The New York Times 2025-02-16 00:11:36


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Hamas freed three Israeli hostages from captivity in Gaza on Saturday, including an American Israeli dual citizen, prolonging a fragile cease-fire with Israel that appeared to be teetering earlier this week.

Israel said it had released 369 Palestinian prisoners in exchange, concluding the sixth such swap under the cease-fire deal.

The Palestinian captors forced the Israelis to mount a stage in the southern Gaza city of Khan Younis and give speeches in Hebrew against a backdrop of portraits of Hamas leaders. The Israelis were thinner and paler than when they were abducted, but they appeared to be in better condition than the emaciated captives released by Hamas last week.

Rifle-toting militants affiliated with Hamas and another group, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, stood nearby. Some carried Israeli weapons, part of the carefully choreographed theatrics that have also been on display in past releases.

On the stage, militants had put up pictures of Matan Zangauker, an Israeli hostage who has not yet been released, and of his mother, Einav Zangauker, who has been campaigning for his freedom. They were displayed alongside an hourglass and the words, “Time is running out.”

The gunmen did not, however, prod the men into thanking their captors, as happened last week in scenes that shocked Israelis already outraged over their gaunt condition.

The three Israeli civilians were abducted from the Israeli border village of Nir Oz during the Hamas-led attack on Oct. 7, 2023, that ignited the war in Gaza. They are Sasha Troufanov, 29; Iair Horn, 46; and Sagui Dekel-Chen, 36, one of the few American citizens who was still held in Gaza.

Hundreds of people gathered in a Tel Aviv square to watch the televised release, cheering, waving posters with the faces of the hostages and shedding tears of joy.

The Palestinian prisoners who were released included 36 serving life sentences for attacks on Israelis. A first batch of 10 released prisoners arrived in the city of Ramallah in the Israeli-occupied West Bank. As they stepped off the bus, they were handed jackets to cover the sweatshirts that their jailers had made them wear before they were freed. The sweatshirts bore a phrase in Arabic: “We shall neither forget nor forgive.”

The successful exchange is likely to prop up the cease-fire, at least for a time. The arrangement, which began in late January, is set to expire in early March unless Israel and Hamas agree to an extension.

The truce wobbled this week after Hamas threatened to delay the hostage release. It accused Israel of violating the deal, including by not sending sufficient tents and other aid into Gaza.

Israel threatened to resume the war if Hamas did not relent. By Friday, both sides signaled that the dispute had been resolved for now.

Here’s what else to know:

  • Phase 2: Israel and Hamas were supposed to start negotiations on the second part of the deal — including an end to the war and the full withdrawal of Israeli forces — last week. But there has been little indication that they have begun serious talks. The lull has prompted serious worries about the future of the cease-fire, even though the latest impasse was resolved.

  • Held in Gaza: The sides have agreed to the release of 33 Israelis who were taken hostage at the beginning of the war before the deal needs to be extended. If the deal collapses at that point, roughly 60 of those still unaccounted for — many of them presumed dead — would remain in Gaza.

The International Committee of the Red Cross said it remained concerned about how the hostage and prisoner releases are being done. “Despite repeatedly calling for all transfers to be carried out in a dignified and private manner, more must be done by all sides, including the mediators, to improve future transfers,” it said in a statement.

The Red Cross did not elaborate. But Hamas has repeatedly freed hostages in humiliating public ceremonies, where at times they have been menaced by Gazan crowds just barely kept at bay by Palestinian gunmen. It has also made them give speeches during their releases, and last week they had to thank their captors. Israel has also released Palestinian prisoners in demeaning ways. Today some were freed wearing clothing with the slogan “We won’t forgive and we won’t forget.”

The swap went smoothly, but the cease-fire in Gaza still looks shaky.

Israel and Hamas again traded Israeli hostages for Palestinian prisoners on Saturday under the truce they reached in late January. But how long can that fragile cease-fire last?

The truce is set to expire in early March, and the two sides have yet to agree on terms to extend it.

The next steps in the deal are meant to include an end to the war, the full withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza and the release of the remaining living hostages. Negotiators have called this Phase 2 of the multistage agreement.

But reaching the second phase will require painful concessions. Israel has vowed not to end the war until the end of Hamas’s rule in Gaza. For Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, there could also be a political price: His right-wing coalition could shatter if he breaks that vow.

For its part, Hamas has refused to give up ruling Gaza and to send its leaders into exile. The group also worries that handing over the hostages, its most valuable bargaining chips, would remove its best insurance against a renewed Israeli invasion.

To sustain the cease-fire, either Israel or Hamas would most likely have to blink. For now, neither has done so, leaving the future of the truce deeply fraught.

