from the southern Gazan city of Khan Younis. “We hope that this marks the start of a new chapter, one where the Palestinian people’s suffering comes to an end and they are liberated.”
But Sobhi Firwana, 29, said that he was concerned that the situation in Syria could prolong the war in Gaza and further delay efforts to reach a cease-fire, pointing to the media’s pivot of coverage to Syria and Israel’s bombing campaign there.
Even as Israel pummeled targets in Syria, saying it was destroying military and weapons facilities there, its forces have continued strikes in Gaza. On Monday night, 25 people were killed in an airstrike on a house in Beit Hanoun, a town in northern Gaza, according to Mahmoud Basal, a spokesman for the Palestinian Civil Defense emergency service.
The Israeli military, which has called for evacuations of much of north Gaza, did not immediately comment on the strike, but it has been conducting an offensive there to try to extinguish a Hamas resurgence. It maintains that it tries to avoid civilian casualties but that Hamas has embedded itself in residential areas.
The deadly attack “due to the events happening in Syria and the diversion of the media coverage, possibly did not echo,” Mr. Basal said in a statement on Tuesday.
Talks on a cease-fire in Gaza are quietly advancing behind the scenes, according to mediators and officials, but details remain murky and an agreement is not in hand. Mr. Firwana, a lawyer and law professor from Khan Younis, said he was concerned that the situation in Syria could further push back a deal because Israel was now focused on securing its borders from potential threats in Syria.
But Ahmed Khalil, a 29-year-old from central Gaza, said he thought that the fall of Bashar al-Assad, along with the deaths of Hezbollah leaders in Lebanon, sent a strong message to Iran.
Iran has sustained blow after blow at the hands of Israel and the ouster of Mr. al-Assad severely damaged Iran’s regional strategy, which cultivated a network of allies, including Hamas, Hezbollah and the Syrian government.
Mr. Khalil said he thought that Iran’s weakening influence could “hasten the process of negotiations for a cease-fire and a deal for prisoners in Gaza.” If a cease-fire is reached in Gaza, the bakery worker said he would celebrate like many in Syria have over the last week, by preparing and handing out local desserts.
Husam al-Fiqy, a 41-year-old from Nuseirat in central Gaza, said that he was indifferent to the details of what happened in Syria, but he felt a sense of relief seeing the Syrian people “finally free themselves from their oppressive leader.”
Matthew Mpoke Bigg
The rebel alliance forming a transitional government in Syria has confirmed the appointment of Mohammed al-Bashir as the country’s prime minister, according to SANA, Syria’s state-run news agency. Mr. al-Bashir has been tasked with running the transitional government until March 1, the agency reported. He previously served as the head of a rebel-run administration in northwestern Syria.
Safak Timur
Reporting from Istanbul
Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, vowed to support Syria’s stability and wipe out militant groups and Kurdish fighters there that his country deems to be terrorists. “Any attack against the freedom of the Syrian people, the stability of the new administration and the territorial integrity of the ancient Syrian soil will be met by us, together with the Syrian people,” Erdogan said in a televised speech to members of his party in Ankara. Groups like Islamic State and Kurdish militants “will be crushed as soon as possible,” he said. Turkey has continued to fight Kurdish militants in Syria’s northeast.
Anatoly Kurmanaev
Reporting on Russia
Al-Assad’s decision to step down as Syria’s president was a personal one, according to the Kremlin spokesman, Dmitri S. Peskov. Asked at a news briefing whether Moscow played any role in the Syrian leader’s move to seek exile in Russia, Peskov replied that “it was Assad’s personal decision to resign from the position of head of state. No further remarks on this issue.”
Nick Cumming-Bruce
Reporting from Geneva
The U.N. special envoy for Syria has said that Israel should halt its “very troubling” military operations in Syria, calling for de-escalation to avert igniting new conflict. “We are continuing to see Israeli movements and bombardments into Syrian territory. This needs to stop,” the envoy, Geir Pedersen, told reporters in Geneva.
Nick Cumming-Bruce
Reporting from Geneva
As Syrian rebels attempt to make the transition to a new government in Damascus, Mr. Pedersen added, it was “extremely important that we don’t see any action from any international actor that destroys the possibility for this transformation in Syria to take place.”
Syrian rebels vow to punish senior officials in the Assad government.
The rebel alliance that overthrew the Assad government in Syria has vowed to find and punish senior officials who served in the previous regime.
“We will not relent in holding accountable the criminals, murderers, and security and military officers involved in torturing the Syrian people,” Ahmed al-Shara, the leader behind the rebel push, formerly known by his nom de guerre Mohammed al-Jolani, said in a statement posted on the Telegram social media app.
He gave no details about how the rebel group would pursue that course, or of any judicial process, which human rights experts say is essential to helping Syria move forward.
The group Mr. al-Shara leads, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, had earlier announced an amnesty for the rank and file of the government of former president Bashar al-Assad, but Mr. al-Shara said this did not extend to senior officials. His comments came amid fear that people who supported the fallen government could face retribution.
The group confirmed the appointment of Mohammed al-Bashir as the country’s prime minister on Tuesday, according to SANA, Syria’s state-run news agency. Mr. al-Bashir has been tasked with running the transitional government until March 1, the agency reported. He previously served as the head of a rebel-run administration in northwestern Syria.
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, an Islamist group that was once linked to Al Qaeda, has tried to gain international legitimacy by eschewing global jihadist ambitions and focusing on organized governance in Syria. But it has also come under criticism for using authoritarian tactics and cracking down on dissent.
Human rights groups say that more than half a million people including around 200,000 civilians, died in Syria’s civil war, which began in 2011, but attention has focused on atrocities committed by Mr. al-Assad’s government.
The whereabouts of around 136,000 people who were arrested arbitrarily by the Assad regime is unknown and in many cases the government did not acknowledge that people had been detained, leaving family members in the dark, according to the Syrian Network for Human Rights. In addition, at least 15,000 people were tortured to death by the government, the network said.
Human rights experts say a judicial process is necessary and that the options for the rebel alliance include building cases in national, foreign and international courts. But they caution that it would take time to set up a national system capable of rendering justice and it can only be done once security in the country has been established.
Human rights groups in Syria, working with international organizations, have spent more than a decade documenting evidence of crimes committed in the country, particularly in the regime’s notorious prison network.
In addition, there have been around a dozen prosecutions in courts outside Syria. In one high-profile example, a court in the city of Koblenz, Germany, sentenced a former intelligence officer to life in prison in 2022 after he was convicted of crimes against humanity.
The court found that the former officer, Anwar Raslan, 58, oversaw the torture of prisoners in Damascus and the killing of at least 27 people there, in addition to the sexual abuse and rape of detainees.
The ultimate target for human rights groups working on Syria would be to bring Mr. al-Assad to justice. Russia announced over the weekend that Mr. al-Assad had arrived in Moscow and would be granted asylum, apparently putting him out of reach.
Israel strikes military assets in Syria, saying it wants to keep them from the rebels.
As soon as it became clear on Sunday that there would be regime change in neighboring Syria, Israel began a sweeping aerial campaign.
By Tuesday, at least 350 airstrikes had leveled military assets across Syria, taking out the Navy, fighter jets, drones, tanks, air-defense systems, weapons plants and a wide array of missiles and rockets, according to the Israeli military.
Israeli officials said they were destroying weapons and military facilities to keep them out of the hands of Islamist extremists. The rebel group that led the toppling of the president, Bashar al-Assad, was formerly linked to Al Qaeda and is still designated as a terrorist group by the United States and the United Nations.
“We have no intention to meddle in Syria’s internal affairs, but we certainly intend to do whatever is needed to guarantee our security,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel said on Tuesday.
The Israeli campaign over the past two days has been exceptional in force and scope, trying to ensure that whoever ends up in power in Syria will be significantly disarmed.