Israel and Hamas were supposed to begin negotiating on the second phase of the agreement last week. But on Thursday, Omer Dostri, the Israeli prime minister’s spokesman, said that no Phase 2 talks were currently being held.

In the meantime, the six-week truce has largely held despite finger-pointing from both sides about purported violations. But almost every week has seemingly brought a fresh crisis.

Earlier this week, Hamas said that it would suspend the next exchange, arguing that Israel had not upheld its end of the cease-fire deal, in part because it had not allowed enough tents, prefabricated homes and construction equipment for clearing rubble into a devastated Gaza.

Mr. Netanyahu threatened to return to full-scale war unless hostages were freed as scheduled. And President Trump complicated matters by declaring that “all hell” would break loose unless all the remaining hostages were released by Saturday, contradicting the staggered deal brokered in part by members of his own administration.

Hamas ultimately signaled that it was willing to go ahead with the release, even though Israel did not immediately allow in the prefabricated homes and heavy equipment as stipulated in the agreement.

The Palestinian group later said that mediators had conveyed renewed Israeli commitments to doing so. But those items had yet to enter Gaza as of Friday, according to the Hamas-run government media office.

Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, will convene a meeting with Israeli security chiefs at 7 p.m. local time, according to his office. Omer Dostri, the prime minister’s spokesman, did not say what would be discussed. But the timing appeared to coincide with a deadline invoked by President Trump for the release of all the remaining hostages in Gaza. Trump said this morning that the U.S. would support whatever Israel decides on the matter.

Newly released from jail, one Palestinian has no home to return to.

When Hassan Oweis stepped off a bus on Saturday in Ramallah, a Palestinian city in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, it was a moment of both elation and uncertainty for his waiting family.

Mr. Oweis, 47, was one of 369 Palestinians released from Israeli jails this weekend in exchange for three Israeli hostages. This was the first time that his relatives had seen him outside of prison since his arrest in 2002 — nearly half a lifetime ago. To celebrate, a crowd of well-wishers lifted him onto their shoulders.

“The first time we see him without bars,” said his son Shadi, 25, who was still a toddler when Mr. Oweis was jailed.

“The most precious moment,” said Mr. Oweis’s mother, Mariam.

But the mood also felt “painful and uneasy,” said Ms. Oweis, 75.

The Oweis family lives in Jenin, in the northern West Bank, where the Israeli military is mounting an extensive operation against what it says are militants planning attacks on Israelis. Thousands of Jenin residents have been forced from their homes as the Israeli soldiers battle Palestinian gunmen and demolish scores of buildings.

The Oweis family are among the displaced. Several of them are taking shelter in a farm shed outside the city. Once they return north from Ramallah, via a web of Israeli military checkpoints, they will not be able to return to the home that Mr. Oweis owns with his siblings.

Mr. Oweis, a former a member of the Palestinian security services,” is “leaving one prison only to enter another,” said his nephew, Majd, 19.

Mr. Oweis was arrested in a similar Israeli raid on Jenin in April 2002. According to Israeli court records, he was later convicted on several counts of terrorism, including abetting two gunmen who killed two Israeli civilians and wounded scores in northern Israel in November 2001.

Mr. Oweis denied the accusations, according to court records.

In a reminder of those charges, the Israeli prison authorities had dressed Mr. Oweis and his fellow prisoners in sweatshirts emblazoned with a threat in Arabic: “We shall neither forget nor forgive.”

Prison officers had also tied menacing messages around the prisoners’ wrists.

“The eternal nation will not forget,” read the message, an Arabic adaptation of a Hebrew Bible verse. “I pursue my enemies and seize them.”

Patrick Kingsley contributed reporting from Jerusalem.

Hamas tones the theatrics down a notch at the latest hostage release.

Hamas released three more Israeli hostages on Saturday — noticeably thinner and paler after 16 months in captivity — in a ceremony replete with some of the group’s typical propaganda but slightly toned down compared to recent weeks.

Since the cease-fire with Israel went into effect in late January, Hamas has turned the releases into propagandistic performances that have angered Israelis and showcased the group’s continued dominance in Gaza even after 15 months of devastating war. The latest handover was no exception.

Dozens of gun-toting militants affiliated with Hamas and with Palestinian Islamic Jihad, a smaller militant group, cleared out a square around a makeshift stage in the southern city of Khan Younis for the exchange. Some brandished what appeared to be Israeli weapons, another part of the carefully choreographed display.

In a jab at President Trump’s call for Palestinians to evacuate Gaza en masse, a banner on the stage was emblazoned with the slogan, “There is no migration except to Jerusalem.” Hamas and other Palestinian factions — as well as much of the Arab world — have angrily rejected the Trump proposal.

The militants also affixed a picture of Matan Zangauker, a hostage who will not be released under the current phase of the cease-fire, next to a photograph of his mother, who has campaigned tirelessly for his freedom. Next to them, an hourglass had been placed with a threatening caption underneath: “Time is running out.”