It followed months of intensified Israeli airstrikes on Syria, including on weapons depots belonging to Iran and Hezbollah. But the large-scale bombings this week have been far more comprehensive and devastating to Syria’s military capabilities, analysts said.
The assault delivered a blow to the infrastructure in Syria that Iran used to transport weapons to Hezbollah in Lebanon. And Mr. Netanyahu warned the country’s future leaders to prevent Iran from using Syrian territory again for its own military purposes.
The Israeli defense minister, Israel Katz, congratulated the country’s missile ships on Tuesday for completing “the destruction of the Syrian Navy” the night before.
But the intense air assault on Syria at such a fragile moment raised alarm among some in the international community.
“This needs to stop,” the U.N. special envoy for Syria, Geir Pedersen, told reporters in Geneva on Tuesday. As Syrian factions attempt an orderly transition to a new government, it is “extremely important that we don’t see any action from any international actor that destroys the possibility for this transformation in Syria to take place,” he added.
The U.N. also expressed concern about Israel’s actions on the ground.
On Saturday, even before Mr. al-Assad fled the country, Israeli forces entered Syrian territory for the first time in 50 years. They have since taken control of a 155-square-mile demilitarized buffer zone in the Golan Heights that has been patrolled by U.N. troops since the 1973 Middle East war. The zone abuts Syrian-controlled territory.
Israel captured the Golan during the 1967 Middle East war and annexed most of it in 1981. Most of the world views the area as Israeli-occupied Syrian territory, but over the past decades, Israel has firmly defended the land.
Israeli’s foreign minister, Gideon Saar, said Israel’s incursion into the U.N.-controlled buffer zone was “limited and temporary.”
Stéphane Dujarric, spokesman for the U.N. secretary general, told reporters that the presence of Israeli forces in the area violated the 1974 agreement that created the buffer zone.
“There should be no military forces or activities in the area,” he said.
Mr. Netanyahu said on Monday that the 1974 agreement had collapsed because Syrian troops protecting some of the buffer zone had abandoned their posts.
Egyptian officials said Israel’s actions “violate international law, undermine the unity and integrity of Syrian territory and exploit the current instability to occupy more Syrian land.” Egypt called on the U.N. Security Council to “take a firm stance against Israeli attacks on Syria, ensuring its sovereignty over all its territories.”
The Israeli military said its airstrikes had destroyed much of Syria’s military capabilities. Its targets included airfields, hangars, military structures, launchers, firing positions, at least 15 naval vessels and dozens of weapons-production sites. The strikes against Syria’s Navy also destroyed dozens of sea-to-sea missiles with ranges of 50 to 120 miles, the Israeli military said.
Photographs from Syria on Tuesday showed sunken boats at a shipyard, crumbled buildings and the charred remains of a science research center that had been linked to the country’s chemical weapons program, according to the news agencies that distributed the images.
“I’ve just watched dots all over the place — it’s been literally hundreds of attacks in the last 48 hours,” said Miri Eisin, a retired Israeli colonel who has been tracking the strikes for the International Institute for Counter-Terrorism.
“Thank Israel that Israel just destroyed the chemical weapons that nobody else was willing to touch,” she said.
Under Mr. al-Assad, the Syrian government used chemical weapons — particularly sarin nerve agent — against citizens numerous times during the 13-year civil war.
Over the past years, Israel had periodically bombed targets in Syria, and the intensity of those attacks had escalated recently.
In April, Israeli forces bombed an Iranian Embassy building in Damascus, killing senior Iranian military and intelligence officials. And in September, Israeli struck a Hezbollah missile production site in Syria before commandos rappelled down from helicopters to collect evidence.
But nothing had come close to the scale of this week’s attacks.
Mr. Netanyahu said Israel would like to forge relations with the new Syrian government — on certain conditions.
“If this regime allows Iran to reestablish itself in Syria, or allow for the proliferation of Iranian weapons or any other weapons to Hezbollah or attack us, we will respond forcefully and exact a heavy price,” he warned.
Ms. Eisin, the retired colonel, said Israel took advantage of a window of opportunity in Syria.
“You are trying to cut what you could never do in the past because if you did, you would be in an all-out war against Syria, Hezbollah” and Iran, she said.
Mr. Katz, the defense minister, said Israel’s move into the buffer zone on the Golan Heights aimed to prevent militants from amassing near Israel, as had happened in Gaza and Lebanon.
He said that Israeli forces would “establish a defensive area clean of weapons and terror threats in southern Syria.”
The ground advances generated nervous speculation that Israel might go further in capturing territory.
Nadav Shoshani, an Israeli military spokesman, confirmed that Israel forces had moved outside the buffer zone in several areas. But he said that was because of the landscape and “not an offensive.”
Israeli forces “are not advancing toward Damascus,” Mr. Shoshani told reporters on Tuesday.
“We are not a side in this conflict, and we do not have any interests other than protecting our borders and the security of our civilians.”
Reporting was contributed by Johnatan Reiss, Nick Cumming-Bruce, Aaron Boxerman, Gabby Sobelman and Vivian Yee.
At the presidential palace in Damascus, rebels walk the halls.
Red carpets still run down the airy halls that connect the wings of the presidential palace in Damascus from which Bashar al-Assad ruled Syria until only a few days ago.
Now a contingent of bearded rebels stand watch at the gate, keeping out looters and curious civilians. They sleep on couches in a cavernous reception hall. And they stop, at times, to marvel at how much the palace must have cost.
“It’s a wreck now but we want to fix it,” said a fighter with his face covered who gave only his nom de guerre, Abu Oweis. Of the palace, he said: “It is beautiful, but it was all for Bashar.”
He is a fighter with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the group that led the rebel charge from Idlib Province in the northwest all the way to Damascus, forcing Mr. al-Assad to flee. Abu Oweis said he was 20, had not finished high school and had never left Syria or visited its largest cities, Aleppo or Damascus.
“It’s a big city,” he said of the Syrian capital. “Really big.”
Outside the presidential palace, a family and their friends were wandering around, marveling at the grandeur of the structure and the landscaped gardens around it.
“I wanted to see all the blood that they drew from us to build this,” said Mohammed Abu al-Kheir, 42, an electronics trader.
“This is really rich, unnaturally rich,” he said, shaking his head. “Just the irrigation needed its own budget.”
Cassandra Vinograd
Photos taken this morning show the aftermath of a strike on a Syrian naval ship in the port city of Latakia, a former stronghold of Bashar al-Assad. The source of the strike was not immediately clear. Israel has said it is striking targets in Syria since al-Assad’s ouster in an effort to prevent weapons and military infrastructure from falling into the hands of extremists.
Gabby Sobelman
Reporting from Rehovot, Israel
Avichay Adraee, an Israeli military spokesman, said reports suggesting that the military was advancing on the Syrian capital were “completely incorrect.” Adraee said in a post on social media that the military was inside a buffer zone between Israel and Syria and at other points “in order to protect the Israeli border.” Israeli ground forces advanced beyond the demilitarized zone on the border over the weekend marking their first overt entry into Syrian territory since a war in 1973.
Reporting from Haifa, Israel
The leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham has vowed to find and punish senior officials in the Assad government. “We will not relent in holding accountable the criminals, murderers, and security and military officers involved in torturing the Syrian people,” Ahmed al-Shara, also known by the nom de guerre Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, said in a statement posted on Telegram on Tuesday.
Reporting from Haifa, Israel
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham had announced an amnesty for the rank and file of the Assad government, but Mr. al-Shara said in the statement that this did not extend to senior officials. There is fear among those who supported the fallen government that they could face retribution.
Several armed factions are operating in Syria.
Rebel forces have swept through Syria and forced former President Bashar al-Assad out of the country where his family had ruled with an iron fist since the early 1970s.
The rapid offensive marked a dramatic breakthrough for the many factions that have been trying to unseat the president for more than a decade of civil war. Many of the fighters in Syria shared a desire to topple Mr. al-Assad’s government, but not much else: Their ideologies, political beliefs and international backers are very different.
In the fallout created by Mr. al-Assad’s downfall, there are big questions about who will step in.
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, whose name means Organization for the Liberation of the Levant, is a former affiliate of Al Qaeda that broke with the older group years ago and came to dominate the last stronghold of Syria’s opposition.
It was the main rebel group leading the latest offensive, launching a surprise assault in late November out of its base in northwestern Syria that quickly led to the fall of the Assad government.
Members of the group had early links to the Islamic State, and then to Al Qaeda. In 2016, they tried to shed their extremist roots, banding together with several other factions to establish Hayat Tahrir al-Sham. The United States and other Western countries still consider it a terrorist group.
The group’s leader, Abu Mohammad al-Jolani — who as of Monday shed that nom de guerre and is now going by his real name, Ahmed al-Shara — told The New York Times that his primary goal was to “liberate Syria from this oppressive regime.” He has tried to gain legitimacy by providing services to residents in his stronghold of Idlib Province.
Because of its roots and its designation as a terrorist group, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham has struggled to raise funds, according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington research institute. The group raises money from border tariffs, collecting taxes on residents and holding a monopoly over utilities. Analysts say it has also been involved in trafficking the synthetic stimulant captagon.
Syrian Democratic Forces
Forces from Syria’s Kurdish ethnic minority, which makes up about 10 percent of the population, became the United States’ main local partner in the fight against the Islamic State in Syria, under the banner of the Syrian Democratic Forces.
After the Islamic State was largely defeated in 2019, the Kurdish-led forces consolidated control over towns in the northeast, expanding an autonomous region they had built there. But Kurdish fighters still had to contend with a longtime enemy, Turkey, which regards them as linked to Kurdish separatist insurgents inside Turkey.
Even as rebels took control of Damascus, fighting flared between Turkey and the Kurds in the northeast of Syria, centered on Manbij, a Kurdish-controlled city near the Turkish border. At least 22 members of the Syrian Democratic Forces were killed in and around Manbij, and 40 others were wounded, according to the Kurdish group.
The Syrian National Army
This umbrella group includes dozens of groups with different beliefs. It receives funding and arms from Turkey, which has long been focused on expanding a buffer zone along its border with Syria to guard against the activities of Kurdish militants based in the region that it sees as a threat.
Turkey wants to create an area where it can resettle some of the three million refugees who have fled Syria and are living within its borders. But it has struggled to harmonize the ragtag groups that make up the Syrian National Army.
The group is largely composed of the dregs of the Syrian civil war, including many fighters whom the United States had rejected as criminals and thugs. Some received training from the United States early in the war, but most were dismissed as too extreme or too criminal. Most have no clear ideology and had turned to Turkey for a paycheck of about $100 a month when the group was formed.
On Monday, there were fierce battles in the northern city of Manbij between the Syrian National Army, supported by Turkish airstrikes and artillery, and the Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces.
According to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a war monitoring group based in Britain, the city was captured by the Syrian National Army. A spokesperson for the Syrian Democratic Forces said fighters with the Syrian National Army had taken only 60 percent of the city. The claims could not be independently verified.
The Druse militia
Syria’s Druse minority is concentrated in Sweida, an area in the southwest of Syria that has seen rare antigovernment demonstrations over rising costs of living, and many Druse men have refused military service. This week, Druse fighters joined the push to topple the Assad regime, launching an offensive in the southwest and clashing with government forces, according to media reports.
The Druse fighters are part of a newly formed group of Syrian rebels, which includes fighters from other backgrounds, working under the name the “Southern Operations Room.”
The Druse are a religious group that practices an offshoot of Islam, developed in the 11th century, that contains elements of Christianity, Hinduism, Gnosticism and other philosophies. There are more than one million Druse across the Middle East, mostly in Syria and Lebanon, with some also in Jordan and Israel.
The Islamic State in Iraq and Syria
The Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, better known as ISIS, seized vast stretches of territory in Syria and Iraq in 2014, establishing a brutal regime before it was beaten back by a U.S.-led coalition. Now its members are largely in hiding.
Lately, there have been signs of the group’s resurgence in Syria amid wider instability in the region. The Pentagon warned in July that Islamic State attacks in Syria and Iraq were on track to double compared to the previous year. The group has repeatedly tried to free its members from prisons and has maintained a shadow governance in parts of northeastern Syria, the U.S. said.
President Biden announced on Sunday that the U.S. military has been conducting airstrikes in Syria to keep the Islamic State from reasserting itself in the power vacuum created by Mr. al-Assad’s ouster.
The United States has about 900 troops in Syria to help contain and defeat what remains of ISIS there. The U.S. has not given a date for ending its presence in the country, saying it was contingent on conditions within the war-torn country. Those conditions have now changed dramatically.
“We’re cleareyed about the fact that ISIS will try to take advantage of any vacuum to reestablish its capability, to create a safe haven,” Mr. Biden said. “We will not let that happen.”
Countries are still bombing Syria after al-Assad’s ouster.
Great powers have fought for centuries for influence in the territory known today as Syria, each seeing a prize in its strategic position, stretching from the Mediterranean Sea to the Euphrates River and beyond. That struggle continues today.
In Syria’s 13-year civil war, Iran, Russia and the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah backed the brutal regime of President Bashar al-Assad, while the United States, Turkey and other countries backed various rebel groups.
Now, after a lightning advance by rebels and the rapid-fire collapse of Mr. al-Assad’s government, great powers — albeit with different ones in ascendence — are jockeying for advantage within Syria’s borders. For the first time in years, the skies are empty of Syrian and Russian bombers — but airstrikes by Israel, Turkey and the United States continue.
Here is a look at the foreign countries that have been present in Syria — often operating through local allies — and what they stand to gain and lose from the end of the Assad regime.
Turkey
Turkey has two primary concerns in Syria: Kurds and refugees.
Eastern Syria is home to a sizable ethnic Kurdish population, which the Turkish government sees as allied with Kurdish separatist groups in Turkey. The country is also hosting nearly four million Syrian refugees who fled persecution by the Assad government, and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan would like them to return home.
Turkey, which was once the seat of the vast Ottoman Empire that included much of Syria, has backed an array of different rebel groups that hold territory along the Syrian-Turkish border. One of those groups, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, which led the offensive that toppled Mr. al-Assad, had benefited from Turkey’s military presence in the area.
It is unclear whether Turkey approved the group’s decisive offensive.
However, Ankara’s closest ties are with the Syrian National Army, which has functioned almost as a proxy force for Turkey — in the past, the group’s leadership has said it received funding and weapons — and in turn it has pushed the Syrian Kurds, whom the Turks view as a security threat, back from the border. Just in the last few days, as the rebels led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham took control of the capital, Damascus, fighting flared between the Syrian National Army and the Kurds in northeastern Syria, centered on Manbij, a Kurdish-controlled city near the border with Turkey. Turkey supported the Syrian National Army with airstrikes.
Turkey now seems to be the foreign power with the most access and influence with the armed groups now in charge and in a prime position to pursue its own goals in Syria. That could mean further attacks against the Syrian Kurds, and the return of refugees who are currently in Turkey.
Israel
Israel has fought three wars with Syria, and has had many more armed confrontations. It holds much of the mountainous territory in the southwest of Syria known as the Golan Heights, an annexation that is not recognized by the United Nations and many other countries.