The Hamas captors later gave the hourglass to one of the freed hostages, Iair Horn.

Triumphant pop music praising Hamas and its armed wing, the Qassam Brigades, blared in the background. One song praised the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas-led attack on southern Israel that started the war and Yahya Sinwar, one of the assault’s masterminds, who was killed last year by Israeli forces.

Mr. Sinwar became Hamas’s leader in Gaza after his release from Israeli prison in 2011. He had vowed to free more jailed Palestinians through a swap with Israel, which was one of the motives behind the mass abduction of some 250 Israelis during the Hamas attack.

“From your prison, Sinwar emerged with might to continue the fight and prepare a deal of liberation,” the singer crooned to a percussive beat, referring to the hostage-for-prisoner exchange with Israel.

From there, the ceremony unfolded relatively smoothly.

The gunmen kept a small crowd of Gazans away from the release area, in contrast to the chaotic scenes at some previous handoffs.

Hamas militants summoned a Red Cross official to the stage to formally sign paperwork as part of the release before bringing the three men out of a vehicle that had ferried them to the scene.

The militants then made the three hostages give remarks in Hebrew from the makeshift stage.

Sagui Dekel-Chen, an American Israeli hostage, haltingly said that he hoped the remaining captives would be released.

“I am finally out in the sunshine, coming out to the light,” Mr. Dekel-Chen said. He may have been speaking literally — many hostages have been held for extended periods in Hamas’s underground tunnel network.

Unlike last week, however, the Hamas captors did not prod the three men into thanking those who had held them hostage for more than a year in Gaza. Those scenes — combined with the gaunt appearance of the hostages released last Saturday — prompted horror and fury in Israel.

The three newly released hostages were then ushered to the waiting Red Cross vehicles that would take them to Israeli forces waiting to receive them.

President Trump appeared to further distance himself from his earlier ultimatum that all hostages in Gaza should be released by noon today. “Israel will now have to decide” how to handle the deadline, Trump wrote on social media. “The United States will back the decision they make!”

Israeli leaders did not decisively throw their weight behind Trump’s ultimatum and seemed willing to continue along the timeline specified by their cease-fire agreement with Hamas.

Israelis express relief that the newly released hostages appear to be in better shape.

Hundreds of people gathered in Tel Aviv on Saturday to watch the televised handover of three hostages from Gaza, cheering, waving Israeli flags and shedding tears of joy — a big change from the tears of shock and anguish prompted by a similar release a week ago, when the hostages were clearly in poor physical condition.

“Three pieces have returned to my heart,” said Doron Zexer, a prominent advocate for the hostages, part of the crowd watching the ceremony in Gaza where the Red Cross received the three Israelis — Sasha Trupanov, Sagui Dekel-Chen and Iair Horn.

At last week’s release, the condition of the hostages set off shock waves across Israel, prompting many to compare them to Holocaust survivors.

That fueled pressure on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel to secure the release of the remaining hostages as quickly as possible, and contributed to an emotional week in Israel. Hamas initially threatened to delay handing over any more captives, nearly derailing a cease-fire agreement.

But Saturday’s release went ahead as planned. There appeared to be fewer people gathered in Hostages Square — a plaza in Tel Aviv where families of the captives and their supporters have gone each week to watch live broadcasts of the hostage releases — than on previous release days.

Naama Moses, a volunteer selling merchandise to support the Hostages and Missing Families Forum, which represents relatives of the captives, ascribed this to the pain that many felt when they saw the three men who were freed last week.

“Perhaps containing your disappointment would be easier at home in front of the telly, on your own,” Ms. Moses said.

Dr. Hagai Levine, the head of the medical team for the hostage families group, said that while the men released Saturday were talking and walking on their own, it was evident from the video of their release that they needed medical care.

“Now they will have to be examined very carefully,” he said.

Dr. Levine said those released recently had shared “dreadful testimonies” about the status of hostages who remain in Gaza.

“Being in captivity for nearly 500 days means severe damage to their health,” he said. “They don’t have time, they may not survive the next weeks.”

The specter of the cease-fire negotiations breaking down alarmed families whose loved ones were not set to be released during the cease-fire agreement’s current phase, which ends early next month.

“There’s concern,” said Mr. Zexer, whose family hosted the Israeli American hostage Edan Alexander during his military service in Israel. “We are living in a reality show that even the devil couldn’t have conceived.”

Describing the tension and uncertainty between each week’s release, Mr. Zexer said that “the hostages are paying the price.”

Viki Cohen, the mother of an Israeli soldier still held in Gaza, said in an interview that the joy of seeing three more hostages released was tempered by anguish and uncertainty.