During the civil war, Israel regularly conducted airstrikes against Iran’s and Hezbollah’s weapons stores and personnel in Syria. In April, it bombed an Iranian Embassy building in Damascus, killing senior Iranian military and intelligence officials
Within hours of the fall of the Assad regime, Israel moved troops into the Golan Heights, advancing beyond the demilitarized zone in its first overt entry into Syrian territory since the 1973 October War.
As soon as it became clear on Sunday that there would be regime change in neighboring Syria, Israel began a sweeping aerial campaign.
By Tuesday, at least 350 airstrikes had leveled military assets across Syria, taking out the Navy, fighter jets, drones, tanks, air-defense systems, weapons plants and a wide array of missiles and rockets, according to the Israeli military.
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, an independent group based in Britain that has tracked the civil war in Syria for years, said that it had documented 322 Israeli strikes in Syria since Sunday, when President Bashar al-Assad fled the country.
Gideon Saar, Israel’s foreign minister, told reporters on Monday that the leaders of Syria’s rebels “are people with an extreme ideology of radical Islam.” Israeli forces are destroying the weapons “in order that they don’t fall in the hands of extremists,” he added.
Israel has touted its actions against Hamas and Hezbollah as instrumental in the overthrow of the Assad government. But it is not clear that a new government in Damascus, dominated by militant Islamists, will make Israel any safer.
Iran
Iran’s relationship with Syria dates back almost 50 years, when Syria’s president at the time, Hafez Assad, supported Iran in its eight-year war with Iraq. As Iran built a network of like-minded groups across the Middle East as a counterweight against the United States and Israel, Syria was the only state to become part of what Iran called its “Axis of Resistance.”
Syria became Iran’s main overland supply route to transport weapons to Hezbollah in Lebanon. In return, Iran sent military advisers to support the Assad regime during the civil war, along with fighters from its ally Hezbollah and two brigades under the command of Iran’s Quds Forces that was made up of refugees from Pakistan and Afghanistan who had fled to Iran.
With Mr. al-Assad forced to flee Syria, Iran will lose much of its military leverage in Lebanon and Syria. Its hopes for an “Axis of Resistance” that reached the Mediterranean have unraveled — at least for now.
Russia
The Russian relationship with Syria dates to the days of the Soviet Union. At the end of the Cold War, with the United States asserting its presence in Arab countries, Russia saw the Assad government as a crucial ally in the Middle East, one that could provide a counterweight to the American presence.
During the Syrian civil war, Russia made it a priority to keep its ally in power. It also saw the Syrian leader as a bulwark against Islamist extremism from Al Qaeda and the Islamic State. Russia sold weapons to the Assad government, deployed fighters from Russia’s Wagner group, expanded its naval base in Tartus, Syria, and opened an air base near Damascus.
With the demise of the Assad regime, Russia could lose much of its influence in Syria, but analysts say it probably will try to keep its Tartus base, which is its only Mediterranean port for its Black Sea fleet It is making conciliatory gestures toward the rebel forces who now control the country, and has said it is too soon to make any decisions about the fate of its military bases in Syria.
United States
The U.S.-Syria relationship has never been particularly friendly. The United States severed diplomatic relations in 1967 during the Arab-Israeli war, and placed Syria on its list of state sponsors of terrorism in 1979.
The main U.S. interest in Syria now is the defeat of the Islamic State, which maintains a presence in the northeastern and central parts of the country. In 2019, during Donald Trump’s first term as president, he pulled most U.S. forces out of Syria, but about 1,000 U.S. Special Operations troops remain, and they work closely with Syrian Kurdish troops trained by the United States.
President Biden said on Sunday that the U.S. military has been conducting airstrikes in Syria to keep the Islamic State from reasserting itself in the power vacuum created by Mr. al-Assad’s ouster. He said the United States would support the region “should any threat arrive from Syria during this period of transition.”
“We’re cleareyed about the fact that ISIS will try to take advantage of any vacuum to re-establish its capability, to create a safe haven,” Mr. Biden said. “We will not let that happen.”
Additional reporting by Jack Nicas.
12 Days That Changed Syria: The Rebel Offensive in Visuals
In just two weeks, rebel forces tore across Syria, shattering the stalemate left by more than a decade of civil war and bringing an end to more than five decades of brutal rule by the Assad dynasty.
The pace of the advance was as dizzying as its implications.
Here’s how it unfolded in photos, videos and maps:
NOV. 27
The offensive begins
The first thrust was sudden.
For years, the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham consolidated control in its stronghold in Idlib in Syria’s northwest. Then on Nov. 27, the rebels suddenly began a rapid push east toward Aleppo, a major city that suffered some of the most brutal and protracted fighting during the country’s long civil war.
On Nov. 27, the rebels announced a striking initial success: They had overrun a Syrian government base, captured soldiers, taken tanks and seized several villages. “In a matter of about 10 hours,” an analyst told The Times that day, the rebels were within a few miles of Aleppo.
NOV. 30
The rebels take Aleppo
It had taken Bashar al-Assad more than four years to reassert control of Aleppo during the civil war, deploying siege tactics, assaults and airstrikes in a confrontation that claimed the lives of thousands of civilians. Losing it took fewer than four days.
Even as Syrian and Russian warplanes launched intense strikes on Idlib, and bombed the city of Aleppo, the rebel forces said they had faced little resistance on the ground.
By Nov. 30, rebel fighters were ripping down posters of Mr. al-Assad from the streets of Aleppo they now patrolled, and searching for any remaining pockets of government forces.
Witnesses described a city at a near standstill, with many residents staying indoors for fear of what the sudden flip of power might mean. Others ventured out to welcome the fighters.
Rebels also pushed south, encountering abandoned government tanks in their path, and fought to seize the military air base to the east of the city.
DEC. 5
The rebels take Hama
By the following week, the fighters’ advance south had taken them into new territory: Hama, which had never fallen to the rebels.
Government forces battled rebels on the outskirts of the city on Dec. 4, before withdrawing the next day. The military said it had pulled back to avoid endangering civilians. A rebel commander said government troops were in “a significant state of confusion,” with soldiers and their leaders abandoning their posts.
Some residents of the city had profound reason to celebrate a defeat for the Assad family. Hama was the site of one of the most notorious massacres in the Middle East, in 1982, when security forces serving Bashar al-Assad’s father and predecessor, Hafez al-Assad, killed thousands of people during an anti-government uprising led by the Muslim Brotherhood.
Displaced people returned to the city in the wake of the rebel advance, and the leader of the main rebel group, who at the time used the nom de guerre Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, issued a video statement urging “a conquest in which there is no revenge.” (He is now going by his real name, Ahmed al-Shara.)
DEC. 7
Homs is stormed as Damascus braces for attack
Events accelerated further that weekend. On Dec. 7, the rebels declared that they had seized control of another strategic city, Homs, only about 100 miles from the capital, Damascus.
“The remnants of the Syrian regime have fled the city,” their social media said, even as the defense ministry described Homs as “stable and secure.”
Iran, one of the Assad government’s major backers, had begun to evacuate military commanders and personnel from Syria on Dec. 6, and there were few signs that another major ally, Russia, would come to the Syrian government’s aid, beyond limited airstrikes.
The following morning, rebels were praying in central Homs, and detaining those they considered affiliated with government forces. But international attention was already shifting south, to Damascus.
DEC. 8
The fall of the Assad government
In the end, the rebels entered the capital with barely a fight, passing abandoned military checkpoints amid reports of soldiers stripping off their uniforms.
By the morning of Dec. 8, a crowd of men appeared to be inside the state television studios, announcing on camera “the liberation of the city of Damascus, the toppling of the dictator Bashar al-Assad, and the liberation of all oppressed prisoners from the regime’s jails.”
Within hours, Mr. al-Shara, the rebel leader, was offering a carefully staged celebration, shaking fighters’ hands at the Umayyad Mosque, an ancient landmark in Damascus, and declaring “a victory for the whole Islamic nation.”
When word came of the fate of Mr. al-Assad, it was from Russia, which announced that he had resigned and flown to Moscow to seek refuge. Back in Damascus, people were ransacking his residence and tearing down emblems of his family’s rule, including a statue of his father.
On the outskirts of the city at the notorious Sednaya prison, crowds gathered as people sought any sign of the fate of friends and relatives who had disappeared into the Assad government’s industrial-scale system of arbitrary arrest, detention, torture and death. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights estimates that more than 30,000 detainees were killed in Sednaya alone.
As celebratory gunfire echoed in the capital, euphoria mixed with uncertainty about the future of the country and the intentions of the rebels who now held Damascus. The new government would begin work immediately, the rebels’ military leadership announced. It did not specify who the new government would be.
By Peter Robins, Mona Boshnaq, Samuel Granados, Chevaz Clarke-Williams and Axel Boada. Reporting was contributed by Eve Sampson, Muhammad Haj Kadour, Raja Abdulrahim, Ben Hubbard, Vivian Yee, Christina Goldbaum and Aaron Boxerman.
Source: Map data comes from the Institute for the Study of War and AEI’s Critical Threats Project (December maps) and Janes (rebel control as of November)
Netanyahu Finally Takes the Stand in His Corruption Trial
Outside the courthouse, he is one of the most powerful men in the Middle East, overseeing Israel’s military campaign in Gaza, its occupation of southern Lebanon and recent strikes in Syria.
As he stepped into a cramped and sweltering underground courtroom in Tel Aviv on Tuesday morning, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel morphed into the defendant in Case 67104-01-20 — charged with bribery, fraud and breach of trust.
Eight years after the police started investigating him and four years after his trial began, Israel’s longest-serving prime minister was taking the stand for the first time to respond to accusations of corruption that have defined and disrupted Israeli public life for nearly a decade.
“Like everyone who is brought to the witness stand, you are charged with speaking the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth,” said Rivka Friedman-Feldman, one of three judges hearing the case.
An audience of roughly 100 journalists, lawmakers, government ministers and lawyers craned their necks to catch his response.
“I have waited eight years for this moment — to tell the truth, the truth as I remember it,” replied Mr. Netanyahu, gripping the sides of a wooden lectern as he stood to the left of the judges.
It was a humbling moment — a sitting prime minister, forced to answer accusations of graft before a courtroom filled with his peers. It was also a moment Mr. Netanyahu seemed determined to transcend.
“I am shocked by the magnitude of this absurdity,” Mr. Netanyahu said.
“I am the prime minister, I am running a country, I am running a war,” he continued. “I am not occupying myself with my future, but rather with that of the state of Israel.”
For nearly a decade, the corruption charges against Mr. Netanyahu have divided Israel, leading to years of political turmoil. The electorate has been roughly evenly split on the question of whether Mr. Netanyahu should remain in office while he stands trial — a dynamic that has created an electoral stalemate, leading to five elections in less than four years.
Apart from a brief court appearance to plead not guilty in 2021, Mr. Netanyahu’s day-to-day schedule had rarely been affected by the trial proceedings.
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Prosecutors and defense lawyers spent years interviewing witnesses instead of the defendant himself. The hearing on Tuesday — 1,661 days since the trial began — was Mr. Netanyahu’s first full day in court.
While his appearance provided a crescendo in the judicial process, it was also, to many Israelis, anti-climactic. The charges against Mr. Netanyahu have been a part of Israeli discourse for so long that the spectacle of a prime minister in the dock no longer seems as shocking as it once did.
“The public has completely accepted the idea that we have a sitting prime minister who has been investigated, indicted and is now on trial — even in the middle of a war,” said Dahlia Scheindlin, a political analyst who attended the hearing on Tuesday.
“What would have been unimaginable 10 years ago has been completely normalized,” she added.
Mr. Netanyahu is charged with bribery, fraud and breach of trust in three separate but related cases. The charges center on claims that he gave regulatory favors and diplomatic support to prominent businessmen in exchange for gifts, including cigars and Champagne, as well as sympathetic media coverage.
The trial is expected to continue for years, and Mr. Netanyahu will likely take the stand several times a week for several months.
To Mr. Netanyahu’s critics, the trial is a litmus test for democracy: a chance to see whether a sitting prime minister, who has refused to resign, can be held to account for crimes he is accused of committing in office.
To his supporters, it constitutes an attack on democracy: an attempt by the country’s liberal establishment to oust Mr. Netanyahu on spurious legal grounds after failing to do so at the ballot box.
“A disgrace,” shouted Tally Gotliv, a lawmaker from Mr. Netanyahu’s party, shortly before the hearing began.
“Persecution,” said Itamar Ben-Gvir, one of several government ministers who attended the hearing in solidarity with their leader.
Mr. Netanyahu had sought to delay his testimony by several months, arguing that his management of the war campaign had disrupted his preparations. But the court agreed to a postponement of only a few days.
Still, in recognition of the threat that Mr. Netanyahu faces as a wartime prime minister, the judges agreed to hold the hearing in a more secure, underground courtroom in Tel Aviv instead of the East Jerusalem courthouse where the trial usually takes place.
For most of the day, Mr. Netanyahu was interviewed by his own lawyer, Amit Haddad; the prosecution will cross-examine Mr. Netanyahu in the coming weeks.
Mr. Haddad’s opening questions allowed Mr. Netanyahu to describe how, as a busy prime minister, he has little time to devote to corrupt activity — or to the trial.
“Sometimes I even indulge in a cigar, although I can’t even finish it all at once, because I’m having so many meetings and briefings,” Mr. Netanyahu said.
As if to illustrate his point, the prime minister’s aides approached the stand several times to pass him notes, apparently about matters of state. At one point during the morning session, the trial was briefly paused to allow Mr. Netanyahu to deal with what he said was an urgent matter.
“There needs to be a balance between the necessities of the trial — which I appreciate — and the necessities of the country,” the prime minister said of the notes.
Still, neither Mr. Netanyahu or his lawyer was in a rush to discuss the substantive parts of the prosecution’s case.
For more than an hour, Mr. Haddad asked open-ended questions about Mr. Netanyahu’s life and opinions, allowing the prime minister to expand at length about his political achievements. At times, Mr. Netanyahu’s words felt more like a political speech aimed at his right-wing base than the responses of a defendant in a courtroom.
He described his policies as finance minister during the 2000s, as well as his efforts to oppose Palestinian sovereignty in the 2010s — positions that led him to clash, he said, with the Obama administration as well as the Israeli media establishment.
“I worked to strengthen Israel’s security, to strengthen Israel’s economy, to change it to a free market,” he said. “That is what I have devoted my life to, standing against pressures at home and abroad.”
As the afternoon wore on, Mr. Netanyahu began to speak to some of the specific corruption charges against him. In one case, prosecutors say he authorized regulatory benefits for an Israeli telecoms magnate, Shaul Elovitch, in exchange for favorable coverage on Mr. Elovitch’s popular news site, Walla. Mr. Elovitch is also on trial and has denied wrongdoing.
Mr. Netanyahu dismissed Walla as a “negligible news site,” rebuffing accusations that he would seek to shape its content. “It’s a site of dogs and cats,” he said.
He also disputed the idea that he had signed off on regulatory changes specifically to favor Mr. Elovitch, saying that he simply signed documents that civil servants had presented him.
“Many times you don’t even know what you’re signing,” said Mr. Netanyahu. “It comes from the bureaucracy, so you sign.”
The court’s granular and domestic focus stood in stark contrast to the grander accusations leveled at Mr. Netanyahu by the International Criminal Court in The Hague. The court has issued an arrest warrant for Mr. Netanyahu, accusing him of war crimes during the ongoing war in Gaza.