“We are on a crazy roller coaster,” said Ms. Cohen, who recently received evidence that her son Nimrod was still alive. He is not among the hostages expected to be released in the first phase of the cease-fire. “We are doing everything in our power for him to return,” she said.

Even after the Red Cross drove away with the newly released men, heading toward Israel, the crowd at Hostages Square remained, hoisting pictures of people still in captivity in a subdued celebration of solidarity.

“It’s overwhelming to be here, the warmth and the love,” said Jennifer Brandeis, who was visiting Tel Aviv from Virginia. “Being together — it’s everything to me.”

Some of the released Palestinian prisoners have arrived at the European Hospital in Khan Younis, Gaza, where large crowds have gathered to welcome them, video from the scene shows. As part of the exchange deal, 333 Gazans detained after the Oct. 7 attack were released today.

The Israeli military said the three released hostages were being transported by Israeli Air Force helicopters to the hospital, accompanied by some of their family members. There they will reunite with additional relatives and undergo medical evaluations and treatment.

In video released by the Israeli government, Sagui Dekel-Chen can be seen embracing his wife, mother and father after being freed from captivity in Gaza. “Welcome back,” whispers his father Jonathan as he hugs his son for the first time in 16 months. His wife, Avital, tells him the name of his third daughter, who was born after he was abducted by Palestinian militants.

The Israeli authorities said they had freed all 369 Palestinian prisoners slated for release as part of the exchange, concluding the sixth hostage-for-prisoner swap between Israel and Hamas. Many were taken to the Gaza Strip, while others were released to the West Bank and East Jerusalem, the Israeli prison service said in a statement.

While Israel is releasing hundreds of Palestinians today, only 10 have arrived here in Ramallah. As they stepped off the bus, the men were swiftly handed jackets to cover the sweatshirts that their jailers made them wear before they were freed. The sweatshirts bore a threat, written in Arabic: “We shall neither forget nor forgive.”

Viki Cohen, the mother of an Israeli soldier still held captive in Gaza, said in an interview that the joy of seeing three more hostages released was tempered by anguish and uncertainty. “We are on a crazy roller coaster,” said Cohen, who recently received evidence that her son Nimrod was still alive. He is not among the hostages expected to be released in the first phase of the cease-fire. “We are doing everything in our power for him to return,” she said.

Here’s a closer look at the 3 hostages released by Hamas.

Hamas freed three more Israeli hostages on Saturday in a ceremony marked by some of the same provocative theatrics used by the Palestinian militants in previous releases.

It was the sixth round of a tense series of hostage-for-prisoner exchanges that are part of a 42-day cease-fire deal between Israel and Hamas, which went into effect last month. Overall, Hamas agreed to release 33 of the nearly 100 people who were captured on Oct. 7, 2023. In exchange, Israel agreed to free more than 1,000 Palestinians held in its jails and partially withdraw from Gaza.

Here’s a closer look at the three civilian male hostages, including an Israeli American, who were released on Saturday:

Sagui Dekel-Chen

Mr. Dekel-Chen, an Israeli American who had played for Israel’s national basketball team, was 35 when he was taken from Nir Oz, a kibbutz in southern Israel close to the Gaza border where militants abducted more than 70 people in the Hamas-led attack on Oct. 7, 2023.

He is a father of three; his youngest child was born during his captivity. Mr. Dekel-Chen worked as national coordinator for the British branch of the Jewish National Fund and with his wife, converted buses for new uses, such as for mobile classrooms.

Mr. Dekel-Chen’s family was active in advocating a cease-fire deal. His father, Jonathan Dekel-Chen, a history professor at Hebrew University in Jerusalem, wrote an opinion piece for The New York Times critical of the Israeli government for not bringing home the hostages.

In August, the professor told The Times that he and other members of the Nir Oz kibbutz would not participate in an official government ceremony then being planned to commemorate the Oct. 7 attack. He said they were “appalled by the idea of this government creating a ceremony that would distract from their culpability.”

Mr. Dekel-Chen’s mother, Neomit Dekel-Chen, and some neighbors were also captured in the Oct. 7 attack. She escaped from an electric cart that was heading toward Gaza when an Israeli military helicopter shot at the militants, according to an account she gave to Israeli news media.

Iair Horn

Mr. Horn was 45 when he was abducted from Nir Oz along with one of his two brothers, Eitan, who was visiting for the weekend. Iair Horn worked in construction and his brother worked as a teacher.

Iair Horn was born in Israel and raised in Argentina. He returned to Israel as an adult along with his parents and siblings, according to their mother, Ruth Strom. They are part of a large Argentine community on the kibbutz, including other families awaiting the return of hostages.

Eitan Horn has not been slated for release in the first phase of the cease-fire deal, and Ms. Strom has said she was anxious that Iair would have to leave his brother behind.