At the courthouse on Tuesday, the main reminder of Gaza came from a group of left-wing demonstrators who stood outside the courthouse calling for a cease-fire.
Myra Noveck contributed reporting.
In France, Marine Le Pen Takes Aim at the Top
The one-on-one duel that has shaped French political life for nearly a decade ratcheted up a notch last week, with the far-right leader Marine Le Pen claiming one big scalp, and giving notice of going after a bigger one, President Emmanuel Macron.
No one doubted that she was calling the shots. Yet by Monday, Mr. Macron had relegated Ms. Le Pen and her party, the anti-immigrant National Rally, to “pariah” — her word — status. He did not deign to meet with her in his search for a new prime minister to replace the one she had largely ousted last week.
Leaders of other parties had tête-à-têtes with Mr. Macron at the presidential palace; but not Ms. Le Pen, who was excluded because she is part of the “anti-Republican front” — his words.
That could turn out to be a big mistake. Last week, Ms. Le Pen announced the demise of the hapless prime minister, Michel Barnier, in Parliament; sure enough he was overthrown in a no-confidence vote soon after.
Mr. Barnier had tried to force through a budget proposal without a vote, and above all he had barely consulted with Ms. Le Pen, who has the largest bloc of parliamentarians and cannot be ignored.
She has suggested successive Macron governments could fall, until he steps down — making clear she is after a more consequential trophy: the president himself.
Mr. Macron was barely off the plane from Saudi Arabia as she spoke last Wednesday night. As the bemused parliamentarians listened, she promised “deliverance” for France from its woes, “maybe, very soon.”
That seemed as much promise as threat.
It all rested on one man’s decision, she said, avoiding Mr. Macron’s name while suggesting she was pushing him toward the exit. Her target was clear.
“It’s up to the person concerned, by himself, to decide whether he should stay,” she said. “It’s on his conscience, to determine whether he should sacrifice public policy, and France’s fate, for the sake of his own pride.”
Ms. Le Pen then twisted the knife, appealing mockingly to Mr. Macron’s famous cool rationality: “It’s up to his reason to decide if he can ignore the people’s massive rejection, which, in his case, I believe is definitive.”
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Mr. Macron, though, has insisted he isn’t going anywhere.
Ms. Le Pen, as the arbiter of France’s political fate, is closer to power than she has ever been. She has effected an extraordinary transformation of her party in just over a decade, replacing the crude post-fascist operatives of her antisemitic founder-father Jean Marie Le Pen’s era with the smooth-talking, well-tailored parliamentarians of today.
And she has used her solid electoral base — last week’s no-confidence vote enjoyed strong popularity with her voters — to elevate her party’s stature and drive a wedge between the other parties.
The person most responsible for helping her in that endeavor is none other than Mr. Macron, who has framed his political career on keeping her out of power.
That was the logic behind his two presidential campaigns, in 2017 and 2022 — when he was liberal democracy’s redoubt against the onslaught of the far right — and it was the underpinning for much of his support both times.
“Emmanuel Macron’s line was, ‘I’m the rampart against Marine Le Pen,’” said Guillaume Letourneur, an expert on the National Rally at the European Center for Sociology and Political Science. “You’d have to say that the result has been pretty weak.”
In his campaigns, Mr. Macron was able to draw support from left-wing voters who normally would have recoiled at his pro-business policies because they abhorred Ms. Le Pen more. He also had the backing of traditional right-wing voters who disdained the rough-edged origins of the party of her father, now 96.
But now Mr. Macron has been discredited, among his own voters and the left, after he opened the door to the National Rally’s plurality in the lower, important house of Parliament by calling an unnecessary snap election in June. In doing so, he said he wanted clarity: but what the election made clear was that voters prefer the far right, and the left, to him.
Still, though Ms. Le Pen scored a masterstroke last week, the path is not clear for her either. She has to move quickly, as the threat of a guilty verdict and a stiff sentence in an embezzlement trial, potentially coming March 31, hangs over her. She could be disqualified from running if prosecutors’ sentencing recommendations are upheld.
Ms. Le Pen is employing Donald J. Trump-style rhetoric, insisting she is being targeted in the courts for her politics.
“The objective is to attack somebody in the political opposition,” Ms. Le Pen said on French television last month. “I’m telling the French that the idea that they could be deprived of their choice is a very violent attack on democracy.”
But the evidence against her and 24 party associates also on trial has been strong and a conviction remains a distinct possibility. Testimony in court left little doubt that, as charged, the National Rally used money from the European Union for domestic party purposes, a misuse of over $7 million in public funds.
Witnesses said Ms. Le Pen told her European Parliament subordinates that a portion of the E.U.-allocated money would have to go to the national party; court documents described a “fraudulent system” engineered by the party hierarchy.
She is running against the clock. But Ms. Le Pen is also operating under what the political scientist and expert on the far right Jean-Yves Camus, of the Jean Jaurès Foundation, calls a “double constraint.”
She must appear to the voters both “as normal as possible, and also as disruptive as possible,” he said.
On the normal side: she went out of her way, in her speech in Parliament last week, to insist she was the true defender of not just France’s values, but of its Republican institutions.
That marked a notable difference with the far-right figure with whom she is sometimes compared, Mr. Trump. Mr. Trump may be keen on wrecking the institutions of government; definitely not Ms. Le Pen.
She characterized Mr. Macron as the institution-wrecker, the one who has “worked ceaselessly to tear down everything that he could: the Quai d’Orsay,” France’s foreign ministry; “the prefectures,” France’s local governors; “the investigative police, the pension system, unemployment insurance, the national railroad.” Ms. Le Pen’s list was exhaustive.
Her supporters want more state control and management, not less, unlike Mr. Trump’s. “No voter for Marine Le Pen wants that, tomorrow, the ministry of justice to no longer exists,” Mr. Camus said. “And they want more interference from the interior ministry.”
On the disruptive side: The “nearly eleven million” — the size of the party’s electorate in the last vote, often cited by National Rally members — have no interest in backing traditional center-right conservatives like the toppled prime minister, Mr. Barnier.
They are keen to see Ms. Le Pen undermining such figures.
“Her voters don’t go to the polls to help out the traditional right,” Mr. Camus said. “They want something the traditional right can’t give them — a state that provides even more services, except reserved only for French people.”
The party’s general secretary in Parliament, Renaud Labaye, said in an interview: “It’s all pretty simple. We’re defending the interests of the French, and of our voters. We’re defending the general interest. The politicians haven’t defended it.”
Underlying both desires — more order and more disruption — is a burning sense of class resentment that was evident in the move to overthrow Mr. Barnier. Ms. Le Pen and her troops believe they have been treated with condescension and disdain by Mr. Macron’s government, in whatever iteration. Usually these sentiments are not even hidden.
Mr. Barnier only met with Ms. Le Pen for what was portrayed as a serious discussion some 10 days before the no-confidence vote, Philippe Olivier, Ms. Le Pen’s brother-in-law and adviser, said in an interview.
“She met somebody who said, ‘I’m going to explain my budget to you.’ He never tried to find a compromise, not for one second,” said Mr. Olivier, who is also a member of the European Parliament. “He didn’t understand that it should have been a negotiation,” Mr. Olivier added.
“He took us for Boy Scouts. He took us for nothing. Behind all this there is class contempt. But the time for calling up the servants is over.”
Ben Hubbard
Reporting from Damascus, Syria
Red carpets still run down the airy hallways of the mountaintop presidential palace in the Syrian capital, Damascus. Large chandeliers hang in ornate reception rooms filled with wooden Damascene furniture. Modernist sculptures remain in place in offices and sitting rooms.
But since Bashar al-Assad, who ruled Syria for more than two decades, fled the country on Sunday, the armed rebels who burst out of the country’s north and stormed days later into the capital have taken charge of this monument to a brutal reign.
They man the palace gate, keeping out looters and curious civilians. They sleep on couches in a cavernous reception hall. And they marvel at how much it must have cost to build and maintain the giant building from which Mr. al-Assad ruled for so long.
“It is wrecked now, but we want to fix it,” said a fighter with his face covered who gave only his nom de guerre, Abu Oweis. Of the palace, he said: “It is beautiful, but it was all for Bashar.”
The rebels allowed reporters from The New York Times to explore the palace, mostly accompanied by Abu Oweis, for no other apparent reason than to make clear that they controlled it.
Much of it had been looted soon after the city fell. Many of the offices were missing televisions. The floor of one giant conference room was littered with boxes that appeared to have held jewelry and fine glassware, perhaps gifts kept on hand for V.I.P. visitors.
But there was little damage to the complex itself, a sprawling cubic structure that is visible from much of the city below. On the long table in one formal dining room sat plates from the Chateau collection of Villeroy & Boch, with a matching teapot adorned with the Syrian flag.
The ostentatiousness of the palace and the scruffiness of its new masters encapsulated the differences between the leader who had fallen and those who had taken his place.
Mr. al-Assad, a trained ophthalmologist, inherited the presidency from his father, Hafez al-Assad, in 2000. While many of the Arab world’s dictators have emphasized their military credentials, the younger al-Assad had none to speak of. So he mostly appeared in suits, often alongside his elegant British-born wife, Asma, a former investment banker.
By contrast, Abu Oweis, our rebel guide, had been born in Idlib in Syria’s northwest, one of the country’s poorest provinces. He was 7 when the uprising against Mr. al-Assad began in 2011 and had grown up as Mr. al-Assad’s military, backed by Russia and Iran, had used tremendous military force to try to stamp out the rebels.
Abu Oweis had dropped out of high school, he said, and joined Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the Islamist rebel group that led the assault that ousted Mr. al-Assad.
Now 20, the young rebel had never left Syria nor visited its largest cities, Aleppo and Damascus.
“It’s a big city,” he said of the Syrian capital. “Really big.”
He had little interest in the offices that occupied the palace’s upper floors. Mr. al-Assad’s regime ruled viciously, throwing opponents in prisons where many were tortured or just disappeared. The palace, by contrast, handled the bureaucratic trappings of governance, the public performance of a presidency.
An office with commanding views and an en suite bathroom had belonged to Bouthaina Shaaban, who advised the al-Assad dynasty for decades. Framed photos of what appeared to be her 70th birthday party sat on a table.
A bookshelf behind her desk held a plaque showing the younger Mr. al-Assad and a framed 1983 cover from Time magazine, which featured his father.
The text read, “Syria: Clashing With the U.S., Bidding for a Bigger Role.”
Nearby was a protocol office, in charge of organizing official visits. Its unnamed occupant had on hand a binder from the Protocol School of Washington and a book called “Honor and Respect,” a guide to official titles.
A large storeroom was packed to the ceiling with gifts Mr. al-Assad had received from visitors from around the world. A cursory tour revealed plaques and busts featuring Mr. al-Assad, sometimes alongside other world leaders.
There was a two-foot-tall camel with a bejeweled saddle (origin unknown); a golden castle from Saudi Arabia in a large green case; and a photo of Queen Elizabeth II of Britain and her husband, Prince Philip, dated 2002. That was long before Mr. al-Assad became an international pariah for his brutality during the war, including using poison gas on his own people.
Rummaging through the loot, Abu Oweis found three paintings of Asma al-Assad, ripped one from its frame and threw it on the floor to be stepped on by anyone else who entered the room.
The palace bore some indications that the mood inside had soured as the rebels approached the city. A dumpster overflowed with shredded papers. A table in one office held a half-finished cup of coffee, a dozen cigarette butts and a remote control, evoking the image of its former occupant smoking nervously while watching the news of the rebel advance. The television had been torn from the wall.
Outside the palace, a group of Syrians who had never dared to come so close before wandered around, marveling at the grandeur of the structure and the landscaped gardens around it.
“He led the life of a king, and we lived like rabbits and dogs,” said Khaled Bakkar, 58.
He had attended an anti-government protest early in the 2011 uprising, he said, and was arrested, beaten and thrown into a crowded jail for two months.
“We were packed in like rocks,” he said.
He and those with him lamented how hard their lives had become during the war: the collapse of the economy, the lack of reliable electricity, the bribes they had to pay for simple government services or to get their cars through police checkpoints.
“The state didn’t provide us with anything, and when we said a single word, they arrested us,” Mr. Bakkar said.
His daughter, Batoul Bakkar, 28, was an internal medicine doctor at a government hospital and described poor wages and insufficient medical supplies, which she attributed to corruption and the effects of punishing international sanctions aimed at Mr. al-Assad’s regime.
She had followed the news of the rebels’ approach with great anticipation, she said, and now felt relieved that they had toppled the regime.
“Of course people are scared for the future, but we have faith that we will be better in the end,” she said. “We want to forget the past and build the future.”
Five people in Guatemala and one in Texas were arrested on Monday on human smuggling charges linked to one of the deadliest traffic accidents involving migrants in recent history, U.S. and Guatemalan officials said.
On Dec. 9, 2021, a truck carrying at least 160 migrants overturned near Tuxtla Gutiérrez, the capital of Chiapas state, in southern Mexico. The authorities reported at the time that the truck was speeding when it overturned on a sharp curve. The trailer crashed into a pedestrian bridge and nearby construction, resulting in more than 50 deaths and injuring more than 100 people.
Many of the migrants were Guatemalan.
On Monday, Guatemalan authorities, at the request of the United States, arrested four people in Guatemala who were part of a human smuggling ring, according to U.S. prosecutors. Those taken into custody were: Tomas Quino Canil, Alberto Marcario Chitic, Oswaldo Manuel Zavala Quino and Josefa Quino Canil De Zavala.
A fifth Guatemalan, Jorge Agapito Ventura, was arrested at his home in Cleveland, Texas, prosecutors said.
A sixth person was also arrested, Guatemalan authorities said, though the person’s name was blacked out in the unsealed U.S. indictment.
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The arrests occurred on the three-year anniversary of the accident.
The five named Guatemalans were indicted in the Southern District of Texas and charged with conspiracy to bring undocumented migrants to the United States and placing those migrants in jeopardy, causing serious injury and death, according to the indictment.
The accused recruited migrants, collected payments and arranged for their transportation — by foot, inside microbuses, cattle trucks and tractor-trailers — to the United States from around October 2021 to February 2023, the indictment said. U.S. prosecutors also said that the smugglers provided written scripts to unaccompanied minors on what they should say if they were detained by U.S. immigration authorities.
“Human smugglers prey on desperate people,” Nicole M. Argentieri, the head of the Justice Department’s Criminal Division, said in a video statement. “They act with callous disregard for their safety, putting them in peril and at risk for their safety and their lives.”
Ms. Argentieri said that U.S. prosecutors will formally request that Guatemala extradite the accused to the United States.
The popular migrant route through Chiapas borders Guatemala and has seen a rise in violence in recent years because of clashes between criminal groups. Kidnappings, extortion and violence, whether from criminal groups or corrupt Mexican officials, make the journey particular perilous for migrants, who often pay smugglers to get them to the U.S.-Mexico border.
Nearly 950 migrants died or went missing in the Americas this year, according to the International Organization for Migration.
Francisco Jiménez, Guatemala’s interior minister, told reporters at a news conference on Monday that the people arrested were part of a now-dismantled human trafficking ring called Los Quinos. He said it had operated for years and made “millions.”
“Human traffickers are a very serious scourge for Guatemala,” Mr. Jiménez said.