Their father, Itzik Horn, said in December 2023, after the Israeli military mistakenly shot and killed three hostages who had fled their captors in Gaza, that Israel must reach a deal even if it means freeing prisoners designated as terrorists.

“The most important thing isn’t to defeat Hamas,” he said in an interview. “The only victory here is to bring back all the hostages.”

Sasha Troufanov

Mr. Troufanov, a Russian Israeli dual citizen who was 27 when he was captured, was visiting family in Nir Oz on Oct. 7. His father was killed, and his mother, grandmother and girlfriend were taken hostage but released during an earlier cease-fire, in November 2023.

Mr. Troufanov, who lived with his girlfriend in a Tel Aviv suburb and worked at a company owned by Amazon, was seen in a video released by Palestinian Islamic Jihad — the second most powerful militant group in Gaza after Hamas — in November of last year. He appeared weary, with an untrimmed beard and bags under his eyes, and spoke of a lack of food and water.

In October, Mousa Abu Marzouk, a senior Hamas official, told Russia Today that he had spoken to Islamic Jihad about Mr. Troufanov, and that Hamas would give priority to him in any exchange of hostages and Palestinian prisoners “in honor” of President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia.

Released Palestinian prisoners have arrived to waiting families and loved ones in the city of Ramallah in the Israeli-occupied West Bank. Only a handful of jailed Palestinians — all of whom were serving life sentences for militant attacks — are being released to the West Bank. Most are being sent back to the Gaza Strip or expelled abroad under the terms of the agreement between Israel and Hamas.

The office of Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, formally welcomed the three released hostages back to Israel. “This week, Hamas again sought to violate the agreement and create a false crisis with empty claims,” it said in a statement.

Netanyahu’s office attributed the release in part to President Trump’s ultimatum to Hamas to free hostages by this weekend.

“Our Sagui is home. A friend, son, partner and most importantly a father has returned,” the family of Sagui Dekel-Chen said in a statement. The freed American Israeli hostage will soon meet his third daughter for the first time, as she was born after he was abducted by Palestinian militants. “Our hearts ache for everything he missed, but now he’s here, unlike many others,” his family added, calling for the remaining hostages to be released.

At Hostage Square in Tel Aviv, Mordechai Cohen, 98, recalled his years fighting against the Nazis in World War II as he saw the images of the three hostages being released. He has been coming here every week.

The three freed hostages are being taken to a military facility near the Gaza border, where they will be reunited with close family and undergo initial medical tests. They will then be taken to Israeli hospitals to begin their rehabilitation.

The Israeli military just said that the three hostages are in its custody. Israeli soldiers are escorting them back to Israeli territory, the military said in a statement.

The latest release of hostages by Hamas included much of the theatricality surrounding previous releases. The three Israeli captives were made to mount a stage and give speeches in Hebrew against a backdrop of portraits of Hamas leaders. Music praising the Qassam Brigades, Hamas’s armed wing, blared in the background.

At least one of the men was visibly gaunt, and another seemed to be in poor health, although none needed help walking after 16 months in captivity. The Hamas gunmen did not, however, prod the men into thanking their captors, as they did during last week’s release.

After the release of the three hostages, a Hamas statement said of the remaining hostages that it “confirms that there is no path to their freedom except through negotiations and adherence to the cease-fire agreement.”

The Red Cross has informed Israel that its officials are transporting the three hostages to waiting Israeli forces, the Israeli military just said in a statement.

The three captives are now being handed over to the waiting Red Cross vehicles. Palestinians can be seen stretching for a glimpse of them, occasionally jeering as the hostages walk by.

Hamas is again making the Israeli captives speak from the stage. “I am going home, but I am leaving my brother Eitan behind,” Iair Horn says. Both were abducted from Nir Oz on Oct. 7, 2023, but his brother is not listed among the 33 Israelis slated for release in current phase of the cease-fire deal.

Once stocky, Iair Horn is now visibly thin after 16 months in captivity.

“I am finally out in the sunshine, coming out to the light,” said Sagui Dekel-Chen after he was released. It was unclear whether he was speaking metaphorically or literally. Many hostages have been held for extended periods in Hamas’s underground tunnel network.

Sasha Troufanov, one of the hostages, just emerged from the vehicle, followed by Sagui Dekel-Chen and Iair Horn. All three hostages slated for release are now visible in live video from the scene.

The crowd in Tel Aviv is clapping and cheering and smiling as the hostages are released. There is none of the immediate shock heard or seen in the crowd at the hostages’ condition as there was last week.

A Quick, Quiet Trip to Belarus Signals a Turn in U.S. Policy

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The senior American diplomat slipped quietly into Belarus, a police state run by a strongman reviled for decades in the West, traveling by car across the border for meetings with President Aleksandr G. Lukashenko and the head of his KGB security apparatus.

It was Mr. Lukashenko’s first meeting with a senior State Department official in five years, and the start of what could be a highly consequential thawing of frozen relations between the United States and Russia’s closest ally.

The below-the-radar American visit to Minsk, the Belarusian capital, on Wednesday came just a day after President Trump had a long telephone call with President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia. Both events signaled Washington’s departure from a yearslong policy of trying to isolate leaders out of favor in the West because of their repressive policies and the war in Ukraine.

After talks with Mr. Lukashenko, Christopher W. Smith, a deputy assistant secretary of state, and two other American officials drove to a village near the border with Lithuania. There, courtesy of the Belarusian KGB, three people who had been jailed — an American and two Belarusian political prisoners — were waiting to be picked up.

As darkness fell, the Americans and the freed prisoners drove back across the border to Vilnius, the Lithuanian capital. Speaking outside the U.S. Embassy there on Wednesday evening, Mr. Smith hailed the successful completion of what he called “a special operation,” describing the prisoners’ release as a “huge win and a response to President Trump’s peace through strength agenda.”

The next step, Mr. Smith told a gathering of Western diplomats on Thursday in Vilnius, according to people who attended, is a possible grand bargain under which Mr. Lukashenko would release a slew of political prisoners, including prominent ones. In return, the United States would relax sanctions on Belarusian banks and exports of potash, a key ingredient in fertilizer, of which Belarus is a major producer.

The people who relayed Mr. Smith’s account of his talks in Minsk spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a confidential meeting. Mr. Smith himself has not publicly disclosed whom he met with or what was discussed, and the State Department did not respond to questions about those details.

Belarus, which usually gloats over any sign that it is breaking out of its isolation, has also been mostly silent, though an anchor on state television, Igor Tur, introduced a note of mystery, suggesting that Mr. Smith was not the real leader of the American delegation and that a more senior official also took part.

Franak Viacorka, the chief of staff to the exiled opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, who has long called for toughening of sanctions, said: “We are very grateful to President Trump that he managed to move things forward.” But, he added, sanctions should be eased only when “Lukashenko stops repression and new arrests” and “releases all political prisoners, including top figures.”

Viasna, a human rights group that keeps a tally of political prisoners in Belarus, put their number this week at 1,226. Mr. Lukashenko has in recent months released more than 200 of them, including two Americans set free since Mr. Trump took office, but opposition activists say that even more people have been arrested during the same period.

Tatyana Khomich, a sister of one of Belarus’s most prominent political prisoners, Maria Kolesnikova, welcomed the American outreach to Mr. Lukashenko. “The past pressure strategy has failed to release political prisoners, halt repression or change the regime’s behavior,” she said.

Mr. Smith also steered Belarus policy during the Biden administration, and started tentative discussions last year with U.S. allies about easing sanctions, but until this week he had never traveled to Minsk to meet Mr. Lukashenko.

That “direct diplomatic approach could yield concrete results, including the release of individual prisoners or even a broader amnesty,” Ms. Khomich said, while loosening Belarus’s dependence on Russia and “preserving some leverage for the U.S. and E.U.”

An American-led drive to isolate and bankrupt Mr. Lukashenko under the Biden administration produced a raft of Western penalties. The sanctions on potash cut an important economic lifeline for the Belarusian ruler but handed a windfall to Russia, another big producer, as global prices spiked. Some Belarusian potash continued to reach global markets via Russia, instead of by the previous, cheaper route through Lithuania.

Artyom Shraibman, a political analyst who fled Belarus after a brutal crackdown on protests in 2020, said Western sanctions had little impact because of Russia’s expansive support for Mr. Lukashenko. But a release of prisoners in return for relaxing sanctions, he said, would “mean they have finally been used with some effect.”

“This would be definitely a positive development for the prisoners themselves, their families — and potentially for solving broader issues of the relationship” between Belarus and the West, said Mr. Schraibman, a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center.

How to deal with Mr. Lukashenko has vexed Western policymakers for decades. A master at maneuvering between East and West, and silencing his critics at home, he took power in 1994 and has won seven increasingly dubious elections in a row, most recently in January, when he claimed 87 percent of the vote, his biggest landslide yet.

In 2005, the U.S. secretary of state at the time, Condoleezza Rice, denounced Belarus as the “last true remaining dictatorship in the heart of Europe” — though that was before Mr. Putin consolidated his autocratic control of Russia.

Dispirited by the longevity of Mr. Lukashenko, now 70, his exiled opponents, like Mr. Putin’s, have often sought solace in rumors that he was seriously ill. But Mr. Smith, briefing Western diplomats in Vilnius, reported that Mr. Lukashenko showed no sign of ill health and seemed confident and in full control, several of those who attended said.