He said that the movement of migrants to the United States in unsafe conditions leads to tragedies such as the one in Chiapas three years ago or in South Texas in 2022, in which 53 migrants died in the heat while trapped in a tractor-trailer. (In August, U.S. and Guatemalan authorities made several arrests in that case.)
“Our migrants, our people looking for a better future,” Mr. Jiménez said, “find a lethal future.”
Though the crash in Mexico transpired beyond the United States border, Alamdar Hamdani, the U.S. attorney for the Southern District of Texas, said that “it is imperative that the pursuit of justice transcends those boundaries.”
Under its de facto leader, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia has unleashed a spending spree on global sports, turning the kingdom into a contender for the biggest events.
On Wednesday, soccer’s governing body is expected to confirm Saudi Arabia has secured the biggest prize of all: the men’s World Cup in 2034.
No other competition on the planet attracts as many eyeballs as the century-old quadrennial, a national team competition that thrusts host nations into center stage in a way only the Summer Olympics can match.
But human rights groups have objected to the Saudis’ bid, saying the country’s human rights record raises risks for the thousands of migrant workers from some of the poorest parts of the earth who will be brought in to build the infrastructure — stadiums, airports, roads and hotels, and even a new city — to stage the tournament.
Other critics, including fan groups, say FIFA — the soccer global body that almost collapsed a decade ago after many of its top leaders were indicted on corruption charges by the U.S. Department of Justice — has rigged the vote for the Saudis by changing the rules for bidding.
Under FIFA’s rules, the organization’s 211 member nations are supposed to select one tournament host during a single vote, and usually there are multiple contenders. This year, though, FIFA’s members will vote at the same time for two tournaments — the World Cup in 2030 and 2034. And they will have to vote in a package deal, essentially approving the bids for both tournaments, or for neither.
What’s more, the only contender for the 2030 event is, for the first time, a group of six countries from three continents — Spain, Portugal, Morocco, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay. So any nation that votes against the Saudi bid, would also be voting against those countries hosting the 2030 event, too.
FIFA said recently that the rule changes “followed a comprehensive consultation process across all confederations,” but has not explained why the bids for the two tournaments were combined. This week FIFA published an evaluation of the Saudi bid, saying the country was on the path toward reforming its labor system, with changes that will reduce risk to workers engaged in the building work required for the World Cup.
The announcement about the tournaments will be made in Zurich, after the formal vote by the national soccer federations from FIFA’s member nations.
But in contrast to previous years, when the announcements were made with great fanfare, Saudi Arabia will be awarded its prize in an unusually low-profile way: a rubber-stamp vote in a virtual meeting that may create a moment more procedural than celebratory.
Also the international news media will be absent. FIFA has not announced any plans for a news conference after the decisive meeting about its most prestigious event, and most important moneymaker.
Hosting the World Cup forms part of an ambitious plan by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to reorient the country, in part by diversifying its economy. Sports and entertainment have been at the center of this plan over the past decade as the prince brought the world’s top sports and sporting talent to Saudi Arabia, at eye-popping cost.
“We’ve hosted more than 85 global events and we’ve delivered on the highest level,” Saudi Arabia’s sports minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Turki Al Faisal, told the BBC in a podcast published earlier this month. “We want to attract the world through sports. Hopefully, by 2034, people will have an extraordinary World Cup.”
He dismissed as “shallow” claims made by advocacy groups that Saudi’s sudden and enormous focus on sports was a way to distract the world from its human rights record. Similar accusations — known as sportswashing — were made against Saudi Arabia’s neighbor Qatar, which was host to the 2022 World Cup.
Human rights groups point to a recent report commissioned by FIFA about the treatment of migrant workers who built stadiums and other sites in Qatar for that event. Many of those workers were injured and even killed because of the dangerous working conditions.
The report, which took FIFA a year to publish, said the sports body should compensate those hurt and the families of workers killed, as well as workers who were victims of wage theft and unscrupulous middle men involved in the recruitment process.
Michael Page, deputy director of Human Rights Watch’s Middle East division, said the scale of risk posed by Saudi Arabia hosting the tournament was even higher. “There are about 13.4 million migrant workers in Saudi Arabia, compared to 2 million in Qatar,” Mr. Page said on a call with journalists, in which he was joined by other opponents of the award.
“Many work in remote, harsh conditions that could exacerbate the human cost of hosting the tournament,” he said.
In recent years, tennis, golf, Formula One racing and top level boxing have all been recipients of Saudi munificence, as have some of the highest profile soccer players in the world, like Cristiano Ronaldo, who have been lured away from Europe to play in Saudi Arabia.
But getting to host the World Cup would be an achievement of another magnitude.
It would be “important on all fronts, particularly reputational risk management,” said Andreas Krieg, a fellow at the Institute of Middle Eastern Studies at King’s College, London.
He said winning the bid will allow Saudi Arabia to “complete this whole episode of normalization the kingdom has gone through” after the 2018 murder of the journalist Jamal Khashoggi, an insider turned critic of the Saudi monarchy. Mr. Khashoggi was murdered inside a Saudi consulate in Istanbul. An intelligence report published by the Biden administration said Prince Mohammed approved the killing. The kingdom has denied the allegations.
“It allows the Saudis to say, ‘we are a normal country and the world is treating us like a normal country,’” he added.
One of the crown prince’s earliest moments in the global spotlight came at the opening game of the 2018 World Cup in Moscow, when he sat alongside FIFA’s president, Gianni Infantino, and Russian president Vladimir V. Putin as their nations met in the opening game. Since then, the relationship between Saudi Arabia and FIFA has deepened.
Last October, FIFA announced that the hosts for the 2034 World Cup would be chosen at the same time as the host for the 2030 event. It said only countries from Asia and Oceania, where New Zealand is the largest country, could bid for the 2034 event because of a rule on continental rotation. Interested countries, FIFA said, would have just a few weeks to formalize their interest.
The move seemed to catch many nations by surprise. Saudi Arabia, however, was ready and within minutes of the FIFA announcement, it said it would bid. Moments later, the regional body for soccer in Asia, run by a member of Bahrain’s ruling family, issued a statement saying the Saudis had the support of the entire region.
That’s because even before it made its bid official, Saudi Arabia had been winning support, signing cooperation agreements and sponsorship agreements with national soccer federations around the world. More than 100 of those federations have since publicly endorsed the Saudi bid.
“The bidding process has basically been a stitch-up from start to finish,” said Steve Cockburn, Amnesty International’s head of labor rights and sport, calling it “a sham.”
He added that the lack of competition weakened the need for Saudi Arabia to improve its human rights record.
The Norwegian federation is the most recent group to criticize the combining of the 2030 and 2034 bids.
For FIFA, Saudi Arabia offers two things it requires most: A country willing to spend vast sums of its own money to stage the World Cup and organizers that are likely to face little internal opposition, dissent or discussion that could derail staging plans.
That usually quiet perspective was said out loud by FIFA’s former Secretary General, its most senior administrator, as frustrations grew during Brazil’s bumpy road to staging the tournament in 2014.
“I will say something which is crazy, but less democracy is sometimes better for organizing a World Cup,” the official, Jerome Valcke, said at the time.
A bid evaluation report for Saudi Arabia that was released by FIFA last week suggested as much.
“Critically, the demonstrable commitment to the bid by stakeholders at all levels in Saudi Arabia, ranging from government to the private sector, is clearly evident and ensures a strong legal framework for seamlessly and successfully organizing the FIFA World Cup in ten years’ time,” FIFA said.
Still, staging the tournament in Saudi Arabia is sure to delight millions of young Saudis, who passionately follow the sport. Thousands crossed the border and headed to Qatar to watch their team at the World Cup where the country’s national team pulled off one of the biggest shocks in tournament history, beating Lionel Messi’s Argentina, the team that went on to win the competition, in the first game.
“They have a genuine fan base that really cares,” ” said Mr. Krieg, the professor.