Beginning a decade ago, efforts to isolate Mr. Lukashenko gave way for a time to engagement, amid signs that Belarus wanted to avoid becoming too dependent on Moscow, the country’s increasingly overbearing neighbor.

While heavily reliant on Russia for deliveries of cheap oil, which he needed to keep his faltering economy afloat, Mr. Lukashenko resisted pressure from Mr. Putin to fully implement a 1990s agreement to form a “union state” that he feared would reduce Belarus to a province of Russia.

Before a presidential election in 2020, relations with Russia became so tense that Belarus jailed a challenger it described as a stalking horse for Moscow, and later arrested 33 Russians it said were mercenaries from the Kremlin-linked Wagner Group who had infiltrated the country to disrupt voting.

But the pendulum swung hard the other way after Mr. Lukashenko claimed an implausible victory over Ms. Tikhanovskaya in that election, which Western governments denounced as rigged, and huge street protests broke out in Minsk and cities across the country.

Mr. Lukashenko appealed to Mr. Putin, who rushed in security advisers to help restore control. Vicious repression followed, with mass arrests and torture of detainees.

Less than a year and a half later, Mr. Lukashenko allowed Russia to use his country as a staging ground for its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, with an abortive thrust south from Belarus toward Kyiv.

Mr. Smith, according to diplomats who attended his briefing, said the primary U.S. goal was to secure freedom for more political prisoners. He said he had asked Mr. Lukashenko whether he was ready to scale back repression and was assured that he was. Another important aim, Mr. Smith told the diplomats, is to give Mr. Lukashenko some breathing room outside Russia’s orbit of influence.

Piotr Krawczyk, a former head of Poland’s foreign intelligence service who worked with the first Trump administration on loosening Russia’s grip on Belarus, said Belarus was “part of a wider American approach toward Russia.”

The United States is “confronting Russia in Ukraine, in Africa, in the oil and gas sector, and in several other strategic areas,” he said. “Negotiating with Belarus creates additional leverage for the U.S. to signal to Russia that they should be more attentive to American arguments.”

Mr. Shraibman, the exiled analyst, said a big question now was how the Kremlin would react to any rapprochement between Belarus and the West. Many Russian officials “would likely panic at the prospect,” he said, but “there is no quick or easy way for Belarus to distance itself from Russia given Moscow’s economic dominance over the country.”

He added that it was unlikely that President Trump “has any particular interest in, understanding of or a plan for Belarus.” Even so, he said, the “Trump factor certainly creates some momentum, as everyone, including Lukashenko, tries to impress the U.S. president and compete for his attention.”

German Chancellor Rebukes Vance for Supporting Party That Downplays Nazis

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Chancellor Olaf Scholz of Germany on Saturday accused Vice President JD Vance of unacceptably interfering in his country’s imminent elections on behalf of a party that has played down the atrocities committed by the Nazis 80 years ago.

A day after Mr. Vance stunned the Munich Security Conference by telling German leaders to drop their so-called firewall and allow the hard-right Alternative for Germany, or AfD, to enter their federal government, Mr. Scholz accused Mr. Vance of effectively violating a commitment to never again allow Germany to be led by fascists who could repeat the horrors of the Holocaust.

“A commitment to ‘never again’ is not reconcilable with support for the AfD,” Mr. Scholz said at the conference on Saturday morning, in an address opening the gathering’s second day.

Mr. Scholz said the AfD had trivialized Nazi atrocities like the concentration camp at Dachau, which Mr. Vance visited on Friday. The chancellor said Germany “would not accept” suggestions from outsiders about how to run its democracy — or directives to work with such a party.

“That is not done, certainly not among friends and allies,” Mr. Scholz said. “Where our democracy goes from here is for us to decide.”

Attendees at Mr. Vance’s speech had been expecting to hear details of the Trump administration’s plans for Ukraine peace talks and NATO defense policies. On Saturday, President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine himself put the focus on the Ukraine war in his remarks, starkly laying out the threat from Russia’s battle-hardened military and making an impassioned appeal for Europeans to take their security into their own hands, including by forming an “Army of Europe” that would supplement U.S. power on the continent.

His speech drew standing ovations, in contrast to Mr. Vance’s speech the day before.

Mr. Scholz’s comments underscored a growing unease among Europe’s leaders about their relationship with the United States, and their own domestic politics. They came as leaders scrambled at the summit to formulate a response to President Trump’s sudden shift in Ukraine policy — and the possibility that he could cut the continent out of negotiations.

Just a few days before Mr. Vance’s remarks, Mr. Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on virtually every country the United States trades with. Then he spoke of negotiating an end to Russia’s war in Ukraine directly with President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, leaving Europeans, including Ukraine, wondering if they would be included. Poland’s foreign minister said at the summit that President Emmanuel Macron of France had called an emergency meeting of European leaders to discuss Ukraine on Sunday.

At the same time, far-right parties across Europe have gained ground by tapping into unease over immigration, which also helped propel Mr. Trump back to power in the United States. Mr. Vance’s comments suggested that a new kind of American alliance with Europe was forming, one that bypasses the official leadership in favor of movements like Germany’s AfD and France’s National Rally.

Saturday’s sessions of the security conference were dominated by reactions, predominantly negative, to Mr. Vance’s speech — and Mr. Trump’s agenda.

Mr. Scholz was joined in his criticism by Friedrich Merz, his rival as the chancellor candidate for the conservative Christian Democrats, who polls suggest is the favorite to be Germany’s next leader.

Mr. Vance spent much of his speech on Friday scolding Europeans for what he suggested were Soviet-style restrictions on free speech across the continent. On Saturday, Mr. Merz defended Germany’s laws that prohibit particular forms of speech, including hate speech and banned Nazi slogans, including on social media.

He also suggested that Mr. Trump’s administration was suppressing speech in the United States, after it moved on Friday to kick The Associated Press out of reporting pools and off Mr. Trump’s plane because the news agency refuses to go along with Mr. Trump’s directive to change the name of the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America.

We stick to the rules which are given by our democratic institutions,” Mr. Merz said. “Free speech remains free speech and remains part of our open, democratic society. And fake news, hate speech and offenses remain subject to legal restraints and controlled by independent courts.”

“I think I should say,” he added, “that in front of the events which took place in D.C. yesterday — we would never kick out the news agency, out of the press room of our chancellor.”

Mr. Merz also criticized Mr. Trump’s tariff policy, saying that Germany wanted to reduce tariffs, not increase them, and that “we don’t believe in trade conflicts.”

The White House had no immediate comment on the remarks by Mr. Scholz and Mr. Merz.

The comments were the latest in a series of critiques of Mr. Vance’s speech from German politicians before the election next Sunday. Mr. Scholz’s Social Democrats are running third or fourth in most polls. The AfD is running second, and its chancellor candidate, Alice Weidel, met Mr. Vance on Friday in Munich.

Parts of the AfD have been classified as extremist by German intelligence. Some of its members have been convicted of violating German law against the use of Nazi slogans. Others have been arrested for trying to overthrow the federal government. So although AfD candidates have been able to win parliamentary seats, no other party has been willing to form a coalition with them to take control of the government.

That collective shunning of the AfD and other extremist parties is known as the firewall. Mr. Vance took aim at it on Friday, saying the AfD and other hard-right parties across Europe represented legitimate voter concerns about high levels of migration into European countries from the Middle East and elsewhere.

“There is no room for firewalls,” Mr. Vance said.

The vice president also called restrictions on free speech a greater threat to Europe than military aggression from Russia or China.

Mr. Scholz chided Mr. Vance for that focus in a question-and-answer session after his speech. He was asked by Zanny Minton Beddoes, the editor in chief of The Economist, if Mr. Vance had made any points in his speech worth reflecting on.

“You mean all these very relevant discussions about Ukraine and security in Europe?” Mr. Scholz said, drawing laughter from the audience.

Then he addressed Mr. Vance’s critique of European speech restrictions directly.

“We should be very clear that free speech in Europe means that you are not attacking others in ways that are against legislation and laws we have in our country,” Mr. Scholz said. “And that’s the case. There is no difference between the digital world and the analog world to say it like this. And we have to be very clear that hate and all this, which is so bad for our societies, should be not the reality of public debate.”

Mr. Zelensky, in his remarks, focused on the question of European defense. He reiterated his position that the United States would be pivotal in securing any cease-fire in Ukraine but that it would need Europe to also step up. He pointed to what he said were intelligence warnings of Russian plans to conduct military exercises in Belarus next summer. He noted that Russia had invaded Ukraine after deploying troops to Belarus under the guise of exercises.

“Europe just needs to come together and start acting in a way that no one can say ‘No’ to Europe, boss it around, or treat it like a pushover,” Mr. Zelensky said.

Mr. Trump has said he wanted access to minerals in Ukraine worth half a trillion dollars in exchange for continued military support; Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent opened talks on that issue in Kyiv earlier this week. “We are still talking,” Mr. Zelensky said on Saturday.

In a conversation with the CNN anchor Christiane Amanpour after his speech, Mr. Zelensky also said that Ukraine needed to be at the table at any cease-fire talks, and he asked to meet with Mr. Trump before any meeting that Mr. Trump has with President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia.

“It’s up to them, they can discuss anything they want, but not Ukraine without Ukraine,” he said.